Tag

Isw

All articles tagged with #isw

war-in-ukraine1 day ago•10 min saved

Putin’s Donetsk Drive Faces Reality Check as Russians Press Near Slovyansk

ISW reports Russian forces have advanced east of Slovyansk and are securing positions east and southeast of the city to set up frontal assaults toward Slovyansk and the Fortress Belt; Putin continues to push a rapid Donetsk Oblast takeover, likely underestimating battlefield realities. Zelensky reportedly presented a Ukraine-US-Europe proposal to end the war that would entail significant Ukrainian concessions, while Moscow remains unwilling to compromise on core demands. Ukraine is widening an intermediate-range strike campaign into occupied territory (including Crimea) to degrade Russia’s strike and air defenses, even as Russia escalates drone and air attacks; Ukrainian long-range strikes target Russian logistics and infrastructure, with Russia launching 127 drones overnight.

via Kyiv Post|

#donetsk-oblast #isw #russia

world7 days ago•2 min saved

ISW: Ukraine pivots to strike Russian missile-launch hubs amid defense gaps

ISW analysts say Ukraine is now targeting Russian ballistic-missile launch facilities, focusing on deployment and training sites to counter a shortage of air and missile defenses, with the Aug. 15 strike on Savasleyka airbase illustrating the tactic.

via Defense Express|

#ballistic-missiles #isw #kinzhal-missiles

world8 days ago•10 min saved

Ukraine Gains Ground in Oleksandrivka, ISW Notes Russian Drone Surge

ISW reports Ukrainian forces used a combined-arms approach with drones to secure elements of mechanized maneuver in the Oleksandrivka counteroffensive, while Russian MoD and milbloggers exaggerate gains in Oleksandrivka and Hulyaipole. Ukraine also struck a key enterprise tied to Russia’s battlefield satellite communications and appears to be targeting ballistic-missile launch infrastructure amid an interceptor shortage, as Russia launched about 152 long-range drones overnight on Aug. 14–15.

via Kyiv Post|

#drones #isw #oleksandrivka

world23 days ago•10 min saved

ISW: Russian Offensive Stalls in Ukraine as Casualties Mount and Kyiv Holds

ISW reports that the Russian spring-summer 2026 offensive in Ukraine remains slow with no significant operational gains; July saw the highest casualty rate for 2026, while Moscow exaggerates progress. Russia continued large missile and drone strikes against Ukrainian energy infrastructure, even as Ukraine carried out long-range strikes against Russian oil and gasoline facilities; on August 1, neither side made confirmed advances.

via Kyiv Post|

#casualties #isw #offensive-campaign

world1 month ago•17 min saved

No Ground Gains Yet as Kyiv Expands Long-Range Strikes, ISW Says

ISW’s July 23, 2026 assessment finds no confirmed battlefield ground advances by Russian or Ukrainian forces on July 22–23. Ukrainian long-range strikes targeted Russian energy and logistics assets across multiple regions, causing fires at facilities in Ulyanovsk, Voronezh, and Bashkortostan and affecting operations at the Caspian Pipeline Consortium, with some impact on shipping in the Black Sea region. Russia conducted a broad drone/missile campaign against Ukraine, including Crimea-area energy targets. On the ground, Russian offensives in northern Sumy, Kharkiv, Oskil, Slovyansk, Pokrovsk, and Oleksandrivka directions did not gain territory, while Ukrainian forces continued counterattacks and drone-enabled reconnaissance. In the south, Russian attempts near Zaporizhzhia and Kherson yielded no progress; power outages persisted in occupied Kherson, and Ukrainian strikes continued against energy infrastructure in occupied Crimea. Belarus announced a fall conscription cycle; Zelensky reiterated willingness for peace talks with a possible trilateral meeting in Fall 2026, while Rubio rejected any Alaska Summit deal ending the war.

via Institute for the Study of War|

#donbas #isw #long-range-strikes

world1 month ago•10 min saved

ISW: Putin’s Gains Narrative Exaggerated as Frontlines Stall

ISW says Putin used a staged July 3 meeting to push an exaggerated narrative of Russian gains (notably Kostyantynivka) with footage possibly AI-altered; there were no frontline advances on July 4. Ukraine continued long-range strikes against Russian oil/energy infrastructure, while Russia launched a limited salvo of Iskander-M and Kh-59 missiles plus 86 drones at Ukraine.

via Kyiv Post|

#disinformation #isw #russia

world1 month ago•25 min saved

Putin’s July briefing inflates gains as ISW finds battlefield progress lagging

ISW says Putin used a staged July 3 meeting with senior Russian commanders to push exaggerated battlefield gains that clash with available evidence: 64 settlements and about 621.7 square kilometers seized or infiltrated in 2026 (20 settlements and ~30.4 sq km in June), far from the claimed numbers. Distances cited from key cities are not supported by geolocated evidence, and the seizure of Kostyantynivka remains unsubstantiated according to Ukrainian sources. ISW warns footage from the MoD and others may be AI‑generated to bolster a cognitive warfare narrative. Meanwhile Ukraine continues long‑range strikes into Russia with no confirmed front‑line advances on July 4, and Russia’s broader goals of a buffer zone and rapid Donetsk breakthrough remain unmet, with costly gains.

