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Hurricane Season 2026

All articles tagged with #hurricane season 2026

Gulf Could Welcome 2026’s First Named Storm as Arthur Could Form Within 24 Hours
weather28 days ago

Gulf Could Welcome 2026’s First Named Storm as Arthur Could Form Within 24 Hours

Forecasters say a potential tropical cyclone near southern Texas has a 70% chance to become Tropical Storm Arthur in the Gulf of Mexico within about 24 hours, with a tropical-storm watch in effect from Sargent, TX to Morgan City, LA. Regardless of Arthur’s formation, the system is expected to bring heavy rainfall across southern and eastern Texas, parts of Louisiana and Mississippi, risking flash flooding (as much as 5–8 inches already fallen, with 10+ inches possible locally), gusty winds, storm surge up to 4 feet, rip currents, and possible tornadoes along the NW Gulf Coast. NOAA also expects a below-normal 2026 Atlantic hurricane season (8–14 named storms, 3–6 hurricanes, 1–3 major) due to El Niño.

El Niño's Rise Could Fuel Pacific Hurricanes While Suppressing Atlantic Storms in 2026
science2 months ago

El Niño's Rise Could Fuel Pacific Hurricanes While Suppressing Atlantic Storms in 2026

A developing El Niño is expected to boost the Eastern Pacific hurricane season in 2026 due to warmer waters and reduced vertical wind shear, while the Atlantic may see fewer storms because of cooler waters and more wind shear, though activity won’t vanish. The East Pacific season begins May 15, with names Amanda, Boris, Cristina and Douglas, and forecasters will monitor outlooks; past events like 2023's Hilary and 2025's Kiko illustrate how El Niño and La Niña patterns influence storms.

El Niño-Driven Outlook Narrows 2026 Hurricane Season Predictions
weather3 months ago

El Niño-Driven Outlook Narrows 2026 Hurricane Season Predictions

Colorado State University’s early forecast for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season projects a somewhat below-average year (13 named storms, 6 hurricanes, 2 major hurricanes) due to a developing strong El Niño that increases wind shear and dampens activity; sea-surface temperatures are mixed, Gulf of Mexico activity may be less suppressed, and overall U.S. major hurricane landfall probability is about 32% (down from 43%), with Florida remaining the most at-risk state. Forecasts will be updated in June–August.

El Niño’s fingerprint signals a quieter Atlantic hurricane season
weather3 months ago

El Niño’s fingerprint signals a quieter Atlantic hurricane season

Colorado State University’s initial hurricane forecast calls for a slightly below-average Atlantic season—about 13 named storms, 6 hurricanes and 2 major—driven primarily by the return of El Niño, which is expected to bring upper‑air wind shear that can weaken tropical systems. The La Niña pattern has ended and El Niño should be in place for the season’s peak (mid‑Aug to mid‑Oct). Yet mixed ocean temperatures across the Atlantic and the possibility of hotter‑than‑expected oceans mean the forecast carries uncertainty; stronger heat could erode El Niño’s quieting effect and spur rapid intensification, so conditions remain variable as the season approaches.