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Treasury yields ease as traders eye 30-year near-1999 highs
business11 days ago

Treasury yields ease as traders eye 30-year near-1999 highs

U.S. Treasuries pulled back slightly after Monday’s spike, with the 10-year yield around 4.62% and the 30-year near 5.14%, while the 2-year sits near 4.08%. A Bank of America survey shows 62% of global fund managers expect 30-year yields to reach 6%—the highest since 1999—helped by ongoing inflation pressures from energy costs and deficits; analysts caution that the market’s rate-hike expectations may be excessive if inflation and growth dynamics diverge. Oil prices remain elevated, underscoring long-end pressure.

via CNBC|
#10-year-yield#30-year-yield#business
Treasury Yields Steady as Fed Policy Week Approaches
markets1 month ago

Treasury Yields Steady as Fed Policy Week Approaches

U.S. Treasury yields were largely unchanged as investors awaited the Fed's policy decision, with the 10-year at about 4.314% and the 2-year near 3.793%; traders expect no rate change and are watching Powell's testimony, while minutes from the last decision highlighted downside risks to employment and inflation progress remains slow amid global headwinds, with ECB and BOE meetings later this week.

via CNBC|
#fed-policy-week#inflation-headwinds#markets
Geopolitical shock tests the dollar’s haven status
global-economy2 months ago

Geopolitical shock tests the dollar’s haven status

Geopolitical strikes on Iran trigger a modest market wobble, but the bigger takeaway is that US Treasuries are weakening instead of acting as a safe haven, signaling that investor appetite for safe assets may be shifting amid inflation risk and policy uncertainty under Trump and the Fed. While stocks slide slightly and oil rises, gold is drawing bids as markets reassess the crisis, with policymakers’ paths still unclear ahead of the midterm elections.

via Financial Times|
#federal-reserve#global-economy#iran
China nudges banks to diversify away from U.S. Treasuries
business3 months ago

China nudges banks to diversify away from U.S. Treasuries

China reportedly told its banks to limit holdings of U.S. Treasury bonds to diversify risk, signaling a shift in foreign demand from Treasuries. The move is viewed as part of a multi-year drift rather than an immediate crisis, and experts say the dollar's safe-haven status remains largely intact. Factors include political risk under Trump, rising deficits, the dollar as a tool of statecraft, and Japan's rising yields, though a full move away from the dollar is unlikely in the near term.

via Axios|
#business#china#dollar-reserve-status
China nudges banks to trim U.S. Treasury exposure on stability concerns
economy3 months ago

China nudges banks to trim U.S. Treasury exposure on stability concerns

Chinese regulators reportedly told banks to scale back holdings of U.S. Treasuries citing concentration risk and market volatility, with limits on new purchases and directives to reduce exposure; yields rose and the dollar fell on the news. The move was framed as financial-stability guidance rather than geopolitical maneuvering, and regulators did not specify a target. As of Sep 2025, Chinese banks held about $298 billion in USD-denominated bonds, with unclear how much are Treasuries, adding to market chatter about who will keep financing the U.S. debt.

via Business Insider|
#banks#china#dollar
Bessent dismisses Denmark’s US bond stake as irrelevant at Davos
world4 months ago

Bessent dismisses Denmark’s US bond stake as irrelevant at Davos

At Davos US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent called Denmark’s investment in US Treasuries “irrelevant” after AkademikerPension said it would dump about $100 million in Treasuries. He noted Denmark’s holdings are tiny (under $10B in a $30.8T market) and dismissed warnings from Deutsche Bank that European asset sales could raise borrowing costs, saying Treasuries remain in high demand despite Europe’s large overall holdings, including the EU’s roughly $8 trillion stake.

via CNN|
#akademikerpension#davos#denmark
Greenland Tariffs Trigger Sharp Treasury Selloff and Inflation Fears
markets4 months ago

Greenland Tariffs Trigger Sharp Treasury Selloff and Inflation Fears

Trump’s plan to levy 10% tariffs on eight European countries tied to Greenland spooked markets, sparking a broad selloff in long‑dated U.S. Treasuries as yields jumped—the 10‑year to about 4.31% and the 30‑year to around 4.92%—the day’s biggest moves in months and signaling worries about inflation, growth, and potential central‑bank easing amid geopolitically charged risk.

via MarketWatch|
#bond-markets#greenland#inflation-expectations
Markets tremble on 'Sell America' fears as Davos looms and Greenland tensions escalate
business4 months ago

Markets tremble on 'Sell America' fears as Davos looms and Greenland tensions escalate

Asian stocks extended losses amid fears of a broader sell-off in U.S. assets dubbed the “Sell America” trade, as Wall Street tumbled and gold surged while the dollar weakened. Investors await Donald Trump’s Davos speech amid renewed threats over Greenland and possible tariffs on Europe, fueling global tensions that pressured equities in Asia and sent Japanese government bonds rallying after a brutal selloff. U.S. and European futures were mixed, U.S. Treasury yields retreated after a spike, and oil and yen movements added to a volatile backdrop ahead of central-bank signals.

via Reuters|
#business#davos#greenland
Markets Hold Breath as Trump Greenland Threat Tests Bond Markets
markets4 months ago

Markets Hold Breath as Trump Greenland Threat Tests Bond Markets

Investors are weighing whether President Trump will pivot away from his Greenland acquisition plan toward easing affordability ahead of midterm elections, even as Tuesday’s market rout pushed the 10-year Treasury yield up about 6.4 basis points to 4.294% and the dollar lower. A Danish pension fund’s plan to trim Treasuries highlighted anxiety about higher borrowing costs, while analysts say an off-ramp could emerge if tariff threats ease or diplomacy improves.

via MarketWatch|
#bond-markets#greenland#markets