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JPMorgan urges dip-buying in 2026 as macro setup shifts
markets1 month ago

JPMorgan urges dip-buying in 2026 as macro setup shifts

JPMorgan strategists led by Mislav Matejka say investors with at least a three-month horizon should use any stock weakness to buy, arguing 2026 presents a very different setup from 2022 as inflation pressures ease and pricing power softens. The note favors long-duration assets sensitive to rate moves and anticipates a reversion toward international stocks (VXUS/EEM) as tensions ease. EPS forecasts for the S&P 500 remain positive, eurozone earnings growth looks solid, and EM valuations remain deeply discounted to developed markets (EM ~34% cheaper; Europe trading around 14x 2026 earnings versus the S&P 500 ~19.5x). A fading dollar-safe-haven bid could further bolster non-US equities in the second half.

via MarketWatch|
#equity-markets#global-stocks#investing
Markets React Mixed to Fed's 2025 Rate Cut
finance8 months ago

Markets React Mixed to Fed's 2025 Rate Cut

US and European stock futures rose following the Federal Reserve's quarter-point interest rate cut, with markets remaining cautious about future policy moves. The Fed signaled potential for two more cuts this year amid signs of labor market weakness, while global stocks hit record highs. The market reaction was mixed, reflecting investor uncertainty about the Fed's cautious stance and future rate trajectory.

via Bloomberg.com|
#federal-reserve#finance#global-stocks
"Global Stock Markets Pause Following Record-Breaking Week"
finance2 years ago

"Global Stock Markets Pause Following Record-Breaking Week"

Global stock markets paused after a week of record-setting gains, with profit-taking and a mixed performance from major indices. Dovish signals from central banks, including a surprise rate cut by Switzerland's central bank and the Bank of England's indication of potential rate cuts, contributed to the market's rally. The dollar struggled to extend gains as U.S. yields ticked lower, while the possibility of more monetary easing in China led to a sharp drop in the yuan. Additionally, U.S. crude and Brent futures fell, while gold prices fluctuated and investment flows into gold reached their highest in almost a year.

via Reuters|
#central-banks#dollar#finance
"Asia Markets Gain Momentum Ahead of Key Economic Events"
financeeconomics2 years ago

"Asia Markets Gain Momentum Ahead of Key Economic Events"

Asian markets are starting the week on a cautious note as investors await a slew of Chinese economic data releases and central bank policy decisions from the U.S. and Japan. Last week's global market volatility, driven by a sharp rebound in U.S. bond yields, has left sentiment fragile. The Bank of Japan is expected to raise interest rates for the first time since 2007, while China's data dump on Monday includes key indicators such as business investment, retail sales, industrial production, and unemployment. Signs of recovery in China are emerging, but challenges remain as the country navigates through economic headwinds.

via Reuters|
#asian-markets#central-bank-policy#china
"Stocks Poised for Correction, But Analysts Don't Predict Bear Market"
finance2 years ago

"Stocks Poised for Correction, But Analysts Don't Predict Bear Market"

Ned Davis Research predicts a potential correction in global stocks due to excessive investor enthusiasm, but believes a bear market similar to 2020 and 2022 is unlikely. Despite record highs in various equity indexes, the macro outlook doesn't indicate significant inflationary pressures or economic weakness. While investor sentiment is exuberant, historical data suggests a potential pullback as sentiment eases. However, expanding market breadth and increased buying of underperforming stocks may help mitigate losses. Ned Davis Research remains bullish on stocks, recommending a 70% portfolio allocation to equities, despite recent market fluctuations.

via MarketWatch|
#bear-market#finance#global-stocks
"Global Market Updates: Stocks React to U.S. Inflation Data"
finance2 years ago

"Global Market Updates: Stocks React to U.S. Inflation Data"

European markets are poised for a higher open as investors await the latest U.S. inflation report, with the February consumer price index release being closely watched for its potential impact on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions. Overnight, Asia-Pacific markets mostly rose, and Barclays has named three European stocks to consider buying for the upcoming quarter. In European markets, the U.K.'s FTSE 100, Germany's DAX, France's CAC, and Italy's FTSE MIB are all expected to open higher, with earnings reports from Lego and Persimmon and U.K. unemployment figures for January also on the agenda.

via CNBC|
#european-markets#federal-reserve#finance
"Tech Boosts Stocks, Dollar Steadies: Market Recovers from Inflation Aftershock"
finance2 years ago

"Tech Boosts Stocks, Dollar Steadies: Market Recovers from Inflation Aftershock"

Global stocks rose, driven by a rally in technology shares and a steady dollar as investors assessed the possibility of U.S. rate cuts. A warmer U.S. inflation reading led to reduced chances of a prompt rate cut from the Federal Reserve, boosting the dollar and causing a sell-off in the fixed income market. Analysts believe investors are banking on a soft landing for the economy, with resilient U.S. growth and inflation converging towards 2%. Optimism about the growth outlook sent Wall Street stocks higher, with chipmaker Nvidia overtaking Apple as the third-largest U.S. company by market value. Traders are now pricing in an 82% chance of a Fed cut in June, and U.S. retail sales numbers could offer insight into consumer spending in January.

via Reuters|
#dollar#economic-growth#federal-reserve
"Market Turmoil: Traders React to Rate Cut Rethink and Lingering Inflation"
finance2 years ago

"Market Turmoil: Traders React to Rate Cut Rethink and Lingering Inflation"

Global stocks fell as traders adjusted their expectations for the pace and scale of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve following an unexpected rise in U.S. inflation. The MSCI All-World index dropped 0.1%, while the dollar and Treasury yields remained strong. The prospect of a steep drop in interest rates waned, leading to pressure on global stocks. Yields on 10-year U.S. Treasuries hit their highest in over two months, and the dollar strengthened. In Europe, the STOXX edged up 0.1%, and Japan's Nikkei fell 0.7%. Oil prices remained flat amid geopolitical tensions, while gold fell to $1,989 an ounce.

via Reuters|
#dollar#federal-reserve#finance