Ukraine’s Deep Strikes Reach Russia’s Oil Heartland
Analyses show Ukraine’s deep strikes (100km+ from the border) are intensifying, hitting oil terminals, refineries and ports as far as St. Petersburg and Tuapse; 2025 logged 658 deep strikes, with 2026 on pace for around 800+, and monitoring suggests the true figure is even higher. The attacks are denting Russia’s energy production and export revenues (refinery output down about 15% in spring; fossil-fuel revenues below Brent-expected levels), while Kyiv develops longer-range missiles and more capable drones. The strikes aim to slow repairs and disrupt high-value oil processing, signaling a shift in the war’s reach despite gaps in coverage that may undercount totals.
