UBS posted a Q1 net profit of $3 billion, up 80% year-on-year and above analysts’ estimates, with the CET1 capital ratio at 14.7% and a plan to buy back $3 billion in shares after having repurchased $900 million in the quarter; underlying pre-tax profit rose 54% to $3.9 billion.
Micron Technology and peers jumped on news of a U.S.-Iran cease-fire as UBS analysts forecast memory prices to stay elevated into late 2027. DDR memory rose about 95% and NAND up ~80% in Q1, with further Q2 gains of roughly 37% and 40% expected, supported by potential long-term supply agreements that could stabilize prices amid steady demand for AI infrastructure.
UBS analyst Timothy Arcuri raised Micron's price target from $510 to $535, citing a rare memory super-cycle fueled by AI data-center demand for high-bandwidth memory. MU jumped in pre-market trading, with the stock up around 7–11% at publication; Arcuri’s checks suggest DRAM/NAND prices are firming and could keep MU’s elevated valuation multiples longer than usual. The market remains bullish with a Strong Buy consensus and an average target near $543, and MU is up roughly 32% year-to-date as investors bet on memory-cycle tailwinds despite earlier margin pressures.
UBS's five-star analyst Timothy Arcuri reiterates Buy on NVDA, MU, and AMD, raises MU's target to 475, keeps NVDA at 245, and lowers AMD to 310, citing AI-driven demand and hyperscaler capex as catalysts; NVDA is seen as the near-term winner, MU benefits from memory shortages, and AMD retains long-term AI data-center potential.
U.S. stocks opened lower as the S&P 500 slipped below its 50-day moving average and a key Fibonacci level near 6,850, with the VIX above 20 as tech downside and sticky inflation pressure persist. UBS downgraded U.S. equities due to dollar risk and policy volatility. Premarket movers included Netflix, Block and Dollar Tree, with Netflix later jumping after backing away from Warner Bros. Discovery’s bid; Paramount Skydance meanwhile lifted its bid for Warner’s assets. OpenAI’s $110 billion funding round boosted its valuation, adding to Big Tech focus. The PPI rose 0.5% in January, while the 10-year yield dipped back under 4% ahead of the data release. Other headlines noted Block layoffs, a Live Nation upgrade, and fading AAII bullish sentiment.
UBS strategists warn that a rapid and severe AI disruption could push private credit default rates up to 15%—well above the current 3–5%—as lender exposure to software and sponsor-backed loans gauges rise, with market moves around Blue Owl and other asset sales fueling investor concern, though some say the worst-case scenario may be overstated.
UBS analyst Joseph Spak upgrades Rivian (RIVN) to Neutral after a ~27% Friday surge driven by a Q4 beat and bets on the mass‑market R2 to lift 2026 deliveries to about 62k–67k. However, upside is seen as limited if R1/RCV demand falters, EV tax-credit headwinds persist, and production/ADAS execution risk remains, leaving the stock volatile and range‑bound despite UBS raising its target to $16.
UBS posted a robust Q4 with net profit of $1.2B on $12.1B in revenue, topping expectations, and announced a plan to buy back at least $3B of shares in 2026. The CET1 capital ratio stood at 14.4%, and invested assets exceeded $7T as UBS advances the Credit Suisse integration, with management reaffirming capital strength and medium-term targets.
Gold surged to a fresh record above $5,300 as the dollar weakened after Trump suggested a weaker greenback could help exports; UBS and other analysts warn the dollar’s decline could fuel a narrative of relative U.S. decline and shift capital away from dollar assets, while some expect further weakness. The move comes as stocks hover around records and gold remains a hedge, with Bitcoin retreating over the past year.
UBS provides strategies for investors to prepare their portfolios for potential shocks and growth opportunities in 2026, emphasizing diversification and risk management.
UBS predicts that the strong stock market rally seen in 2025 could continue into 2026, supported by positive economic indicators and market trends, suggesting continued investment opportunities.
UBS maintains a buy rating and a $235 target on NVIDIA despite concerns from Jefferies about declining demand for H200 chips in China, as NVIDIA continues to innovate with new AI models and partnerships, highlighting its strong position in the AI and tech industry.
The article discusses how a Swiss compromise could potentially save UBS billions, highlighting the importance of strategic negotiations and regulatory considerations in maintaining financial stability.
Tom Hayes, a former trader involved in the Libor-rigging scandal, has sued UBS for over $400 million, claiming the bank falsely portrayed him as the mastermind to shield itself from legal repercussions. Hayes's conviction was overturned in 2025 due to judicial errors, and he now seeks damages for the harm to his reputation and career, alleging malicious prosecution by UBS.
Tom Hayes, a trader whose conviction for interest rate rigging was overturned, is suing UBS for $400 million, claiming the bank falsely implicated him to cover up its misconduct and protect its executives, following a decade-long legal battle and the UK Supreme Court's ruling that his original conviction was unfair.