All articles tagged with #employment data
Women accounted for 92% of US job growth during Trump's second term, a trend driven primarily by structural industry shifts rather than policy. Healthcare expansion offset losses in male-dominated sectors, while recent monthly data shows men's employment declining year-over-year.
US Treasury yields rose on Friday despite a weak September jobs report that added only 29,000 jobs, missing expectations of 84,000. The 10-year yield reached 5.281%, its highest since 2002, while the 2-year yield hit 4.839%. Traders now see a 77% chance the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady in October, but expect a hike in December. European bond markets stabilized, with German Bund yields falling, while US stocks rose as rate-hike bets faded.
ADP reported private payrolls rose 109,000 in April, beating forecasts with gains concentrated in education and health services (61,000) and trade/transport/utilities (25,000); construction added 10,000. The report signals a steady labor market in a low-hire/low-fire environment and suggests limited impact on Fed rate expectations, ahead of Friday’s government payrolls release.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics has postponed the January 2026 Employment Situation release due to the partial government shutdown, with the release rescheduled when funding resumes. The delay comes as a busy data week would have culminated in the nonfarm payrolls report and the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Markets had expected about 55,000 new jobs and a 4.4% unemployment rate. The shutdown also threatens other data releases, and a resolution by Tuesday is hoped for by Speaker Mike Johnson as Congress negotiates funding for the government and DHS.
The US economy added only 50,000 jobs in December, significantly below expectations, indicating a slowdown in employment growth.
The 10-year Treasury yield slightly decreased to 4.165% following a mixed December jobs report showing weaker-than-expected job growth but a lower unemployment rate, which may influence the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions. The report indicates a cautious labor market, with potential for rate cuts in the spring, amid ongoing economic and political developments.
The upcoming release of October and November US employment data aims to clarify the labor market's direction after months of uncertainty, with expectations of job losses in October due to government shutdown effects and a potential rebound in November, though some data may be distorted or revised.
Despite job growth in Minnesota, unemployment is rising and job seekers face longer search times, with many attending more job fairs and experiencing challenges, especially older workers, amid economic uncertainties and cautious hiring practices.
The upcoming US jobs report for November, delayed due to a 43-day government shutdown, is expected to show modest job growth with around 40,000 new jobs and a steady unemployment rate of 4.4%, but the data may be muddled and affected by the shutdown's disruptions, with broader economic indicators also being released this week.
The US job market remains uncertain due to the ongoing government shutdown, which has delayed official employment reports. Private sector data shows mixed signals, with some companies hiring and others announcing layoffs, especially in tech and warehousing. Worker confidence has declined amid fears of layoffs, and certain demographic groups face higher unemployment rates, indicating a potentially uneven economic recovery.
Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran views the recent increase in US private-sector jobs as a positive surprise and advocates for lower interest rates, citing the current restrictive policy as risky, amid moderating wages and labor demand.
In October, private companies in the U.S. added only 42,000 jobs, indicating continued labor market tightness amid a government shutdown that has delayed official employment data. The ADP report shows modest job growth, with notable declines in leisure and hospitality, and highlights concerns about small business employment and consumer resilience. Major companies are also reducing jobs, and the lack of official data complicates economic assessment.
The suspension of ADP's access to employment data highlights the importance of government-produced economic data, as private sector sources, despite their value, cannot fully replace the comprehensive and reliable information provided by government agencies, especially during times of data collection disruptions like government shutdowns.
Due to the federal government shutdown, the September US jobs report was not released, but estimates suggest a modest increase of 50,000 jobs with the unemployment rate steady at 4.3%. The labor market shows signs of weakness with slower job growth, declining construction jobs, and challenges for unemployed workers, though certain sectors like healthcare continue to add jobs. Overall, the data indicates a sluggish recovery with ongoing economic uncertainties.
Despite signs of economic pain such as slow job growth and rising unemployment, U.S. stocks are reaching record highs, supported by lower interest rates and investor optimism. A key chart shows that stocks perform well during weeks when Treasury yields fall, indicating a shift in market behavior. Experts believe the market will broaden next year with continued rate cuts, and high valuations are justified by record profit margins, with concerns about oil prices being the main risk.