
IEA warns 2026 oil demand to fall as Hormuz disruption tightens supply
The IEA trimmed its 2026 oil-demand forecast to a 1.6 million barrels-per-day drop (up from about 1 million previously), attributing the revision to continued disruptions from the Strait of Hormuz and renewed tensions that threaten global supply. Demand is expected to dip this year but recover later in 2026, even as inventories remain tight and refining capacity constraints keep prices volatile; the IMF has also cut growth forecasts, underscoring a slower global backdrop.













