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Atlantic Hurricanes

All articles tagged with #atlantic hurricanes

El Niño forecast nudges Atlantic storms toward a quieter season
science2 months ago

El Niño forecast nudges Atlantic storms toward a quieter season

As the Atlantic hurricane season opens, forecasters predict a below-average year driven by a developing El Niño that raises wind shear in the Atlantic (3–6 hurricanes and 8–14 named storms), while the Pacific is expected to be active (9–14 hurricanes). The forecast does not indicate landfalls; even a quieter season can still bring major storms. El Niño is likely to take hold by July (82% chance) and remain through winter 2026–27 (96% chance), with broader weather impacts from drought to altered monsoons across the U.S. and past examples like Hilary and Dora highlighting the potential severity regardless of overall counts.

via NBC News|
#atlantic-hurricanes#el-nino#hurricane-season
El Niño reshapes where tropical storms form this year
climate2 months ago

El Niño reshapes where tropical storms form this year

El Niño—the warm phase of the ENSO cycle—tends to suppress Atlantic hurricane activity while shifting tropical-storm formation toward the Pacific, potentially increasing near-Hawaii activity and moving typhoons eastward in the Northwest Pacific; NOAA projects a below-normal Atlantic season this year (about 55% chance), with regional variations in storm numbers and tracks driven by ENSO phases.

via Al Jazeera|
#atlantic-hurricanes#climate#el-nino
El Niño reorders hurricane risk: calmer Atlantic, stormier Pacific
science3 months ago

El Niño reorders hurricane risk: calmer Atlantic, stormier Pacific

Forecasters expect a strong El Niño this summer (about 98% chance, with an 80% chance of moderate/strong), which tends to suppress Atlantic hurricane activity through increased wind shear and dry air, leading to fewer Atlantic storms and lower US landfall risk, while boosting activity in the eastern/central Pacific. Historical data show Atlantic totals fall during El Niño years, whereas the Pacific often sees more storms; NOAA also projects an above-normal eastern Pacific season and a generally lower Atlantic season, with regional risks (e.g., Hawaii) varying by location and storm track.

via AP News|
#atlantic-hurricanes#el-nino#noaa-forecast
"2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season: What to Expect and How to Prepare"
weather2 years ago

"2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season: What to Expect and How to Prepare"

The 2024 Atlantic hurricane season begins today, with NOAA predicting a record number of named storms. Historical data shows over 300 hurricanes have hit the U.S. since 1851, with Florida experiencing 40% of them. The deadliest hurricane was the Galveston hurricane of 1900, and Hurricane Katrina in 2005 was the costliest. The peak season is from mid-August to mid-October, though storms can form as early as March.

via USA TODAY|
#atlantic-hurricanes#historical-storms#hurricane-katrina
The Impact of Human Emissions on Climate Chaos
climate-science2 years ago

The Impact of Human Emissions on Climate Chaos

A study by the University of Miami has found that human-induced aerosol emissions are a major driver of temperature fluctuations in the tropical Atlantic Ocean, which in turn impact rainfall in West Africa's Sahel region and the formation of Atlantic hurricanes. The researchers used a grand ensemble simulation technique to demonstrate the climate changes resulting from external forcings, revealing that historical reductions in aerosol emissions led to increased hurricane activity and Sahel rainfall. The study suggests that ongoing reductions in aerosol emissions, combined with greenhouse gas-induced warming, will likely prevent a return to a quieter period of hurricane activity in the Atlantic in the coming decades.

via SciTechDaily|
#atlantic-hurricanes#climate-science#climate-variability