via Institute for the Study of War|

#ai-generated-footage #cognitive-warfare #isw

world1 month ago•6 min saved

Russia's Frontline Momentum Fades as Ukraine Targets Logistics with Drones

ISW analysis shows Russian territorial gains in Ukraine have collapsed this year, with front-line advances stalling and Ukraine's drone-enabled long-range strike campaign disrupting Russian logistics and fuel supplies; Kyiv reports heavy Russian casualties in June while pushing for limited gains, and Moscow signals openness to mediation but remains locked in combat as oil revenues fall and fuel shortages appear.

via Al Jazeera|

#casualties #drones #isw

world2 months ago•3 min saved

Russia’s Northern Bases Signal Post-Ukraine Push to NATO, ISW Says

ISW says Russia is expanding and building bases along its northern NATO border to support potential future force projection after the Ukraine war ends, though near-term ground offensives remain unlikely as most combat power is still in Ukraine. Once constructed, the bases could shorten Moscow’s timetable to mass troops at NATO’s frontier, prompting NATO to maintain high readiness.

via Euromaidan Press|

#border-bases #isw #karelia

world2 months ago•4 min saved

ISW Briefing: Potential IRBM Threat and Kostyantynivka Standoff

ISW warns Russia may launch an Oreshnik IRBM at Ukraine within 24–48 hours as Moscow shows military posturing on Russia Day while confronting battlefield setbacks. Despite Russian gains around Kostyantynivka, analysts say a rapid breakthrough is unlikely; Russia is reportedly building five long-range drone launch sites near Belarus to boost strikes. Ukrainian forces have advanced in the Kostyantynivka–Druzhkivka area and Oleksandrivka direction, while Russia attacked Ukrainian oil infrastructure and mounted a large night drone campaign (117 drones).

via Kyiv Post|

#drones #isw #kostyantynivka

world2 months ago•9 min saved

Ukraine’s Drone Edge and Logistic Strains Highlight ISW’s June 11 Ukraine Update

ISW’s June 11 assessment flags Ukrainian forces continuing to interdict bridges and ground-logistics links between occupied Kherson and Crimea, while Russian authorities in Sevastopol struggle with gasoline shortages likely tied to Ukrainian strikes on logistics and energy infrastructure. Ukraine is leveraging a drone advantage and expanding middle-range strikes, contributing to higher Russian battlefield casualties and weakening Moscow’s recruitment. Russia is building and expanding bases along its northern NATO border to bolster future force projection, though ISW judges near-term ground operations unlikely. Moscow’s MoD is accused of cognitive warfare to justify claims of progress; Ukrainian strikes against oil infrastructure persist, and Russia responded with Iskander missiles and drones. Ukrainian gains in the Oleksandrivka direction are noted, reflecting ongoing, multi-domain pressure on Russian forces.

via Kyiv Post|

#drones #isw #russia

world2 months ago•6 min saved

Zelensky: Russia Losing Momentum on Battlefield, Front Could Shift Daily

Zelensky told The Guardian that Russia is losing the initiative on the battlefield with heavy casualties, but the front remains fluid and could shift day by day. He said Ukraine’s position has improved and cited Kyiv’s gains in 2026, while ISW has noted slow Russian advances and Ukrainian counteroffensives, and Zelensky expressed hope for negotiations to end the war.

via Kyiv Post|

#battlefield #isw #russia

world2 months ago•27 min saved

Putin Upholds Victory Narrative as Ukraine Advances, ISW Says

Putin rejected Zelensky’s ceasefire offer at SPIEF and reiterated a protracted-war victory narrative, claiming battlefield progress that ISW says is inconsistent with visible gains. Ukraine has intensified long-range strikes and battlefield interdiction that hinder Russian logistics and naval assets, while Russian advances remain largely stagnant. Putin touted economic strength despite fuel shortages and rising debt, and repeatedly referenced the Alaska Summit to justify limited concessions. A localized ceasefire around the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant was brokered to permit repairs, and Ukraine continues to press operations in occupied areas. Overall, ISW assesses Putin’s battlefield claims as overstated and Ukraine as gaining the initiative in several sectors.

via Institute for the Study of War|

#isw #long-range-strikes #putin

world2 months ago•18 min saved

Stalled 2026 Russian Offensive Shows Dwindling Gains, ISW Finds

ISW’s June 1, 2026 assessment shows the Russian spring–summer offensive stalled: Russian infiltrations totaled about 40.6 square kilometers Dec 2025–May 2026, while territory under Russian control shrank by roughly 281 square kilometers; overall 2026 gains are only about 7.9% of 2025’s pace. The battlefield remains interspersed and difficult to quantify. Putin is reportedly resisting defense-spending cuts despite economic warnings, while Ukrainian drone strikes and mid‑range actions hinder Russian rotations; Ukrainian forces advanced in the Pokrovsk direction and continue striking Russian logistics and oil infrastructure.

via Institute for the Study of War|

#2026-offensive #infiltrations #isw

world2 months ago•9 min saved

Ukraine’s Logistics Strikes Rise as Drones Expand, ISW Says

ISW’s May 31, 2026 assessment says Ukraine’s mid-range strikes are disrupting Russian ground lines of communication across the theater (from occupied Luhansk to Crimea), Ukraine may be widening drone strikes on Russian training grounds in occupied Ukraine, Russia accuses Ukraine of striking the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant, and neither side reported confirmed advances in the past day. Russian forces reportedly launched 229 drones toward Ukraine overnight.

via Kyiv Post|

#drones #isw #logistics