
Warsh’s Dilemma: Inflation, Supply Shocks and a Fed That Can’t Reopen Hormuz
New Fed chair Kevin Warsh vows to reinflate inflation to 2%, but the piece argues today’s prices are driven mainly by supply shocks from the Iran war and tariffs, not overheating demand. That limits the effectiveness of rate hikes, as higher rates could cool jobs and markets without solving energy costs or AI-driven price pressures. Analysts note inflation isn’t as severe as 2022 and warn forward guidance may be unhelpful; markets are split on a near-term hike, and the Fed’s tools to tame supply-driven inflation remain constrained.



