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Regime

All articles tagged with #regime

War reshapes Iran's regime prospects as analysts warn of longer conflict
world29 days ago

War reshapes Iran's regime prospects as analysts warn of longer conflict

Two analysts assess the Iran war: Tehran’s new leadership signals continued hard-line control via the IRGC, while the US‑Israel campaign has degraded Iran’s current power but could accelerate its efforts to rebuild deterrence and its nuclear/missile programs. Iran appears domestically fragile amid protests, complicating politics, and a military victory may not translate into political success. Debates over whether the US should declare victory and withdraw versus continuing pressure reflect divergent views on the endgame; if the regime endures, it could become more repressive or pursue a recalibrated deterrence, shaping future US‑Iran policy.

via PBS|
#iran#middle-east#nuclear
Khamenei’s Death Sparks Talk of Iran’s Turning Point
world1 month ago

Khamenei’s Death Sparks Talk of Iran’s Turning Point

Analysts say the sudden death of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei could mark a turning point for the Islamic Republic, creating a leadership vacuum and testing the regime as mass protests continue; the IRGC may recalibrate its approach—potentially easing repression or mobilizing nationalist sentiment—to weather the transition and maintain power.

via The Guardian|
#iran#irgc#khamenei
Survival Over Surrender: Iran’s Regime and the Pressure Play
world1 month ago

Survival Over Surrender: Iran’s Regime and the Pressure Play

An opinion piece arguing that Iran’s leadership prefers to endure U.S. pressure rather than capitulate, since concessions could threaten regime survival; it cites Saddam Hussein’s 1991 choices to illustrate that sustaining pressure can outlast political rivals, with sanctions harming civilians while elites adapt, making it unlikely either Tehran or Washington will move first and suggesting force alone rarely yields swift political change in the Persian Gulf.

via War on the Rocks|
#geopolitics#iran#middleeast
Iran's universities ignite a third day of protests amid US tensions and Geneva talks
world1 month ago

Iran's universities ignite a third day of protests amid US tensions and Geneva talks

Thousands of Iranian students across universities, including Sharif University, hold a third day of anti-government protests with slogans like 'death to the dictator' amid a crackdown by security forces; the demonstrations unfold as tensions with the US escalate and Geneva hosts another round of nuclear talks, with domestic dissent and Kurdish parties forming a coalition against the regime.

via The Guardian|
#geneva-talks#iran#protests
Iran Protests Move Toward Transition, Youth Rally Behind Pahlavi
world2 months ago

Iran Protests Move Toward Transition, Youth Rally Behind Pahlavi

Iran’s latest protests diverge from 2022’s hijab protests, driven more by economic hardship and a masculine crowd, with younger Iranians increasingly backing Reza Pahlavi and some chanting for the former shah. The crackdown has left at least 30,000 dead and has raised questions about the regime’s survival and the shape of any future transition, whether toward a republic or a monarchy led by a transitional figure.

via The Guardian|
#iran#monarchy#protests
Leaked video shows Venezuela's regime scrambling to shape narrative after US raid
world2 months ago

Leaked video shows Venezuela's regime scrambling to shape narrative after US raid

A nearly two-hour leaked meeting reveals Venezuela’s acting president Delcy Rodríguez and cabinet members rushing to control the narrative after a US-led operation captured Maduro. Rodríguez and others discuss threats, unity, and three aims—preserve peace, rescue hostages, and safeguard political power—while influencers are urged to defend the regime online. Analysts say the clip highlights how the regime seeks to manage perception, maintain power, and balance rhetoric with concessions, with cabinet reshuffles and new social-media moves following the leak as it faces pressure for a democratic opening or another authoritarian path.

via The Guardian|
#leakedvideo#propaganda#regime
Iran at a Crossroads: Could a Post-Khamenei Era Trigger Reform?
world2 months ago

Iran at a Crossroads: Could a Post-Khamenei Era Trigger Reform?

The piece argues Iran’s regime is at a turning point amid protests and violent repression, but real change hinges on the fate of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. Because he controls the regime through the Office of the Supreme Leader and the IRGC, a drastic internal reform is unlikely while he stays in power; however, once he departs, there could be a rare opening for a gradual liberalization and policy realignment, inspired by past transitions in other countries, though a hardline pullback remains a credible risk.

via vox.com|
#ali-khamenei#iran#irgc
Iran at a crossroads: protests, diplomacy, and the regime's survival
world2 months ago

Iran at a crossroads: protests, diplomacy, and the regime's survival

Iran confronts its most serious domestic challenge since 1979 as nationwide demonstrations persist, the crackdown leaves thousands dead and the regime’s social contract with the people deeply damaged. While hard-line authorities press repression, episode-ready diplomacy—with hints of de-escalation and talks involving the United States—has emerged, though any deal would require Tehran to concede on missiles and its regional proxies. Analysts say the regime’s leverage has waned after recent strikes damaged its nuclear program and its networks; change is more likely to come from within security structures than through reform, and opposition groups abroad remain fractured. Fragmentation risk looms as Iran weighs its future amid protests, internal power dynamics, and cautious diplomacy, with outcomes likely to shape the country’s trajectory beyond the immediate crisis.

via CNN|
#diplomacy#iran#protests
Assad Allies Plan to Reclaim Syria
world3 months ago

Assad Allies Plan to Reclaim Syria

Former Syrian regime leaders, including top spymasters and generals, who fled after Assad's regime collapsed, are secretly plotting to undermine the new government and potentially retake control, with some supporting armed insurgencies and lobbying efforts in Washington. Their true threat level remains uncertain amid internal disagreements and ongoing instability in Syria.

via The New York Times|
#assad#exile#insurgency