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China shifts to spending-led growth as economy cools
business1 month ago

China shifts to spending-led growth as economy cools

China is pushing a shift from investment- and export-led growth to boosting household spending, unveiling a 4.5–5% growth target and a suite of “investing in people” measures—expanded elder care, paid leave, child support, and an urban-rural income plan—to lift consumption. Analysts caution the shift will be gradual, given weak consumer confidence, a long downturn in real estate that erodes household wealth, birth-rate declines, and high youth unemployment, with stimulus effects shown to be limited so far. The plan’s success hinges on restoring incomes and confidence rather than a short-term fiscal push, while China continues to emphasize advanced manufacturing and tech as anchors for future growth.

via BBC|
#business#china-economy#consumption
China taps export strength to hit 5% growth amid domestic headwinds
business2 months ago

China taps export strength to hit 5% growth amid domestic headwinds

China posted 5% GDP growth in 2025, meeting Beijing's target, aided by a record trade surplus of about $1.19 trillion driven by rising exports despite US tariffs, even as quarterly growth cooled to 4.5% and domestic demand remained weak amid a prolonged property downturn and a demographic drop (births near 7.9 million). Analysts warn official figures may overstate expansion and caution that the economy is two-speed, with exports propping up growth while consumption and housing drag, complicating policy as trade tensions loom.

via BBC|
#business#china-economy#demographics
China's Economy and Markets Set for Steady Growth in 2026
economy3 months ago

China's Economy and Markets Set for Steady Growth in 2026

China's economy is projected to grow by 4.8% in 2026, driven by surging exports and policy easing, despite ongoing challenges in the property market and labor sector. The country is shifting towards a consumption- and services-driven economy, with a focus on diversifying export markets and supporting income growth through targeted policies. However, structural issues like a weak property market and labor market pressures remain significant hurdles.

via Goldman Sachs|
#china#economic-growth#economy
China's Economy Slows Amid Consumption Woes and Investment Decline
economy3 months ago

China's Economy Slows Amid Consumption Woes and Investment Decline

China's November retail sales growth sharply missed expectations, indicating a deepening economic slowdown with declines in consumption, investment, and industrial output, amid ongoing property sector struggles and cautious consumer sentiment. Despite government pledges for policy support, concerns remain about the sustainability of growth and reliance on exports, with calls for structural reforms and increased domestic demand measures.

via CNBC|
#china#economic-slowdown#economy
China's Property Market Faces Steep Declines Amid Easing Regulations
business5 months ago

China's Property Market Faces Steep Declines Amid Easing Regulations

China's home prices declined more sharply in September despite recent easing measures in major cities, with new-home prices dropping 0.41% and resale values falling 0.64%, marking the steepest decline in a year. The prolonged downturn in the property sector continues to weigh on the economy, with real estate investment hitting a low since 2014 and overall economic growth slowing to 4.8% in Q3. While some cities like Beijing and Shanghai saw slight price increases due to policy easing, others like Shenzhen experienced significant price drops, highlighting ongoing challenges in the housing market.

via Bloomberg.com|
#business#china#economic-impact
China's Retail Surge Overshadowed by Persistent Property Slump
economy1 year ago

China's Retail Surge Overshadowed by Persistent Property Slump

China's retail sales increased by 4.8% in October, marking the highest rise in eight months, while industrial production grew by 5.3%, slightly below forecasts. Despite these gains, the property sector continues to struggle, with new home prices falling for the 16th consecutive month and real estate investment declining. The Chinese government has implemented various stimulus measures, including rate cuts and debt refinancing, to boost the economy. However, the persistent weakness in real estate poses challenges, especially with potential trade disruptions from a second Trump presidency. Analysts suggest more policy support is needed to stabilize the sector and sustain economic growth.

via Financial Times|
#china#economic-stimulus#economy