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Fed Rate Hike

All articles tagged with #fed rate hike

Gold Holds Critical Support as Fed-Hike Odds Hover at 66%
markets2 days ago

Gold Holds Critical Support as Fed-Hike Odds Hover at 66%

Spot gold trades near $4,328 after testing the $4,311 zone as strong oil prices and a bond selloff lift yields, keeping September rate-hike odds around 66%. Global stocks retreat and the dollar firms ahead of key payrolls data (ADP, claims, ISM services, August payrolls). Technically, immediate resistance sits near $4,450 and $4,532, with support at $4,329 and $4,311; a cooler payrolls report could ease the hawkish path for rates and support gold, while stronger data could push yields and the dollar higher, pressuring bullion.

Gold Finds Support as Soft ADP payrolls Sustain Fed Rate-Hike Bets
markets2 days ago

Gold Finds Support as Soft ADP payrolls Sustain Fed Rate-Hike Bets

Gold steadied near $4,335/oz after ADP reported August private payrolls rose only 38,000—a softer pace than expected and the slowest since January—raising questions about the U.S. labor market. The data keeps odds of a Sept. 16 Federal Reserve rate hike around 60%+ and fuels debate on policy, with some analysts saying weaker hiring could be supportive for gold if rate-hike expectations ease, while others caution that the upcoming NFP data will be decisive. Wage growth cooled modestly for workers changing jobs, while pay for those staying held at 3% annually. Overall, limited buying interest in gold persists despite the softer data, as traders weigh the risk of higher rates against gold’s appeal as a hedge.

Oil Surges, Yields Rally as Stocks Slip into September
markets2 days ago

Oil Surges, Yields Rally as Stocks Slip into September

U.S. equities faded as oil jumped above $95 a barrel and long‑term bond yields rose, rekindling expectations for higher rates and a tougher macro backdrop. The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq declined, while oil gains were driven by Middle East tensions and the Strait of Hormuz. Traders also parsed July JOLTS data and ISM manufacturing for hints on the economy ahead of Friday’s payrolls report, keeping sentiment cautious into the historically volatile September.

Markets tempered as inflation worries and Fed rate-hike bets weigh futures
finance4 days ago

Markets tempered as inflation worries and Fed rate-hike bets weigh futures

U.S. stock futures slipped on Tuesday as investors weighed persistent inflation concerns and the possibility of further Federal Reserve rate increases. Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq futures fell roughly 0.5%–1%, stock volatility rose with oil near $90 a barrel amid geopolitical strains with Iran, and the 10-year yield climbed toward 4.75%. Traders are eyeing JOLTS, ISM data, and Friday’s jobs report, while earnings from Dell and Palo Alto Networks could shed light on corporate tech and cloud spending in a still-challenging market environment.

Oil Jump Triggers Global Bond Selloff as Markets Price in More Hikes
markets4 days ago

Oil Jump Triggers Global Bond Selloff as Markets Price in More Hikes

Oil surged to around $92 a barrel on US-Iran tensions, pushing euro-area and Japanese yields to multi‑year highs and fanning inflation fears that keep major central banks on a tightening path. ECB rate hike bets solidify for the Sept. 9‑10 meeting, while US traders increasingly price in a September Fed move (around 60% probability). European stocks edged lower and US futures dipped as investors reassess inflation risks, with gold holding gains and the dollar softening amid the policy crossroads.

Markets rally as Fed rate bets fade after soft U.S. data
finance19 days ago

Markets rally as Fed rate bets fade after soft U.S. data

Global shares edged higher and the dollar weakened toward two‑month lows after softer U.S. data, including a July retail‑sales drop, lowering the likelihood of a Fed rate hike next month to about 30%. European and Asian indices rose while Treasuries pulled back yields, and oil prices were mixed as investors await the next round of PMI data and key earnings this week.

July PPI flat; core inflation cools, markets rethink Fed path
economy23 days ago

July PPI flat; core inflation cools, markets rethink Fed path

The producer price index was unchanged in July, below the expected 0.2% gain, while core PPI rose 0.2% (forecast 0.3%). Goods fell 0.7% as energy slid 3.1% (gasoline -5.7%), and services rose 0.2% led by portfolio management; annual PPI gains were 4.7% (all items) and 4.2% (core). Markets rose modestly with futures up and yields down as Fed rate-hike odds shifted, trimming the chance of a September move but keeping October/December in play. CPI rose 0.1% in July, with 0.2% core CPI; initial jobless claims rose to 209,000 for the week ended Aug. 8.

Gold bulls ride shifting Fed bets as miners surge
markets23 days ago

Gold bulls ride shifting Fed bets as miners surge

Gold rebounded as rate-hike expectations cooled after tame inflation, with bullion and gold mining stocks posting strong weekly gains. Central-bank buying, especially by China, and sustained physical demand underpin prices, while ETF flows into GLD and the cheaper GLDM attract investors. Analysts say the move is tactical rather than fear-driven, though volatility remains ahead of Jackson Hole and evolving Fed signals. Technically, gold’s break above the 50-day moving average suggests potential for further upside, with miners offering leverage but higher risk.

Bitcoin Stabilizes Near $61k as Soft Jobs Data Dims Rate-Hike Bets
business2 months ago

Bitcoin Stabilizes Near $61k as Soft Jobs Data Dims Rate-Hike Bets

Bitcoin and ether held gains above $61,000 and $1,700 respectively after a softer-than-expected US payrolls report cooled expectations for further Fed tightening, with U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs logging inflows and risk appetite returning. The data blurred a clear dovish signal amid mixed wage data and the upcoming CPI/PPI prints, leaving near-term volatility and a potential shift in rate expectations as the key driver.

OpenAI IPO delay sparks tech-led market pullback
business2 months ago

OpenAI IPO delay sparks tech-led market pullback

Tech-led stock slide on Friday follows a report that OpenAI may delay its mega-IPO, with the Nasdaq down about 1.1%, the S&P 500 off 0.6%, and the Dow around 0.3% as traders weigh higher-for-longer rate bets and AI-sector headwinds. Apple’s price increases, Micron’s earnings signaling continued memory-cost squeezes, and oil’s drop amid Middle East tensions add to a cautious backdrop for equities.

"Stock Market Rally Faces Test with Soft Corporate Earnings and Economic Data"
business3 years ago

"Stock Market Rally Faces Test with Soft Corporate Earnings and Economic Data"

Amazon Prime Day kicks off, serving as an economic indicator for consumer sentiment. JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup report Q2 earnings, with JPMorgan expected to show growth. Delta Air Lines sets the tone for Q2 earnings season, with analysts predicting a jump in earnings. BlackRock and State Street also report Q2 earnings. The stock market rally continues, with stocks like Nvidia, Mastercard, and Dexcom consolidating. Economic data suggests a Fed rate hike in July. The Nasdaq composite had its best first half since 1983, while the S&P 500 had its best first half since 2019.

"Surprising Jobs Report Sends Shockwaves Through Markets"
economy3 years ago

"Surprising Jobs Report Sends Shockwaves Through Markets"

The 10-year Treasury yield reached a four-month high as strong job market and service-sector data increased the likelihood of multiple additional Fed rate hikes. Payroll processor ADP estimated that private-sector firms added 497,000 jobs in June, double the predictions. This raised expectations for a strong official jobs report from the Labor Department on Friday. Markets are now pricing in a 95% chance of an additional quarter-point Fed rate hike in July, with increased odds of further hikes in September and November.