Tag

Liquidity

All articles tagged with #liquidity

Forced sovereign liquidations could ignite gold’s next long-term bull run, says SPI's Innes
business17 hours ago

Forced sovereign liquidations could ignite gold’s next long-term bull run, says SPI's Innes

SPI Asset Management’s Stephen Innes argues the gold selloff was a liquidity crisis driven by forced sovereign sales amid the oil shock, not a collapse in demand. As inflation cools and growth slows, central banks may ease policy, potentially setting up a new long-term gold bull run with gold serving as monetary insurance in a fractured, underinvested global economy—an outlook reinforced by China’s reserve diversification strategy.

Barr Warns Against Shrinking the Fed's Balance Sheet, Calls for Integrated Central Banking
economy11 days ago

Barr Warns Against Shrinking the Fed's Balance Sheet, Calls for Integrated Central Banking

Barr argues the Fed's footprint isn’t the balance sheet size but its broader roles in banking safety, payments, and stability. Shrinking reserves or the balance sheet could weaken bank resilience and market functioning. He defends ample reserves as costless and essential, critiques proposals for reduced liquidity or more frequent lending, and urges an integrated, stable approach to monetary policy and financial regulation rather than trimming the balance sheet.

Saba Capital’s Liquidity Bids Fall Short in Non-Traded Funds
business29 days ago

Saba Capital’s Liquidity Bids Fall Short in Non-Traded Funds

Saba Capital said its tender offers for non-traded Blue Owl Capital Corporation II and Starwood Real Estate Income Trust shares attracted about $10 million in aggregate face value across 190 trades, mostly from SREIT, with the Blue Owl bid drawing less than 1% of what was offered. The weak response highlights stressed liquidity in private-credit funds amid elevated redemptions, as Blue Owl halted quarterly redemptions and shifted to asset sales; Saba is considering bidding on additional products and aims to be a steady liquidity provider as credit risk is expected to rise into 2027–2028.

Solvency, Not Runs, Drives Most Bank Failures
economics1 month ago

Solvency, Not Runs, Drives Most Bank Failures

A long-run study across 160 years of U.S. banking shows insolvency is usually the root cause of bank failures, with runs acting mainly as triggers for already insolvent banks. Deposit insurance reduced runs but did not eliminate failures, so policy should emphasize higher bank capital, stronger supervision, and selective liquidity support to panicking banks. Strong banks survive runs via interbank lending, signalings of confidence, and temporary suspension of convertibility. In short, mitigating solvency problems and recapitalizing when needed are key to preventing costly crises.

Hedge funds chase Trump tariff refunds in a newly monetized market
business1 month ago

Hedge funds chase Trump tariff refunds in a newly monetized market

Hedge funds are buying claims to U.S. tariff refunds, offering upfront cash to importers at a discount in exchange for the full refunds when the government pays, a market unlocked by the Supreme Court's ruling against Trump's 'Liberation Day' tariffs. Deals range from a few million to over $100 million, with prices climbing toward 70 cents on the dollar, but the venture carries political risk and timing uncertainty as CBP rolls out its phased online refund portal.

Tax Day Could Drain Market Liquidity as Iran Talks Loom
markets1 month ago

Tax Day Could Drain Market Liquidity as Iran Talks Loom

April 15 may mark a turning point as the liquidity cushion that has supported markets during the Iran conflict is set to ebb: non-withheld tax payments could drain hundreds of billions of dollars from banks in the coming weeks, while the Fed trims its liquidity injections. Investors are weighing the odds of an Iran deal and how fading liquidity could shape market direction, even as the S&P 500 sits above pre-war levels.

policy1 month ago

USPS Hikes Stamp Price, Halts Pension Contributions to Shore Up Cash

The U.S. Postal Service will temporarily suspend employer contributions to federal retirement annuities to preserve cash while seeking regulatory approval for higher postage rates, including raising the First-Class Forever stamp from 78¢ to 82¢; regulators granted a temporary waiver to redirect funds for retiree benefits, as USPS warns of a cash shortfall by 2027, with retirees not affected immediately and Congress criticized for inaction on a longer-term fix.

