All articles tagged with #national hurricane center
Tropical Storm Dolly has formed in the Atlantic, about 1,555 miles east of the Leeward Islands, with maximum sustained winds around 40 mph and a central pressure of 1007 mb. The NHC says Dolly is likely short‑lived and expected to degenerate into a tropical wave before reaching the Leeward Islands, though heavy rain could affect the islands late Saturday into Sunday. There are currently no watches or warnings.
The next Atlantic storm is expected to be named Dolly, a preselected name from rotating lists that predates Dolly Parton’s death; officials stress there’s no connection to her passing, and the name could be assigned within days if the tropical wave strengthens (about a 70% chance). Naming follows procedures set by the World Meteorological Organization, with names reused on a 7-year cycle unless retired for historic storms.
New Tropical Storm Bertha strengthened to about 50 mph and is moving toward the northern Gulf Coast, with its center roughly 110 miles south-southwest of Panama City and 170 miles southeast of Mobile as of the 5 a.m. advisory. The NHC forecasts a slow northwest to west-northwest track with some potential strengthening to around 60 mph before wind shear likely limits it, bringing Bertha near or along the northern Gulf Coast over the next several days. A tropical storm warning is in effect from the Alabama/Florida line west to the Louisiana border, with watches extending into parts of Florida and Louisiana, and a storm surge watch for areas from the Alabama/Florida border to the Mississippi River mouth. Impacts could include 1-3 feet of surge along portions of Florida’s coast, 2-4 feet near the Mississippi/Alabama border, and 1-3 feet near Morgan City, plus 2-4 inches of rain (locally up to 6 inches) and dangerous rip currents. The season outlook remains 8-14 named storms with 3-6 hurricanes for 2026.
Forecasters say a potential tropical cyclone near southern Texas has a 70% chance to become Tropical Storm Arthur in the Gulf of Mexico within about 24 hours, with a tropical-storm watch in effect from Sargent, TX to Morgan City, LA. Regardless of Arthur’s formation, the system is expected to bring heavy rainfall across southern and eastern Texas, parts of Louisiana and Mississippi, risking flash flooding (as much as 5–8 inches already fallen, with 10+ inches possible locally), gusty winds, storm surge up to 4 feet, rip currents, and possible tornadoes along the NW Gulf Coast. NOAA also expects a below-normal 2026 Atlantic hurricane season (8–14 named storms, 3–6 hurricanes, 1–3 major) due to El Niño.
The National Hurricane Center says a broad low-pressure system moving from south Texas toward the northwestern Gulf of Mexico could become the season’s first tropical storm, potentially named Arthur, with marginal conditions allowing short-lived development late today or Wednesday. Regardless of formation, residents of southern/eastern Texas and parts of Louisiana and Mississippi should prepare for heavy rainfall and possible life-threatening flooding, along with gusty winds and coastal flooding along the Gulf Coast. The NHC assigns about a 60% chance of development in the next two to seven days, and the Atlantic hurricane season—which begins June 1 and is expected to be below normal (8–14 named storms, 3–6 hurricanes, 1–3 major)—remains in the monitoring phase with updates every six hours.
Tropical Storm Sara is expected to weaken significantly before reaching Central Florida due to its interaction with land and an approaching cold front. Currently near Honduras, Sara is causing heavy rain and potential flooding but is forecast to lose its tropical storm status as it moves through Belize and Mexico into the Gulf of Mexico. By the time it reaches Florida, it is likely to be a remnant low, increasing rain chances midweek but posing little threat of a significant storm.
Tropical Storm Sara has formed and is heading towards Honduras, posing a threat of life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides. The National Hurricane Center warns that the storm, moving west, could bring heavy rainfall and dangerous conditions to Central America through early next week. The storm's development highlights the ongoing risks during hurricane season, which is predicted to be particularly severe this year with numerous tropical storms and potential major hurricanes.
A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the western Caribbean Sea, with potential to develop into a tropical depression later this week or weekend, as the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season nears its end. The National Hurricane Center is monitoring this system, giving it a medium chance of development over the next seven days. This follows the dissipation of Tropical Storm Rafael, which had previously been a major hurricane.
Tropical Storm Rafael has intensified into a Category 1 hurricane near the Cayman Islands, with sustained winds of 75 mph. A hurricane warning is in effect for the Cayman Islands and parts of Cuba, including Havana, with expected storm surges and heavy rain that could lead to flash flooding and mudslides. The storm is projected to strengthen further, potentially reaching Category 2 status before making landfall in Cuba. Tropical storm conditions are also anticipated in Jamaica and the Florida Keys, with possible tornadoes in southwestern Florida.
Tropical Storm Rafael has formed in the Caribbean and is expected to become a hurricane by Tuesday, according to the National Hurricane Center. Currently located 175 miles south of Kingston, Jamaica, Rafael is moving north and could impact the U.S. later in the week. A hurricane warning is in effect for the Cayman Islands, with tropical storm warnings for Jamaica and parts of Cuba. The storm is expected to bring heavy rain and potential flooding to the region. This development marks the 17th named storm of an already active Atlantic hurricane season.
Forecasters are monitoring two storm clusters in the Atlantic Ocean and Gulf of Mexico that could develop into tropical depressions within 48 hours. One system near the Bahamas is expected to impact the southeastern U.S. with rain and gusty winds, while the other in the Gulf of Mexico could form into a tropical depression over the weekend. The 2024 Atlantic hurricane season is predicted to be very active, with 17 to 25 named storms expected.
The National Hurricane Center is monitoring five tropical waves in the Atlantic, none of which are expected to develop into tropical cyclones this week. However, these waves could bring tropical moisture to Florida, potentially marking the start of the summer rainy season. Forecasters predict an above-average hurricane season with up to 25 named storms.
The National Hurricane Center is monitoring five tropical waves as the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season begins, with no immediate tropical activity expected. AccuWeather forecasters warn of tropical downpours in the Caribbean, with a slight chance of storm formation. The season is predicted to be very active, with up to 25 named storms expected, driven by La Niña and record-warm water. Florida residents are advised to stay prepared and monitor updates.
The National Hurricane Center is tracking four tropical waves early in the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season, but no tropical cyclone development is expected in the next seven days. The season is predicted to be very active, with up to 25 named storms anticipated. Residents are advised to stay prepared and monitor updates.
The 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season begins with no immediate tropical cyclones expected, though three tropical waves are being monitored. Despite a mild start, forecasters predict a very active season with up to 25 named storms due to La Niña and record-warm water. Residents are advised to stay prepared, especially with sales tax holidays in Florida from June 1-14.