
Millennium-High Stress on California Faults Signals Elevated Megquake Risk
A multinational team using a physics-based model finds stress on Southern California’s San Andreas and San Jacinto fault systems is at or near the highest levels in about a thousand years, with key segments showing about 2.8–3.6 MPa of stress. While this doesn’t predict when an earthquake will occur, the results indicate the region is critically loaded, the Cajon Pass “earthquake gate” could open under certain rupture scenarios, and the findings underscore the ongoing need for hazard assessment, infrastructure planning, and preparedness.