USPS halts employer pension contributions to conserve cash amid looming liquidity crisis
business1 month ago

USPS halts employer pension contributions to conserve cash amid looming liquidity crisis

The U.S. Postal Service is suspending its employer contributions to the Federal Employees Retirement System to conserve cash as it warns of a looming liquidity crisis; employee contributions to the pension and the Thrift Savings Plan will continue, and the move could save about $2.5 billion this year, even as officials consider measures like higher stamp prices or a reduced delivery schedule to avert insolvency.

government1 month ago

USPS Halts FERS Employer Contributions to Shore Up Cash Reserves

The U.S. Postal Service announced a cash-conservation plan that temporarily suspends employer contributions to the defined-benefit portion of the Federal Employees Retirement System starting April 10, to preserve liquidity amid a severe financial crisis. The move frees about $2.5 billion in the current fiscal year; employee contributions to FERS and employer automatic/matching contributions to the Thrift Savings Plan, as well as employee contributions to the TSP, will continue. CFO Luke Grossmann says there will be no immediate harm to current or future retirees, and notes that FERS remains better funded than many other agencies. The USPS pays roughly $200 million biweekly to OPM for the FERS annuity, with more details in the FERS action FAQ.

Private Credit’s Reality Check: Defaults Rise and Liquidity Tightens
business2 months ago

Private Credit’s Reality Check: Defaults Rise and Liquidity Tightens

Rising loan defaults, asset-quality markdowns, and withdrawal caps are puncturing the private-credit world’s “zero‑loss” narrative, prompting a painful but potentially healthy reset that could spur tighter underwriting and valuations; analysts see default spikes of 8%–9% as painful but not systemic, with stress concentrated in AI‑sensitive software and highly leveraged borrowers.

Apollo’s Private Credit Fund Returns 45% of Requested Withdrawals
business2 months ago

Apollo’s Private Credit Fund Returns 45% of Requested Withdrawals

Apollo Debt Solutions BDC faced Q1 redemption requests totaling 11.2% of shares, well above its 5% quarterly cap, and will prorate payouts to about 45% of the requested amounts (roughly $730 million). NAV fell 1.2% in the quarter but outperformed the US Leveraged Loan Index; software makes up 12.3% of the portfolio. Apollo is maintaining the 5% cap as a value-protection measure, contrasting with rivals like Blackstone that have loosened withdrawal limits.

BlockFills Enters Chapter 11 to Restructure Amid Liquidity Crunch
bankruptcy2 months ago

BlockFills Enters Chapter 11 to Restructure Amid Liquidity Crunch

BlockFills, operated by Reliz Ltd., filed for Chapter 11 in Delaware to restructure amid liquidity stress, reporting assets of $50–$100 million and liabilities of $100–$500 million. The firm says the filing will enable an orderly restructuring, maintain client protections, and pursue additional liquidity while addressing a Dominion Capital-related lawsuit that resulted in a temporary restraining order.

Crisis-tested picks: 11 stocks that shine when liquidity dries up
investing2 months ago

Crisis-tested picks: 11 stocks that shine when liquidity dries up

MarketWatch’s Mark Hulbert identifies 11 stocks that historically post profits during geopolitical crises when market liquidity tightens. Excluding oil plays, these picks have low liquidity sensitivity and are also recommended by at least two newsletters Hulbert tracks. The table shows Kroger leading at around +16.8% on crisis periods, followed by Target (+6.5%), Lockheed Martin (+5.9%), FactSet (+4.5%), Archer Daniels Midland (+3.7%), Broadcom (+3.6%), Adobe (+2.6%), Microsoft (+2.3%), Comcast (+2.1%), Hormel Foods (+1.4%), and Kinsale Capital Group (+0.8%), with State Street SPDR ETF (SPY) near flat to slightly negative (-0.2%). The idea is these stocks tend to hold up when liquidity dries up, though they may underperform when liquidity returns.)

Near-retirees urged to rebalance as Iran conflict spurs market wobble
business2 months ago

Near-retirees urged to rebalance as Iran conflict spurs market wobble

Investors nearing retirement shouldn’t panic over short-term volatility from the Iran conflict; instead, rebalance toward safer assets, ensure 2-5 years of living expenses in cash or short-term bonds, check for concentration risk in employer stock, and maintain enough equity exposure for growth, since bear markets often recover within about 13 months.