Moon Faces a 4% Chance of a 60-Meter Asteroid Hit in 2032

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Source: Indian Defence Review
Moon Faces a 4% Chance of a 60-Meter Asteroid Hit in 2032
Photo: Indian Defence Review
TL;DR

A ~60-meter asteroid named 2024 YR4 could strike the Moon on December 22, 2032, with about a 4% probability, potentially creating a 1-kilometer crater and a moonquake of magnitude 5.0–5.1, offering a rare scientific 'natural experiment' as observers track optical, thermal, and seismic signals—while fallout debris could reach Earth and affect satellites.

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