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Momentum rout hits quant funds as Treasuries stabilize and Moderna surges
hedge-funds11 days ago

Momentum rout hits quant funds as Treasuries stabilize and Moderna surges

Quant hedge funds had their worst day in over two years as the U.S. Treasury moved to double long‑term debt purchases to shore up the bond market, adding pressure to momentum strategies already shaken by an AI stock sell‑off. Goldman Sachs said its global momentum index was well outside historical norms, with systematic long‑short funds down about 1.4% at 1pm ET, and Morgan Stanley’s pure momentum index dropping more than 4% while the S&P 500 rose. Moderna surged nearly threefold after positive trial results for an experimental skin‑cancer therapy, underscoring the day’s dramatic stock moves. Despite the setback, systematic long‑short funds were up about 1.7% for the month, and traders warn that volatility remains extreme, noting notable losses at Jane Street and the Situational Awareness fund as risk-off sentiment broadens.

via Financial Times|
#hedge-funds#markets-volatility#moderna
Japan’s Yen Fix Sends Treasuries Higher as Tokyo Joins Market Turbulence
markets1 month ago

Japan’s Yen Fix Sends Treasuries Higher as Tokyo Joins Market Turbulence

Japan’s yen-stabilization efforts, reportedly around $53 billion, triggered a jump in U.S. Treasury yields as Tokyo sells Treasuries to fund currency purchases; the 10-year yield rose to about 4.735%, a multi‑year high, with warnings that further interventions could push yields toward 5% by year‑end amid ongoing policy tensions between Japan and U.S. rate outlooks.

via Barron's|
#bank-of-japan#global-markets#markets
Truth Social’s Market Impact Fades as Traders Tune Out the Noise
business1 month ago

Truth Social’s Market Impact Fades as Traders Tune Out the Noise

Financial Times Alphaville reports that Trump Media & Technology Group is marketing a 'Truth API' for ultrafast access to Donald Trump’s Truth Social posts at about $100,000 per month; JPMorgan analysts find that the market impact of Trump’s posts on two-year Treasuries has decayed over time, with most posts moving yields by around 1 basis point within 30 minutes and few large swings. While some high-frequency traders may still pay for the fastest feed, the broader takeaway is that investors should largely ignore Washington noise, unless Trump makes a dramatically new pivot.

via Financial Times|
#business#jpmorgan#market-impact
Treasury yields ease as traders eye 30-year near-1999 highs
business3 months ago

Treasury yields ease as traders eye 30-year near-1999 highs

U.S. Treasuries pulled back slightly after Monday’s spike, with the 10-year yield around 4.62% and the 30-year near 5.14%, while the 2-year sits near 4.08%. A Bank of America survey shows 62% of global fund managers expect 30-year yields to reach 6%—the highest since 1999—helped by ongoing inflation pressures from energy costs and deficits; analysts caution that the market’s rate-hike expectations may be excessive if inflation and growth dynamics diverge. Oil prices remain elevated, underscoring long-end pressure.

via CNBC|
#10-year-yield#30-year-yield#business
Treasury Yields Steady as Fed Policy Week Approaches
markets4 months ago

Treasury Yields Steady as Fed Policy Week Approaches

U.S. Treasury yields were largely unchanged as investors awaited the Fed's policy decision, with the 10-year at about 4.314% and the 2-year near 3.793%; traders expect no rate change and are watching Powell's testimony, while minutes from the last decision highlighted downside risks to employment and inflation progress remains slow amid global headwinds, with ECB and BOE meetings later this week.

via CNBC|
#fed-policy-week#inflation-headwinds#markets
Geopolitical shock tests the dollar’s haven status
global-economy6 months ago

Geopolitical shock tests the dollar’s haven status

Geopolitical strikes on Iran trigger a modest market wobble, but the bigger takeaway is that US Treasuries are weakening instead of acting as a safe haven, signaling that investor appetite for safe assets may be shifting amid inflation risk and policy uncertainty under Trump and the Fed. While stocks slide slightly and oil rises, gold is drawing bids as markets reassess the crisis, with policymakers’ paths still unclear ahead of the midterm elections.

via Financial Times|
#federal-reserve#global-economy#iran
China nudges banks to diversify away from U.S. Treasuries
business6 months ago

China nudges banks to diversify away from U.S. Treasuries

China reportedly told its banks to limit holdings of U.S. Treasury bonds to diversify risk, signaling a shift in foreign demand from Treasuries. The move is viewed as part of a multi-year drift rather than an immediate crisis, and experts say the dollar's safe-haven status remains largely intact. Factors include political risk under Trump, rising deficits, the dollar as a tool of statecraft, and Japan's rising yields, though a full move away from the dollar is unlikely in the near term.

via Axios|
#business#china#dollar-reserve-status
China nudges banks to trim U.S. Treasury exposure on stability concerns
economy6 months ago

China nudges banks to trim U.S. Treasury exposure on stability concerns

Chinese regulators reportedly told banks to scale back holdings of U.S. Treasuries citing concentration risk and market volatility, with limits on new purchases and directives to reduce exposure; yields rose and the dollar fell on the news. The move was framed as financial-stability guidance rather than geopolitical maneuvering, and regulators did not specify a target. As of Sep 2025, Chinese banks held about $298 billion in USD-denominated bonds, with unclear how much are Treasuries, adding to market chatter about who will keep financing the U.S. debt.

via Business Insider|
#banks#china#dollar
Bessent dismisses Denmark’s US bond stake as irrelevant at Davos
world7 months ago

Bessent dismisses Denmark’s US bond stake as irrelevant at Davos

At Davos US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent called Denmark’s investment in US Treasuries “irrelevant” after AkademikerPension said it would dump about $100 million in Treasuries. He noted Denmark’s holdings are tiny (under $10B in a $30.8T market) and dismissed warnings from Deutsche Bank that European asset sales could raise borrowing costs, saying Treasuries remain in high demand despite Europe’s large overall holdings, including the EU’s roughly $8 trillion stake.

via CNN|
#akademikerpension#davos#denmark
Greenland Tariffs Trigger Sharp Treasury Selloff and Inflation Fears
markets7 months ago

Greenland Tariffs Trigger Sharp Treasury Selloff and Inflation Fears

Trump’s plan to levy 10% tariffs on eight European countries tied to Greenland spooked markets, sparking a broad selloff in long‑dated U.S. Treasuries as yields jumped—the 10‑year to about 4.31% and the 30‑year to around 4.92%—the day’s biggest moves in months and signaling worries about inflation, growth, and potential central‑bank easing amid geopolitically charged risk.

via MarketWatch|
#bond-markets#greenland#inflation-expectations
Markets tremble on 'Sell America' fears as Davos looms and Greenland tensions escalate
business7 months ago

Markets tremble on 'Sell America' fears as Davos looms and Greenland tensions escalate

Asian stocks extended losses amid fears of a broader sell-off in U.S. assets dubbed the “Sell America” trade, as Wall Street tumbled and gold surged while the dollar weakened. Investors await Donald Trump’s Davos speech amid renewed threats over Greenland and possible tariffs on Europe, fueling global tensions that pressured equities in Asia and sent Japanese government bonds rallying after a brutal selloff. U.S. and European futures were mixed, U.S. Treasury yields retreated after a spike, and oil and yen movements added to a volatile backdrop ahead of central-bank signals.

via Reuters|
#business#davos#greenland