
Betting on the Future: Bernstein Forecasts $1T in Prediction Markets by 2030
Bernstein projects prediction market volumes could reach about $1 trillion annually by 2030, with 2026 volumes around $240B and year-to-date activity on Kalshi and Polymarket near $60B. Growth is expected to be driven by blockchain tokenization, crypto liquidity, and greater regulatory clarity, even as state and federal fights continue. Incumbents like Kalshi and Polymarket remain dominant while Robinhood, Coinbase and others expand into the space, broadening contract types away from sports toward economics and politics.






