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The latest politics and markets stories, each synthesized from multiple sources with added background and context.

Trump's August Trades: $25M Meta Buy, SpaceX Bond Purchase Precede Policy Shifts

President Trump’s August financial disclosure reveals 517 trades totaling up to $273.3 million, including a $25 million purchase in Meta and a $5 million investment in SpaceX bonds. The SpaceX buy occurred two days before a major space policy announcement, while AI-related trades suggest a shift from infrastructure to monetization. The White House maintains the portfolio is independently managed, but critics cite potential conflicts of interest.

2 hours ago•Source: Seeking Alpha

Prediction Markets Price 93% Odds of Democratic Congressional Win, Setting Stage for Historically Weak Stock Returns

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22.545 min•1 day ago

Prediction Markets Price 93% Odds of Democratic Congressional Win, Setting Stage for Historically Weak Stock Returns

With 25 days until the November 3 midterms, prediction markets assign a 93% probability that Democrats will retake at least one chamber of Congress. While historical data suggests this 'divided government' scenario yields lower average annual stock returns (7.33%) compared to unified control, experts caution that long-term market performance is driven by corporate earnings and economic fundamentals rather than political alignment.

via Yahoo Finance

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Trump's August Trades: $25M Meta Buy, SpaceX Bond Purchase Precede Policy Shifts

Prediction Markets Price 93% Odds of Democratic Congressional Win, Setting Stage for Historically Weak Stock Returns

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