Wayward SpaceX booster on track to hit the Moon in 2026

TL;DR Summary
A SpaceX booster, designated 2025-010D, is predicted to collide with the Moon on August 5, 2026, at about 5,400 mph. The trajectory accounts for gravity from Earth, the Sun, and the Moon and solar radiation pressure; the impact is unlikely to be visible from Earth, but Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter imagery is expected to confirm the collision. The event echoes earlier debris encounters like China's Chang’e 5-T1 crash.
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