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Oasi

All articles tagged with #oasi

Trump's Big Bill Could Push Social Security Benefit Cuts Forward
business1 month ago

Trump's Big Bill Could Push Social Security Benefit Cuts Forward

A Motley Fool analysis warns Social Security isn’t bankrupt, but its Old‑Age and Survivors Insurance reserves are projected to run dry by 2033, potentially forcing benefit cuts of up to about 23%. The 2025 Big, Beautiful Bill (BBB) provides temporary tax breaks while reducing payroll‑tax receipts, which the Office of the Actuary says could widen the program’s funding gap by roughly $168.6 billion over 2025–2034 and move reserve depletion forward to late 2032—effectively speeding up the timeline for cuts. With most retirees relying on benefits and demographic pressures (aging population, low birth rates), policymakers face urgent action.

Social Security Faces a 2033 Crunch Driven by Demographics and Trump Tax Policy
economy4 months ago

Social Security Faces a 2033 Crunch Driven by Demographics and Trump Tax Policy

The 2025 Social Security Trustees Report warns that the program’s old-age and survivors insurance (OASI) trust fund runs out of reserves by 2033, with a potential ~23% benefit cut needed to keep payments through 2099. President Trump’s 2024 tax law accelerates costs for the program (roughly $168.6 billion 2025–2034), pushing the depletion closer to 2032, but the bigger strain comes from demographics—slower birth rates, aging baby boomers, and reduced net immigration—along with a payroll-tax base erosion as earnings pass the tax cap. There are no easy fixes, and reform remains politically challenging.