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Cola

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2027 Social Security COLA estimates hover near 3.5% ahead of October 14 announcement
economy2 days ago

2027 Social Security COLA estimates hover near 3.5% ahead of October 14 announcement

The 2027 cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) for Social Security is expected to be approximately 3.5%, according to current estimates from the Senior Citizens League and AARP. This figure, which may shift slightly based on September inflation data, would raise the average monthly benefit by roughly $68 to $73. The Social Security Administration will officially announce the final percentage on October 14, 2026. While this represents the largest increase in several years, it may not fully offset rising costs for retirees, particularly due to concurrent increases in Medicare Part B premiums.

Retirees await October 14 for 2027 COLA, but Medicare premiums may offset gains
economy7 days ago

Retirees await October 14 for 2027 COLA, but Medicare premiums may offset gains

The 2027 Social Security cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) is expected to be announced on October 14, 2026, following the release of September inflation data. Current forecasts range from 3.5% to 3.6%, which would increase a $2,000 monthly benefit by approximately $66 to $72. However, the net increase for many retirees may be significantly lower due to rising Medicare Part B premiums, which are deducted directly from Social Security checks. The official figure will be determined by the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W) for July, August, and September 2026.

October 2026 Benefit Schedule: Early Payments for SSI and Long-Term Recipients
economy11 days ago

October 2026 Benefit Schedule: Early Payments for SSI and Long-Term Recipients

The Social Security Administration is issuing October 2026 benefits ahead of schedule for two specific groups due to weekend and holiday calendar conflicts. On Friday, October 2, payments will be sent to recipients who began receiving benefits before May 1997 and those who also receive Supplemental Security Income (SSI). Additionally, SSI recipients will receive their November payment early on October 30 because November 1 falls on a Sunday. The SSA confirmed that the average monthly retirement benefit is $2,033.27, while the average SSI payment is $738.73. The annual cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) for 2027 is expected to be announced on October 14, with experts forecasting a 3.5% increase.

Trump-Boosted 2027 Social Security COLA Could Hit a 30-Year High, but Finances Face Strain
economy27 days ago

Trump-Boosted 2027 Social Security COLA Could Hit a 30-Year High, but Finances Face Strain

The Motley Fool says the 2027 Social Security COLA is likely to be boosted by Trump-era policies—potentially around 3.5%—continuing a six-year streak of gains and signaling a 30-year high, but the higher increase could hasten the program’s long-term solvency issues, with OASI reserves projected to be exhausted by 2032 and a heightened risk of future benefit cuts.

COLA Outlook: Higher Social Security Checks Spark Fresh Debate on Calculation
retirement-issues27 days ago

COLA Outlook: Higher Social Security Checks Spark Fresh Debate on Calculation

New inflation data point to a 3.6% COLA for 2027, boosting the average retiree’s check by about $75, but experts warn that even a larger COLA may not fully cover rising costs like food, energy and healthcare. Washington is weighing two major proposals to change how COLA is calculated: switching to the CPI-E, which reflects older Americans’ spending patterns, or adopting a flat-rate COLA that caps gains for higher-benefit retirees. Both could affect Social Security solvency, with estimates suggesting CPI-E could widen the long-term shortfall by about 11% and shorten the trust fund’s runway toward 2032 if adopted. Some note CPI-E won’t always yield higher increases (energy prices can tilt results), while others argue the flat-rate plan would sharply reduce benefits for many even as it aims to improve solvency. The debate underscores the tension between protecting beneficiaries’ purchasing power and ensuring the program’s finances long-term.

2027 Social Security COLA Seen at 3.5%, Sparking Debates on Caps
economy27 days ago

2027 Social Security COLA Seen at 3.5%, Sparking Debates on Caps

August inflation data point to a 2027 COLA around 3.5%, the biggest since 2023, with the SSA to confirm after September data and announce on Oct. 14. A 3.5% COLA would boost average checks by roughly $70 monthly, though the final figure could change with September’s inflation. The rise feeds into broader concerns about solvency of the Social Security trust fund (projected to run dry by 2032) and renewed talk of reforms, including caps. Medicare Part B premiums and other costs continue to erode retirees' purchasing power, while pundits differ on the exact COLA forecast (CRFB at ~3.4% vs. trustees’ 2.7%).

Flat-rate COLA draws fierce debate: a universal boost or a hidden cut for most retirees?
policy29 days ago

Flat-rate COLA draws fierce debate: a universal boost or a hidden cut for most retirees?

USA TODAY reports on a revived flat-rate COLA proposal that would award all beneficiaries the same dollar increase, based on the 20th percentile. Proponents say it would be highly progressive and could extend solvency, while critics—led by AARP—warn that about 80% of beneficiaries would lose purchasing power over time, with middle-income retirees and those aging into poverty hardest hit; the average beneficiary could lose roughly $285 per year under such a plan. The Social Security trust fund could run dry by 2032, after which benefits would have to be reduced by about 22% unless reforms are enacted. Other options discussed include raising the payroll tax cap or applying payroll taxes to higher earners to fund higher benefits.

