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National Hurricane Center

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Gulf Could Welcome 2026’s First Named Storm as Arthur Could Form Within 24 Hours
weather28 days ago

Gulf Could Welcome 2026’s First Named Storm as Arthur Could Form Within 24 Hours

Forecasters say a potential tropical cyclone near southern Texas has a 70% chance to become Tropical Storm Arthur in the Gulf of Mexico within about 24 hours, with a tropical-storm watch in effect from Sargent, TX to Morgan City, LA. Regardless of Arthur’s formation, the system is expected to bring heavy rainfall across southern and eastern Texas, parts of Louisiana and Mississippi, risking flash flooding (as much as 5–8 inches already fallen, with 10+ inches possible locally), gusty winds, storm surge up to 4 feet, rip currents, and possible tornadoes along the NW Gulf Coast. NOAA also expects a below-normal 2026 Atlantic hurricane season (8–14 named storms, 3–6 hurricanes, 1–3 major) due to El Niño.

Gulf updraft could spark this season’s first tropical storm
weather28 days ago

Gulf updraft could spark this season’s first tropical storm

The National Hurricane Center says a broad low-pressure system moving from south Texas toward the northwestern Gulf of Mexico could become the season’s first tropical storm, potentially named Arthur, with marginal conditions allowing short-lived development late today or Wednesday. Regardless of formation, residents of southern/eastern Texas and parts of Louisiana and Mississippi should prepare for heavy rainfall and possible life-threatening flooding, along with gusty winds and coastal flooding along the Gulf Coast. The NHC assigns about a 60% chance of development in the next two to seven days, and the Atlantic hurricane season—which begins June 1 and is expected to be below normal (8–14 named storms, 3–6 hurricanes, 1–3 major)—remains in the monitoring phase with updates every six hours.

Tropical Storm Sara Weakens After Honduras Landfall, Heads to Florida
weather1 year ago

Tropical Storm Sara Weakens After Honduras Landfall, Heads to Florida

Tropical Storm Sara is expected to weaken significantly before reaching Central Florida due to its interaction with land and an approaching cold front. Currently near Honduras, Sara is causing heavy rain and potential flooding but is forecast to lose its tropical storm status as it moves through Belize and Mexico into the Gulf of Mexico. By the time it reaches Florida, it is likely to be a remnant low, increasing rain chances midweek but posing little threat of a significant storm.

Tropical Storm Sara Forms in Caribbean, Potential Florida Impact
weather1 year ago

Tropical Storm Sara Forms in Caribbean, Potential Florida Impact

Tropical Storm Sara has formed and is heading towards Honduras, posing a threat of life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides. The National Hurricane Center warns that the storm, moving west, could bring heavy rainfall and dangerous conditions to Central America through early next week. The storm's development highlights the ongoing risks during hurricane season, which is predicted to be particularly severe this year with numerous tropical storms and potential major hurricanes.

Potential Tropical Depression Brewing in Caribbean
weather1 year ago

Potential Tropical Depression Brewing in Caribbean

A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the western Caribbean Sea, with potential to develop into a tropical depression later this week or weekend, as the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season nears its end. The National Hurricane Center is monitoring this system, giving it a medium chance of development over the next seven days. This follows the dissipation of Tropical Storm Rafael, which had previously been a major hurricane.

Hurricane Rafael Intensifies, Targets Gulf After Caribbean Impact
weather1 year ago

Hurricane Rafael Intensifies, Targets Gulf After Caribbean Impact

Tropical Storm Rafael has intensified into a Category 1 hurricane near the Cayman Islands, with sustained winds of 75 mph. A hurricane warning is in effect for the Cayman Islands and parts of Cuba, including Havana, with expected storm surges and heavy rain that could lead to flash flooding and mudslides. The storm is projected to strengthen further, potentially reaching Category 2 status before making landfall in Cuba. Tropical storm conditions are also anticipated in Jamaica and the Florida Keys, with possible tornadoes in southwestern Florida.

