Moon Faces a 4% Chance of a 60-Meter Asteroid Hit in 2032

TL;DR
A ~60-meter asteroid named 2024 YR4 could strike the Moon on December 22, 2032, with about a 4% probability, potentially creating a 1-kilometer crater and a moonquake of magnitude 5.0–5.1, offering a rare scientific 'natural experiment' as observers track optical, thermal, and seismic signals—while fallout debris could reach Earth and affect satellites.
- Is the Moon About to Get Smashed? 4% Chance of a Major Asteroid Collision Indian Defence Review
- Asteroid 2024 YR4: Astronomers Are Preparing For The "Most Energetic Lunar Impact Witnessed In Human History" IFLScience
- If asteroid YR4 hits our Moon, it'll cause a bright flash and meteors as debris hits Earth, say scientists BBC Sky at Night Magazine
- A huge asteroid is falling on the Moon: what threatens Earth? Universe Space Tech
- Asteroid 2024 YR4 may hit Moon in 2032, raising fears of fireballs and satellite fallout on Earth,... Moneycontrol
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