Social Security 2027: Bigger COLA, fixed retirement age, and higher earnings cap
retirement1 month ago

Social Security 2027: Bigger COLA, fixed retirement age, and higher earnings cap

Social Security in 2027 keeps the full retirement age at 67 for those born in 1960 or later, projects a roughly 3.5% COLA (potentially the largest since 2023 if it bumps to about 3.6%), and raises the earnings cap to around $190,200 with higher earnings-test thresholds ($25,200 lower, ~$67,200 upper). There are no benefit cuts under current law, but higher earners will pay more into the program, and Medicare Part B premiums may offset some COLA gains. For most retirees, the 2027 check isn’t in jeopardy, though inflation adjustments may be partially consumed by premiums.

Trump-Driven 2027 Social Security COLA Could Boost Checks But Jeopardize Solvency
economy1 month ago

Trump-Driven 2027 Social Security COLA Could Boost Checks But Jeopardize Solvency

The 2027 Social Security cost‑of‑living adjustment is expected to be unusually large due to Trump-era inflation drivers—tariffs and higher energy costs from the Iran conflict—with estimates around 3.4–3.6%. While a bigger payout would help beneficiaries, it could hasten the depletion of the OASI trust fund, potentially forcing future benefit cuts; the 2032 exhaustion timeline underscores sustainability risks amid ongoing price pressures tied to policy actions.

High earners could see caps on Social Security COLAs to shore up solvency
economy1 month ago

High earners could see caps on Social Security COLAs to shore up solvency

A bipartisan CRFB white paper proposes capping annual Social Security cost‑of‑living adjustments for the wealthiest beneficiaries to improve long‑term solvency. If adopted, the cap would anchor around the 75th percentile of benefits, meaning the top quartile (and especially the top 5%) would receive smaller COLAs in coming years, while lower earners continue to get full increases. The change would not fix the program by itself and is just a proposal; funds are projected to run short in the 2030s unless Congress acts, and lawmakers are weighing a range of ideas to close the funding gap.

Trump-Influenced 2027 Social Security COLA Could Beat Medicare Premiums Again
retirement-issues1 month ago

Trump-Influenced 2027 Social Security COLA Could Beat Medicare Premiums Again

The 2027 Social Security cost‑of‑living adjustment is expected to rise about 3.4%–3.6% (roughly 3.5% on average) per independent estimates, potentially making it the sixth‑largest COLA in 35 years. Importantly, this year’s COLA would likely outpace the projected increase in Medicare Part B premiums (about 3.25% to $209.50/month), marking the first time since 2023 that the COLA could exceed Part B growth. While the upraise would help restore purchasing power, it won’t fully recover decades of erosion caused by inflation and rising Part B costs. Inflation drivers cited include tariffs and, notably, the Iran conflict affecting oil prices. Still, a “silver lining” could help tens of millions of retirees retain more of their cost‑of‑living adjustment in 2027.

2027 Social Security COLA seen at 3.2%–3.6%, likely boosting average checks
retirement1 month ago

2027 Social Security COLA seen at 3.2%–3.6%, likely boosting average checks

Analysts project a 2027 Social Security cost‑of‑living adjustment between 3.2% and 3.6%, which could add about $67 a month to the average retiree’s benefit (roughly $2,092/month). The official COLA will be announced in October and take effect in January. Inflation has cooled overall but remains pressured by healthcare and energy costs, and rising Medicare premiums can offset gains; the system’s long‑term solvency is a concern, with projections of insolvency by 2032 if reforms aren’t enacted. Debates also continue over CPI measures (CPI-W vs CPI-E) used to calculate COLA.

2027 Social Security COLA May Bring Bigger Boost for Retirees
retirement-benefits1 month ago

2027 Social Security COLA May Bring Bigger Boost for Retirees

New inflation data points to a 3.6% COLA for 2027, potentially adding about $75 to the average retiree’s monthly check; final COLA will be announced mid-October after September CPI data. AARP expects about 3.5%. Medicare Part B premiums could rise 3.5% to $209.50/month in 2027. Despite cooling CPI, seniors still face high costs in healthcare, housing, and utilities, and most rely on Social Security for a large share of income (about three-quarters for half of seniors, 44% for all).

2027 Social Security COLA: Q3 CPI-W Sets the January Benefit Jump
finance2 months ago

2027 Social Security COLA: Q3 CPI-W Sets the January Benefit Jump

The 2027 Social Security cost-of-living adjustment will be determined by the third-quarter CPI-W data (July–September) and announced by SSA in mid-October 2026; the change is the percentage difference between this year's July–September CPI-W average and the same period a year earlier. Once confirmed, retirement benefits rise in January 2027, while SSI payments increase with the December 31, 2026 payment date; forecasts can shift as new inflation data arrives, so rely on the SSA figure rather than forecasts, since critics say CPI-W may not precisely reflect seniors' spending.