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Deterrence

All articles tagged with #deterrence

Gulf States Deliberate Retaliation as Iran's Attacks Intensify on Energy Infrastructure
world23 days ago

Gulf States Deliberate Retaliation as Iran's Attacks Intensify on Energy Infrastructure

As Iran widens its strikes on Gulf energy facilities, regional powers such as Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE face a choice between maintaining diplomatic/defensive postures and taking offensive action. Possible moves include allowing U.S. bases and airspace access for strikes or targeting Iran’s missile and drone launchers, while aiming to protect critical shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Analysts warn that any retaliation risks triggering heavier Iranian responses and broader regional escalation, including strikes on civilian infrastructure or leveraging proxies like the Houthis.

via CNBC|
#deterrence#drones-and-missiles#energy-infrastructure
Tehran bets on deterrence, not ceasefire, as war intensifies
world1 month ago

Tehran bets on deterrence, not ceasefire, as war intensifies

Iranian strategist Hassan Ahmadian says Iran has no plan for a ceasefire or for overturning the regime; instead Tehran intends to impose high costs on the United States and Israel to deter future attacks, arguing the Islamic Republic is structurally resilient and backed by a broad middle-ground base. He notes domestic unrest is manageable, rejects calls of imminent collapse, and predicts Iran will escalate with significant strikes after about 10 days while arguing regional states see this as not their war; the West’s explanations for the war are seen as post-facto justifications.

via UnHerd|
#deterrence#iran#middle-east
Iran bets on deterrence and endurance as regional conflict widens
world1 month ago

Iran bets on deterrence and endurance as regional conflict widens

Iran appears to pursue deterrence and endurance over outright victory, arming itself with layered missiles, long-range drones, and allied groups to deter the US and Israel while weathering a protracted conflict; it leverages economic pressure and energy-market aims via threats to Hormuz, and uses decentralised command to survive hits, but the strategy risks miscalculation, regional escalation, and growing isolation if nearby states push back.

via BBC|
#deterrence#drones#iran
France broadens nuclear deterrent and allows allied aircraft deployments
world1 month ago

France broadens nuclear deterrent and allows allied aircraft deployments

France will increase its nuclear arsenal (first rise since at least 1992) and permit temporary deployment of its nuclear-armed aircraft to allied countries as part of a Europe-focused deterrence strategy, with talks under way with several partners to participate in exercises. No sharing of decision-making on use of weapons remains, and the move aims to bolster European security amid concerns about U.S. commitments, though it faces criticism from disarmament groups regarding costs and escalation risks.

via AP News|
#deterrence#europe-security#france
Xi’s Purges Rewire the PLA, Raising Taiwan War Risk in the Medium Term
world1 month ago

Xi’s Purges Rewire the PLA, Raising Taiwan War Risk in the Medium Term

Xi Jinping’s purge of senior PLA officers has disrupted the high command and delayed near-term war planning, but it may foster a new generation of capable commanders and a firmer party-led military that could push toward a Taiwan showdown in the late 2020s to early 2030s; long-term risk depends on the civilian successor and how deterrence messaging influences Xi’s calculus more than battlefield might.

via War on the Rocks|
#cross-strait#deterrence#pla-purges
Arctic Forces Worn by Ukraine War, NATO Braces for Russia’s Return
defense1 month ago

Arctic Forces Worn by Ukraine War, NATO Braces for Russia’s Return

Russia has pulled most of its Arctic troops to fight in Ukraine and suffered heavy losses, but NATO and Western analysts warn Moscow will rebuild and pose a stronger challenge in the High North. Allies are boosting Arctic defenses, training, surveillance, and mobility capabilities, with exercises like Cold Response signaling preparation for a future, more capable Russian threat.

via Business Insider|
#arctic#defense#deterrence
US widens missile posture in the Philippines to deter China in disputed seas
world1 month ago

US widens missile posture in the Philippines to deter China in disputed seas

The United States plans to broaden its missile posture in the Philippines by deploying more advanced launchers and unmanned systems as part of expanded security cooperation, while Manila and Washington outline specific defense plans including joint exercises and modernization efforts. China opposes the deployments as containment, but Philippine officials say the move is deterrence and a means to preserve freedom of navigation in the disputed South China Sea.

via AP News|
#deterrence#missile-systems#philippines
European deterrence in focus: defence chiefs urge robust rearmament and unity against Russia
defense1 month ago

European deterrence in focus: defence chiefs urge robust rearmament and unity against Russia

Two European defence leaders argue that post‑Cold War peace dividends must give way to a step change in investment and unity to deter Russia, citing Nato’s goal of 5% of GDP on defence by 2035, the need for a strong European defence industry, and initiatives like Britain–Germany cooperation and the EU Safe fund, while stressing that rearmament is a responsible act to protect people and peace and requires a whole‑of‑society approach.

via The Guardian|
#defense#defense-spending#deterrence
Arctic Tensions Rise as U.S. Missile Shield in Greenland Triggers Russian Warnings
world2 months ago

Arctic Tensions Rise as U.S. Missile Shield in Greenland Triggers Russian Warnings

Russia warns of military and technical countermeasures if the United States deploys the planned Golden Dome missile-defense system in Greenland, arguing the move destabilizes the strategic balance as the New START treaty expires. The situation ties Arctic security to broader deterrence dynamics, while the U.S. touts a layered defense architecture with space-based sensors and interceptors; Denmark and NATO-aligned partners remain cautious and no deployment or formal agreements have been confirmed.

via Indian Defence Review|
#arctic#deterrence#greenland