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Kevin Warsh

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Trump Emphasizes Fed Independence as Warsh Takes the Chair
economy1 day ago

Trump Emphasizes Fed Independence as Warsh Takes the Chair

President Trump used Kevin Warsh’s swearing-in as Federal Reserve Chair to stress Fed independence, telling Warsh to “do your own thing” and avoid White House pressure, in a backdrop of a 3.75% federal funds rate, sticky inflation around the high end of its range, and a flat yield curve. Markets are pricing independence as a key driver of the rate path, leaving three big questions for Warsh: whether the data permits further cuts, whether the curve resolves, and whether independence holds if policy and politics diverge.

Trump pushes for a truly independent Fed chief under Warsh
business3 days ago

Trump pushes for a truly independent Fed chief under Warsh

President Trump urged incoming Fed chair Kevin Warsh to be 'totally independent' at a White House swearing‑in, aiming for a leader who won’t be swayed by outside voices. Critics warn Warsh could be a 'sock puppet' for Trump, while Warsh promises a reform‑oriented, independent Fed. The Fed has kept rates at 3.5%‑3.75%, with economists expecting them to stay there through 2026 amid inflation concerns and global tensions.

Warsh Takes Fed Lead Under Trump’s Scrutiny
business4 days ago

Warsh Takes Fed Lead Under Trump’s Scrutiny

Kevin Warsh is sworn in as Federal Reserve chair at the White House, the first such ceremony there since 1987, highlighting the central tension between maintaining the Fed’s independence and a president who has urged rate cuts. Analysts are divided on whether Warsh will resist political pressure given his conservative stance on easing, while observers note the White House ceremony signals optics that diverge from Fed tradition. Markets and policymakers will watch how Warsh handles inflation pressures from geopolitical events, communications reforms, and the Fed’s balance-sheet normalization, with some anticipating continued independence and others bracing for political influence similar to Powell’s experience.

Fed Minutes Signal Warsh May Defy Trump on Cuts, Leaning Toward Hikes
business5 days ago

Fed Minutes Signal Warsh May Defy Trump on Cuts, Leaning Toward Hikes

Minutes from the Fed’s latest policy meeting suggest incoming chair Kevin Warsh will likely defy Trump on rate cuts and preside over a committee tilting toward policy firming (rate hikes) as inflation remains well above 2%. The minutes show a majority of participants desire higher rates if inflation stays elevated, while markets price in a rate hike later this year amid stubborn inflation and a volatile outlook for stocks and bonds.

Trump Walks Back Rate-Cut Promise as Warsh Nomination Tests Markets
economy5 days ago

Trump Walks Back Rate-Cut Promise as Warsh Nomination Tests Markets

In a Fortune interview, Trump hedged about rate cuts until the war ends, signaling a shift from his campaign‑trail stance that rate reductions were a requirement for Fed chair candidate Kevin Warsh. With inflation still above target (PCE 3.5% y/y, core 3.2%), long rates have risen (10-year yield around 4.67%, mortgage rates near 7%), and markets have largely priced out cuts. Kalshi now shows a rising odds of a rate hike by July 2027, suggesting Warsh may face pressure to raise rates rather than cut them. Warsh’s confirmation hearings will test whether he commits to any rate-cut timeline or accepts higher rates to anchor inflation expectations.

Trump nominees push for a finite Powell chair tenure at the Fed
us-politics-and-policy10 days ago

Trump nominees push for a finite Powell chair tenure at the Fed

Two Trump-nominated Fed officials object to keeping Powell as chair pro tempore for an unlimited duration, arguing the designation should be finite; Powell will remain chair until Kevin Warsh is sworn in after his Senate confirmation, marking a transitional, time-limited leadership. Miran voted against the designation and Bowman abstained; Warsh could be sworn in as soon as next week following a 54-45 Senate vote. The episode underscores tensions over Fed independence amid partisan pressure and continuing debate over the path of monetary policy and rate cuts.

Markets resist Trump’s rate-cut push as Warsh’s Fed faces inflation hurdle
economy11 days ago

Markets resist Trump’s rate-cut push as Warsh’s Fed faces inflation hurdle

Markets are pricing in little near-term relief for rate cuts despite Trump’s push, as incoming Fed Chair Kevin Warsh confronts sticky inflation and higher bond yields; 2-year Treasuries jumped above 4% and longer maturities rose as investors bet the path to cuts will be slower or smaller than hoped, with CPI at 3.8% and Middle East energy tensions adding to price pressures, complicating any easing despite Warsh’s dovish lean.

Warsh Takes the Wheel as Markets Bet the Fed Must Catch Up on Inflation
economy11 days ago

Warsh Takes the Wheel as Markets Bet the Fed Must Catch Up on Inflation

Bond traders believe inflation is running ahead of the Fed as Kevin Warsh takes over, suggesting policy may tilt toward tightening rather than further easing; Ed Yardeni argues the central bank may need to hike to curb inflation, while markets price in no rate cuts for the rest of the year amid inflation data showing a fresh uptick (CPI +3.8% year over year, wholesale +6%).

Fed Governor Miran resigns and backs Warsh as chair-in-waiting
business12 days ago

Fed Governor Miran resigns and backs Warsh as chair-in-waiting

Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran has submitted his resignation, saying he will vacate the Fed board around the time Kevin Warsh takes the chair. A contrarian on rate moves, Miran opposed 2025 rate hikes and backed rate cuts this year, and he praised Warsh while signaling policy changes under new leadership, such as communications and balance-sheet policy, and keeping the Fed to its narrow mandate. He advocates a forward-looking approach that accounts for nonmonetary forces like slower population growth and deregulation, and supports shrinking the balance sheet along with deregulation of banks.

economy12 days ago

Warsh Takes Fed Chair Post, Signals Overhaul of the Central Bank

The Senate confirmed Kevin Warsh as the next chair of the Federal Reserve by a 54-45 vote, positioning him to overhaul the Fed’s decades-old tools and communications amid pressure from President Trump for lower interest rates and a challenging backdrop of rising prices driven by global tensions, with Warsh’s tenure likely to bring a more brittle relationship with Congress than his predecessor Jerome Powell.