Moonbound Debris: Falcon 9 Upper Stage Predicted to Hit Einstein Crater in 2026

TL;DR Summary
Astronomer Bill Gray predicts the Falcon 9 upper stage from SpaceX's January 15, 2025 Moon mission will crash into the Moon near Einstein crater on August 5, 2026 at about 8,700 km/h. The impact would occur on the near side’s edge and is unlikely to be visible with amateur equipment, but it highlights growing space junk concerns and the potential for cascading debris (Kessler syndrome) in Earth orbit.
- A large section of a Space X rocket is about to smash into the Moon. Here's what we know so far BBC Sky at Night Magazine
- A SpaceX Rocket Is About to Slam Into The Moon, Scientist Says ScienceAlert
- SpaceX Falcon 9 Debris Could Crash Into The Moon In August, Astronomer Predicts NDTV
- SpaceX ‘Space Junk’ is on a collision course with the Moon, scientists say The News International
- SpaceX Booster Will Hit the Moon This August AIP.ORG
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