Earthward CME from M1.9 flare prompts August 2 geomagnetic watch

A long-duration M1.9 solar flare from Active Region 4492 on July 30, with an associated filament eruption, produced an Earth-directed partial-halo CME and a minor solar radiation storm. WSA-Enlil model runs place the CME’s arrival at Earth around August 2, with NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center forecasting G1–G2 (Minor–Moderate) geomagnetic storm conditions. Solar wind parameters have been mostly nominal, but disturbances from July 26–27 CMEs and the July 30 CME could arrive; increased drag, potential voltage alarms on power systems, spacecraft orientation corrections, and radio fade are possible, with auroras potentially visible as far south as New York and Idaho under favorable conditions.