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Hurricane Forecast

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NOAA expects a quieter 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, urges early preparedness
weather6 days ago

NOAA expects a quieter 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, urges early preparedness

NOAA’s 2026 outlook calls for a below-normal Atlantic hurricane season (June 1–Nov 30) with 8–14 named storms, 3–6 hurricanes, and 1–3 major hurricanes, aided by developing El Niño and warmer Atlantic conditions with weaker trade winds. Forecasters assign about a 55% chance of below-normal activity (35% near-normal, 10% above-normal) and highlight new tech—AI-based models, drones, enhanced forecast cones, and expanded products for Hawaii and inland areas—to improve forecasts, emphasizing that preparedness should begin now.

via NOAA (.gov)|
#atlantic-hurricane-season#el-nino#hurricane-forecast
El Niño May Dampen Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026, NOAA Forecasts
science6 days ago

El Niño May Dampen Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026, NOAA Forecasts

NOAA forecasts a below-average Atlantic hurricane season for 2026, with a 55% chance of below-normal activity and 8–14 named storms, 3–6 hurricanes, and 1–3 major hurricanes, largely due to a developing El Niño that increases upper-atmosphere wind shear even as sea temperatures remain warm. Forecasters caution that even in a quiet season, a single major hurricane can cause severe damage, and CSU's separate forecast also signals below-active activity. The season runs June 1 to November 30.

via BBC|
#atlantic-hurricane-season#el-nino#hurricane-forecast
El Niño Could Quiet the 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season, NOAA Forecasts
weather6 days ago

El Niño Could Quiet the 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season, NOAA Forecasts

NOAA forecasts a below-average 2026 Atlantic hurricane season with 8–14 named storms, 3–6 hurricanes, and up to 3 major hurricanes, driven largely by the anticipated return of El Niño which tends to increase upper-atmosphere wind shear and suppress activity, though warmer-than-normal Atlantic waters could still fuel systems. The season runs June 1–November 30, with the first tropical storm typically forming in late June and the first hurricane around mid-August.

via CNN|
#atlantic-hurricane-season#climate-patterns#el-nino
Tropical Storm Melissa Threatens Caribbean with Heavy Rain and Potential Hurricane
weather7 months ago

Tropical Storm Melissa Threatens Caribbean with Heavy Rain and Potential Hurricane

Tropical Storm Melissa is currently not strengthening but is expected to become a dangerous hurricane in the Caribbean, with potential for heavy rainfall, flooding, and mudslides in Haiti, the Dominican Republic, Cuba, and Jamaica, fueled by near-record warm waters and climate change impacts. Its future track is uncertain, but it may intensify into a major hurricane and pose threats mainly to Caribbean islands, with minimal risk to the U.S. for now.

via Yale Climate Connections|
#caribbean-hurricane#climate-change#hurricane-forecast
Tropical Storm Erin Set to Become 2025's First Atlantic Hurricane
weather9 months ago

Tropical Storm Erin Set to Become 2025's First Atlantic Hurricane

Tropical Storm Erin is expected to strengthen into the first hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, with its path still uncertain but potentially impacting the U.S. East Coast, the Greater Antilles, and the Bahamas. The storm is currently east of the Leeward Islands and moving westward, with possible intensification forecasted in the coming days.

via yahoo.com|
#atlantic-hurricane-season#climate#hurricane-forecast