Tag

Crude Oil

All articles tagged with #crude oil

Gas price volatility: why pumps jump fast and drift slow in oil shocks
business19 days ago

Gas price volatility: why pumps jump fast and drift slow in oil shocks

Economists describe the ‘rocket-and-feathers’ phenomenon: retail gasoline prices spike quickly when crude oil rises but fall slowly as crude retreats, driven by forward-looking replacement costs, slim retailer margins, and competitive dynamics at the pump. Consumer search behavior intensifies price increases but wanes as prices drop, while regional market structures—especially California—can magnify the effect. Media coverage and supply-chain constraints also play roles, and even if tensions with Iran ease, pump relief is unlikely to come promptly.

StanChart Warns Oil Correction May Prove Short-Lived Amid Hormuz Risks
energy1 month ago

StanChart Warns Oil Correction May Prove Short-Lived Amid Hormuz Risks

Standard Chartered argues the recent oil price pullback could be temporary, with Brent in the mid-90s after the drop but likely to stay $10–20/bbl above pre-conflict levels as risk around the Strait of Hormuz persists. They project near-term Brent near $98/bbl and WTI around $92.50/bbl for Q2, noting price direction will hinge on Middle East escalation/de-escalation, logistics delays, and reserve purchases. While Hormuz disruption clouds flows and insurance costs, LNG growth in 2026 could offset some gas losses, though real stability depends on a durable ceasefire and lasting settlement.

Oil Rally Prompts Caution: U.S. Drillers Pause Expansion
energy1 month ago

Oil Rally Prompts Caution: U.S. Drillers Pause Expansion

Oil prices are high, but U.S. drillers are holding back on expansion, choosing to repair balance sheets rather than drill more wells as geopolitical uncertainties, particularly the Strait of Hormuz disruptions, weigh on investment plans; a Dallas Fed Energy Survey shows profitability thresholds but only about 21% of operators expect to meaningfully increase drilling this year.

commodities2 months ago

Oil to stay above $100/bbl as Iran tensions persist, OCBC says

OCBC analysts say oil prices are likely to hold above $100 per barrel in the near term due to limited Iran de-escalation and tightened Strait of Hormuz flows, keeping global crude markets tight. They expect Brent to hover around $100 through mid-2026 and ease to about $70 by early 2027 as disruptions fade, but a supply shock risk remains if tensions persist, even as mitigations like strategic reserves and alternative routes could offset part of the gap.

business2 months ago

Oil jumps above $90 as Hormuz disruptions outpace Trump’s energy moves

Oil surged past $90 a barrel—the highest since 2023—as ongoing disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz keep supply tight, despite Trump administration measures to calm markets. Gas prices rose, and analysts warn that a prolonged closure could force sizable production shut-ins in the Middle East, implying further volatility even if shipping resumes. The White House touts a plan to stabilize prices, but market dynamics suggest the worst may not be over.

Oil RSI hits a 36-year high, but rally could still have legs
markets2 months ago

Oil RSI hits a 36-year high, but rally could still have legs

Crude-oil futures rose about 12% on Friday and are headed for a record weekly gain of over 35% as Iran-related supply fears mount. The Relative Strength Index climbed to 88.94, a 36-year high, signaling an overbought condition; yet history shows such readings have preceded further rallies rather than reversals, suggesting a near-term pullback is possible but the overall rally could continue if momentum remains strong.