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Isw Assessment

All articles tagged with #isw assessment

war-in-ukraine9 days ago•8 min saved

Putin Shifts to Winter Infrastructure Blitz as Frontline Gains Stall

The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) reports that Russian President Vladimir Putin is pivoting to a massive winter strike campaign against Ukrainian civilian and critical infrastructure to force capitulation, as frontline gains in eastern Ukraine have slowed. Russian forces launched 108 drones against Ukraine overnight and repeatedly targeted the Southern Bridge in Kyiv to degrade its structural stability. Ukrainian officials confirm Moscow’s intent to target major cities during the Winter 2026-2027 period. Meanwhile, Ukrainian forces continue long-range strikes against Russian military assets and oil infrastructure to raise the cost of the war for Moscow. ISW notes that Russian jet-powered Geran drones maintain an advantage until Ukraine scales up interceptor production, and no territorial advances were recorded on October 2.

via Kyiv Post|

#infrastructure-strikes #isw-assessment #kyiv-bridge

geopolitics11 days ago•0 min saved

ISW Data Shows Russia Losing Ground Despite Putin’s Claims of Rapid Advances

The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) reported that Russian forces have suffered a net loss of 293.59 square kilometers of Ukrainian territory since March 2026, contradicting President Vladimir Putin’s claims of accelerating battlefield gains. In September alone, Russia lost 80.81 square kilometers while suffering over 46,000 casualties, its highest monthly toll of the year. Ukraine’s Operation Vivaldi in the Lyman sector was a key factor, liberating at least 147 square kilometers and disrupting Russian plans to encircle the Donetsk defensive belt. ISW noted that Ukraine’s strict operational secrecy complicates precise monthly tracking, but the overall trend indicates a significant slowdown in Russian advances since March.

via Kyiv Post|

#geopolitics #isw-assessment #operation-vivaldi

geopolitics11 days ago•22 min saved

Ukraine’s Operation Vivaldi Reverses Russian Gains, Inflicting Record Losses

Ukraine’s Operation Vivaldi has reversed Russian territorial gains, resulting in a net loss of nearly 300 square kilometers for Moscow since March 2026. Russian forces suffered over 46,000 casualties in September, their highest monthly toll of the year, while Ukrainian forces advanced near Lyman and prepared new positions toward Slovyansk.

via Institute for the Study of War|

#geopolitics #isw-assessment #military-casualties

war-in-ukraine14 days ago•8 min saved

Putin's Winter Strategy: ISW Warns of Escalating Drone Strikes to Force Capitulation by Spring 2027

The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) reports that Vladimir Putin has adopted a new strategy to force Ukraine into capitulation by spring 2027, relying on massive, sustained strikes with ballistic missiles and jet-powered drones. This approach aims to exploit Ukrainian air defense shortages and energy vulnerabilities during the winter. Recent attacks on Kyiv and occupied territories have intensified humanitarian crises, while Ukrainian strikes on Russian oil refinements continue to constrain Moscow's war economy.

via Kyiv Post|

#isw-assessment #kyiv-strikes #russian-drone-campaign

world1 month ago•7 min saved

Russia Bets on Small Infiltration Cells as Frontoline Push Stalls

ISW reports Russian offensives across Sumy, Kharkiv and other sectors on Aug 15–16 yielded no confirmed ground advances; Moscow is increasingly using small infiltration groups (1–3 soldiers), glide bombs, and drones to probe Ukrainian defenses and disrupt logistics, while claims of gains are disputed and Ukrainian forces continue to hold key positions amid ongoing strikes.

via Kyiv Post|

#glide-bombs-drones #infiltration-groups #isw-assessment

world4 months ago•19 min saved

Putin-Xi Talks Fail to Seal PS-2 as Ukraine Counterattacks Intensify

During Putin’s visit to China, Moscow and Beijing did not secure a Power of Siberia-2 pipeline deal, signing only minor bilateral accords. Meanwhile Ukraine is regaining tactical momentum across multiple fronts, recapturing Kupyansk and pushing in western Zaporizhzhia, while Russian forces push elsewhere. Kyiv’s long-range strikes hit Russian oil refining and energy facilities, constraining production, and a broad Russian missile/drone campaign targeted Ukrainian infrastructure. Ukrainian sources claim high Russian casualties and Moscow’s recruitment is lagging, with ISW noting redeployments from Kupyansk to Lyman and ongoing infiltration efforts. Overall, Ukraine appears to be tightening its grip on several sectors as Moscow reorients to defense and rear-area priorities.

via Institute for the Study of War|

#isw-assessment #oil-infrastructure-strikes #power-of-siberia-2

world8 months ago•19 min saved

Russia Reaffirms War Aims as Talks Resume and Belarus Grows Closer Ties

ISW notes Moscow remains committed to its original war aims and rejects Western security guarantees as talks with Ukraine and the United States resume in Abu Dhabi; Russia is expanding recruitment for its Unmanned Systems Forces and intensifying mobilization tactics while Ukraine names a defense-tech advisor. Fighting continues across Kharkiv, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson fronts with broad drone and missile strikes, and Belarus is pulling its military-industrial base closer to Russia. Western pressure could push concessions, but no durable peace breakthrough is evident.

via Institute for the Study of War|

#belarus #drones #isw-assessment