
SpaceX Upper Stage Predicted to Crash into the Moon in 2026
A spent SpaceX Falcon 9 upper stage is forecast to crash into the Moon (near Einstein crater) on August 5, 2026, at about seven times the speed of sound. The impact poses no danger to Earth but highlights growing space-debris concerns as lunar exploration resumes with missions like Artemis IV and other countries planning Moon activity. The event may leave a new crater and could be imaged later by NASA’s Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter. The analysis stems from Bill Gray’s Project Pluto work; the source object remains in an Earth orbit that intersects the Moon’s path, and experts suggest safer disposal by placing spent stages on solar orbits to reduce future hits.










