Russia’s surprise nuclear drills project power as battlefield strains mount
Russia ran unannounced strategic-nuclear exercises May 19–21 involving tens of thousands of personnel and strategic assets, with Belarusian participation, to posture against Ukraine’s allies and distract from perceived battlefield weaknesses. The move accompanies intensified messaging about NATO and Baltic security while Moscow seeks to shape Western calculations amid manpower and recruitment challenges. Putin’s China visit coincides with reports that the PLA trained Russian personnel in drone operations in 2025. Ukrainian long-range strikes against Russian oil infrastructure continue, and Russia’s drone campaign persists with high volumes and evolving FPV capabilities. Overall, ISW views these activities as part strategic signaling and information operations intended to bolster Russian aims while masking setbacks on the ground.
