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China Economy

All articles tagged with #china economy

China shifts to spending-led growth as economy cools
business1 month ago

China shifts to spending-led growth as economy cools

China is pushing a shift from investment- and export-led growth to boosting household spending, unveiling a 4.5–5% growth target and a suite of “investing in people” measures—expanded elder care, paid leave, child support, and an urban-rural income plan—to lift consumption. Analysts caution the shift will be gradual, given weak consumer confidence, a long downturn in real estate that erodes household wealth, birth-rate declines, and high youth unemployment, with stimulus effects shown to be limited so far. The plan’s success hinges on restoring incomes and confidence rather than a short-term fiscal push, while China continues to emphasize advanced manufacturing and tech as anchors for future growth.

Lunar New Year lifts China's inflation to a 3-year high as factory deflation persists
business1 month ago

Lunar New Year lifts China's inflation to a 3-year high as factory deflation persists

China's February consumer prices rose 1.3% year-on-year—the highest in 37 months—driven by Lunar New Year holiday demand for services, travel, and items like flights and jewelry, while producer prices fell 0.9% y/y, the mildest since mid-2024, signaling ongoing weak demand. Analysts caution that an energy shock from Middle East tensions could push inflation higher briefly, but a supply-demand rebound and policy easing may temper the impulse as authorities seek to rebalance the economy.

China Sets 2026 Growth Target Below 5%, Signaling Slower Path
business1 month ago

China Sets 2026 Growth Target Below 5%, Signaling Slower Path

China unveiled a 2026 growth target of 4.5–5%, the first below 5% in more than three decades, signaling a slower, rebalanced economy as officials push for stronger domestic demand, higher-quality growth, and less reliance on manufacturing, while observers question official data and anticipate policies to boost consumption and address overcapacity.

China’s involution could reshape its AI and robotics ambitions
economy1 month ago

China’s involution could reshape its AI and robotics ambitions

FT Alphaville explains China’s “involution”—fierce domestic price competition backed by local subsidies and procurement rules—that drives prices lower and keeps unprofitable firms afloat, with political incentives to preserve jobs and GDP. The pattern has already hit sectors like chips, EVs, and batteries, and now AI startups are flooding the scene to access government funding. Looking ahead, there are warnings of overcapacity in strategic areas such as humanoid robotics and satellites. The piece questions whether the Chinese state can unwind involution and what the West should do as China continues to export cheap goods and potentially shape the future of AI and robotics.

China’s Growth Gamble: Innovation, Exports, and a Slow Consumption Lift
economy2 months ago

China’s Growth Gamble: Innovation, Exports, and a Slow Consumption Lift

Beijing’s post-property-collapse strategy centers on innovation and high-end manufacturing to achieve “high-quality” growth, but domestic consumption remains weak (about 40% of GDP in 2024), and the social safety net is underfunded amid an aging population. With deficits rising and tax revenue slipping despite growth, China relies on exports and industrial upgrading while retaining old, labor-intensive sectors. If demand doesn’t pick up, overcapacity could depress profits and public finances, potentially hurting both China and its trading partners even as China’s share of global manufacturing climbs and sparks tensions with other economies.

China expands global trade network as Starmer visits Beijing
world2 months ago

China expands global trade network as Starmer visits Beijing

China posts a record 1.2 trillion-dollar trade surplus in 2025, with booming non‑U.S. trade, the strongest monthly forex inflows in history, and a widening push to use the yuan globally, as Beijing seeks deeper ties with partners like Canada and India amid U.S. tensions; UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s Beijing visit underscores efforts to diversify trade links even as the EU, India and other partners advance their own deals.

China Maintains Key LPRs Amid Slower Growth, Bets on Targeted Support
business2 months ago

China Maintains Key LPRs Amid Slower Growth, Bets on Targeted Support

China’s central bank left the 1-year and 5-year loan prime rates at 3% and 3.5% for an eighth straight month as growth slows to 4.5% in Q4 2025; authorities emphasize targeted support over broad easing, with moves to lower funding costs for relending facilities, expand loans to private firms and tech sectors, and lower the minimum down payment on commercial mortgages to 30% to bolster a weak domestic demand and persistent deflation.

China taps export strength to hit 5% growth amid domestic headwinds
business2 months ago

China taps export strength to hit 5% growth amid domestic headwinds

China posted 5% GDP growth in 2025, meeting Beijing's target, aided by a record trade surplus of about $1.19 trillion driven by rising exports despite US tariffs, even as quarterly growth cooled to 4.5% and domestic demand remained weak amid a prolonged property downturn and a demographic drop (births near 7.9 million). Analysts warn official figures may overstate expansion and caution that the economy is two-speed, with exports propping up growth while consumption and housing drag, complicating policy as trade tensions loom.

markets5 months ago

Markets Rise as Apple Hits New High Amid Ongoing US Shutdown

U.S. stock futures are higher amid hopes for easing trade tensions between the U.S. and China. Apple’s iPhone 17 outperformed its predecessor by 14% in the first 10 days, driven by strong sales in China and the U.S. The luxury brands Kering and L’Oreal announced a 4-billion euro deal, with L’Oreal acquiring parts of Kering’s beauty business. China’s economy grew 4.8% in Q3, the slowest in a year, while gold prices steadied near recent highs as markets responded to trade optimism.

Asian Markets Rise and Oil Prices Fall Amid Ceasefire Developments
business6 months ago

Asian Markets Rise and Oil Prices Fall Amid Ceasefire Developments

Global stocks continued their rally driven by AI-related optimism, with Asian markets led by tech firms and US benchmarks reaching new highs, while investors focus on earnings amid geopolitical developments and economic data. Gold retreated slightly from record highs, and currency markets saw the dollar and yen fluctuate amid speculation of intervention. China’s reopening after Golden Week showed cautious consumer spending, contrasting with enthusiasm for AI tech stocks. Major geopolitical news includes a potential breakthrough in Israel-Hamas negotiations and US export approvals for Nvidia chips, amidst ongoing tensions over rare earths.

Nvidia Shares Drop Despite Strong AI Chip Demand and Quarterly Sales
finance7 months ago

Nvidia Shares Drop Despite Strong AI Chip Demand and Quarterly Sales

US stock futures declined after Nvidia's sales outlook missed expectations, raising concerns about slowing AI investment growth, while Chinese companies like Meituan faced losses amid fierce competition. Global markets showed mixed signals with declines in tech and Chinese stocks, a slight drop in the dollar, and bond yields fluctuating, reflecting cautious investor sentiment amid geopolitical and economic uncertainties.