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Taiwan Strait

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Trump’s Taiwan gamble threatens deterrence and stability in the Taiwan Strait
defense-and-security13 days ago

Trump’s Taiwan gamble threatens deterrence and stability in the Taiwan Strait

A Brookings analysis argues that Trump’s hints at negotiating with Beijing over Taiwan and using arms sales as leverage would undermine deterrence, embolden Beijing, and raise the risk of conflict in the Taiwan Strait. The path to peace, the piece contends, is a steady U.S. commitment to peace and stability, resisting unilateral moves by either side, preserving influence in both Taipei and Beijing, and encouraging direct cross-strait dialogue rather than concessions that undermine deterrence.

Taiwan Tensions Put Spotlight on Xi-Trump Summit in Beijing
world16 days ago

Taiwan Tensions Put Spotlight on Xi-Trump Summit in Beijing

During a two-hour Beijing meeting, Xi Jinping warned that the Taiwan question could trigger clashes or conflicts if mishandled, while presenting the talks as productive with a focus on stabilizing trade; the White House framed the discussions as positive and trade-focused, but Taiwan remains a sensitive, unresolved issue amid broader U.S.-China tensions over Iran and cross-strait peace.

Iran War Offers Warnings for China's Taiwan Plans
world19 days ago

Iran War Offers Warnings for China's Taiwan Plans

As the Iran war enters its third month, experts say the U.S. experience offers lessons for a potential China–U.S. clash over Taiwan: Beijing may misjudge its adversary and its own strengths, while Iran’s use of inexpensive drones against defences contrasts with Washington’s high-tech air campaign. Analysts urge China to harden key sites and prepare for drone-enabled, high-cost warfare, and Taiwan to boost mass-drone production and defenses. The United States may end up defending in a Pacific conflict, where drones raise the cost of invasion and deter aggression. Ultimately, battlefield wins don’t guarantee political outcomes, and any Taiwan scenario would quickly involve global trade and third-party interests.

Xi courts Taiwan’s opposition as Beijing flexes cross-strait influence amid tensions
world1 month ago

Xi courts Taiwan’s opposition as Beijing flexes cross-strait influence amid tensions

Chinese President Xi Jinping met in Beijing with Taiwan’s main opposition leader, Cheng Li-wun of the Kuomintang, signaling Beijing’s aim to influence Taiwan politics while stressing that unification is a historical inevitability; Cheng framed the talks as a pragmatic step toward a stable, gradual relationship and did not publicly challenge Beijing or raise arms-sales issues. The meeting comes as China intensifies military drills around Taiwan and Washington–Beijing tensions over arms sales linger, with no grand announcements and ahead of a possible visit by Donald Trump to China.

Beijing talks aim for peace as Taiwan opposition leader meets Xi
world1 month ago

Beijing talks aim for peace as Taiwan opposition leader meets Xi

Taiwan’s Kuomintang figure Cheng Li-wun met Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing — the highest‑level Taiwanese leader to do so since 2015 — with both sides voicing opposition to Taiwan independence and a desire for peaceful cross‑strait ties. Cheng urged reconciliation and a reduction of political confrontation, while Xi highlighted shared history and signaled willingness to work for peace with the KMT and broader Taiwanese society. The meeting unfolds amid ongoing U.S. arms debates and China’s military activity around Taiwan, drawing skepticism from the ruling DPP over Beijing’s aims and Taiwan’s sovereignty.

Xi Extends Peace Outreach to Taiwan Opposition Ahead of Trump Summit
world2 months ago

Xi Extends Peace Outreach to Taiwan Opposition Ahead of Trump Summit

As Xi Jinping prepares for a summit with President Trump, he invites Cheng Li-wun, chair of Taiwan’s main opposition Nationalist Party, for a rare visit to China to promote a peace message and show Beijing’s willingness to engage with Taipei’s pro-Beijing voices. The move is meant to shape public diplomacy and potentially influence U.S. arms policy, even as Taiwan’s government and some party members caution against relying on Beijing’s goodwill or undermining defense readiness.

Denisovan Jawbone Off Taiwan Expands Our View of Ancient Humans
science3 months ago

Denisovan Jawbone Off Taiwan Expands Our View of Ancient Humans

A Denisovan jawbone found 60–120 meters deep off the coast of Taiwan and identified using paleoproteomics confirms Denisovans’ presence in warmer coastal Asia and suggests they thrived in diverse environments beyond Siberia. Dating is uncertain, estimated between 10,000 and 190,000 years ago, highlighting their adaptability and potential interactions with other hominins.

Beijing's 2026 Dilemma: Coercion Over War Remains Xi's Default
world4 months ago

Beijing's 2026 Dilemma: Coercion Over War Remains Xi's Default

Beijing is unlikely to invade Taiwan in 2026, instead relying on coercive tools—diplomatic isolation, information operations, economic pressure and continued military posturing—to wear down Taiwan while preserving attack options. Xi’s calculus hinges on military readiness and leadership reliability, likely US and regional responses, Taiwan’s defenses and political dynamics, Chinese domestic economic challenges, and broader global context. Despite notable military gains and internal purges, the risk of escalation remains a key factor, making war less likely this year but not impossible if conditions shift.

China intensifies military drills near Taiwan amid rising tensions
world5 months ago

China intensifies military drills near Taiwan amid rising tensions

China's People's Liberation Army conducted large-scale military exercises around Taiwan, including live-fire drills and air and naval maneuvers, escalating tensions in the region amid ongoing disputes over Taiwan's sovereignty and recent US arms sales to Taiwan. The drills prompted international flight disruptions, increased regional instability, and heightened diplomatic tensions between China, Taiwan, and other countries like Japan and the US.