Tropical Storm Rafael Set to Strengthen and Head for Gulf of Mexico
weather1 year ago

Tropical Storm Rafael Set to Strengthen and Head for Gulf of Mexico

Tropical Storm Rafael has formed in the Caribbean and is expected to become a hurricane by Tuesday, according to the National Hurricane Center. Currently located 175 miles south of Kingston, Jamaica, Rafael is moving north and could impact the U.S. later in the week. A hurricane warning is in effect for the Cayman Islands, with tropical storm warnings for Jamaica and parts of Cuba. The storm is expected to bring heavy rain and potential flooding to the region. This development marks the 17th named storm of an already active Atlantic hurricane season.

"Two Tropical Storms Threaten East Coast Amid Heat Wave"
weather2 years ago

"Two Tropical Storms Threaten East Coast Amid Heat Wave"

Forecasters are monitoring two storm clusters in the Atlantic Ocean and Gulf of Mexico that could develop into tropical depressions within 48 hours. One system near the Bahamas is expected to impact the southeastern U.S. with rain and gusty winds, while the other in the Gulf of Mexico could form into a tropical depression over the weekend. The 2024 Atlantic hurricane season is predicted to be very active, with 17 to 25 named storms expected.

"2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season: 5 Tropical Waves Threaten Florida"
weather2 years ago

"2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season: 5 Tropical Waves Threaten Florida"

The National Hurricane Center is monitoring five tropical waves in the Atlantic, none of which are expected to develop into tropical cyclones this week. However, these waves could bring tropical moisture to Florida, potentially marking the start of the summer rainy season. Forecasters predict an above-average hurricane season with up to 25 named storms.

"2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Major Storms and Rising Anxiety"
weather2 years ago

"2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Major Storms and Rising Anxiety"

The National Hurricane Center is monitoring five tropical waves as the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season begins, with no immediate tropical activity expected. AccuWeather forecasters warn of tropical downpours in the Caribbean, with a slight chance of storm formation. The season is predicted to be very active, with up to 25 named storms expected, driven by La Niña and record-warm water. Florida residents are advised to stay prepared and monitor updates.

"2024 Hurricane Season: Major Storms Predicted, Preparation Urged"
weather2 years ago

"2024 Hurricane Season: Major Storms Predicted, Preparation Urged"

The 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season begins with no immediate tropical cyclones expected, though three tropical waves are being monitored. Despite a mild start, forecasters predict a very active season with up to 25 named storms due to La Niña and record-warm water. Residents are advised to stay prepared, especially with sales tax holidays in Florida from June 1-14.

Essential Hurricane Preparedness Tips for 2024
weather2 years ago

Essential Hurricane Preparedness Tips for 2024

As the 2023 hurricane season begins, National Hurricane Center Director Michael Brennan emphasizes the importance of preparation and awareness. He advises knowing your risks, preparing your home, understanding evacuation needs, recognizing water as the deadliest threat, trusting federal forecasts over computer models, and fostering community support. Brennan stresses that early planning and community efforts are crucial to reducing risks and stress during hurricanes.

First Tropical Disturbance of 2024 Forms Early in Southwest Atlantic
weather2 years ago

First Tropical Disturbance of 2024 Forms Early in Southwest Atlantic

The National Hurricane Center is monitoring a disturbance in the southwest Atlantic with a 10% chance of developing into a tropical or subtropical system as it moves northeastward through the weekend. This comes just days before the official start of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, which NOAA predicts will be very active with 17-25 named storms.

First Tropical Wave Emerges Early in Atlantic Ahead of Hurricane Season
weather2 years ago

First Tropical Wave Emerges Early in Atlantic Ahead of Hurricane Season

The National Hurricane Center is monitoring the first tropical wave of the 2024 hurricane season, identified in the Central Atlantic. Although the official season starts on June 1, early formations in May are not uncommon. The wave is expected to bring heavy rain and gusty winds. NOAA will release its official forecast for the season on Thursday, with expectations of a very active season. The WDSU First Warning Weather Team will provide updates as the situation develops.