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Hurricane Season

All articles tagged with #hurricane season

El Niño Settles In: Quiet Atlantic Season, Wetter South Florida Ahead
weather4 days ago

El Niño Settles In: Quiet Atlantic Season, Wetter South Florida Ahead

NOAA and climate models indicate El Niño will strengthen and likely persist into early 2027, dampening Atlantic tropical development via increased wind shear and forecasting a below-average 2026 hurricane season (CSU projects about 9 named storms, 4 hurricanes). For South Florida, the pattern points to a cooler, wetter, and potentially stormier winter driven by a persistent subtropical jetstream, signaling notable contrasts to the prior winter.

Arthur Brings Heavy Rain, Flash Flood Threat as Season's First Named Storm
weather27 days ago

Arthur Brings Heavy Rain, Flash Flood Threat as Season's First Named Storm

Tropical Storm Arthur, the first named storm of the season after forming off Texas, is expected to bring 5–10 inches of rain (with isolated totals up to 20 inches) from Texas across the Southeast, triggering flash flood concerns and prompting disaster declarations in parts of Texas; forecasters say rainfall duration and movement will largely drive flooding risk, even as El Niño keeps overall hurricane activity relatively subdued for the year.

SPR hits Reagan-era low as emergency releases continue
business29 days ago

SPR hits Reagan-era low as emergency releases continue

The U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve has fallen to about 340.3 million barrels, its lowest level since 1983, as officials have released roughly 75 million barrels since late February to blunt high energy prices amid the war with Iran; last week alone saw an 8.9 million-barrel draw. At current levels, the SPR is just under half full, and while the rate of releases may slow after the pledged 172 million barrels, experts warn the reduced buffer could leave the U.S. vulnerable to hurricane-related disruptions in Gulf production and supply.

Houston prepares for a quieter Atlantic season with a practical prep plan
houston-weather1 month ago

Houston prepares for a quieter Atlantic season with a practical prep plan

Space City Weather expects a below-normal 2026 Atlantic hurricane season largely due to developing El Niño, reducing overall storm activity but keeping Texas hazard levels nonzero. Readers are urged to have a plan, know their ZIP-code evacuation zones, assemble a multi-day disaster kit, consider power outages and medical needs, and stay updated via the site and app for alerts and forecasts.

El Niño forecast nudges Atlantic storms toward a quieter season
science1 month ago

El Niño forecast nudges Atlantic storms toward a quieter season

As the Atlantic hurricane season opens, forecasters predict a below-average year driven by a developing El Niño that raises wind shear in the Atlantic (3–6 hurricanes and 8–14 named storms), while the Pacific is expected to be active (9–14 hurricanes). The forecast does not indicate landfalls; even a quieter season can still bring major storms. El Niño is likely to take hold by July (82% chance) and remain through winter 2026–27 (96% chance), with broader weather impacts from drought to altered monsoons across the U.S. and past examples like Hilary and Dora highlighting the potential severity regardless of overall counts.

policy1 month ago

Hurricane season tests a lean FEMA as staffing shrinks

As the 2026 hurricane season begins, FEMA faces its smallest disaster workforce since 2021, about a 20% drop since Trump took office, plus leadership vacancies and a backlog of state aid requests. Emergency managers warn this could weaken disaster response just as NOAA forecasts several tropical storms, while GAO cautions that staffing cuts could undermine readiness across FEMA and related agencies (EPA and the Army Corps). The administration and agency statements insist the system remains prepared, but critics say reforms are being pursued without strengthening staffing and funding.

FEMA Hamstrung by Internal Chaos Leaves Disaster Readiness in Jeopardy
politics1 month ago

FEMA Hamstrung by Internal Chaos Leaves Disaster Readiness in Jeopardy

CNN reveals Kristi Noem and Corey Lewandowski throttled FEMA for a year, stalling more than $15 billion in disaster funds, triggering staff departures and leaving the agency under-prepared for hurricane season. With new DHS leadership and ongoing investigations, the White House is trying to repair the damage, but officials warn it could take years to rebuild FEMA’s capacity and trust.

politics1 month ago

Florida braces for faster federal disaster relief under new DHS leadership

Florida emergency chief Kevin Guthrie says DHS reforms under new secretary Markwayne Mullin have sped up disaster-relief funding after years of delays, aided by El Niño and NOAA’s forecast of a below-average hurricane season; the state stresses rapid recovery to protect its tourism-driven economy and agriculture, while noting that past slowdowns still shaped planning.

El Niño Boosts Expected Pacific Storm Surge for 2026
science1 month ago

El Niño Boosts Expected Pacific Storm Surge for 2026

NOAA projects an above-average 2026 Pacific hurricane season driven by developing El Niño, with the eastern Pacific seeing about 15–22 named storms, 9–14 hurricanes, and 5–9 major hurricanes (ACE near 120–190% of median; midpoint ~18.5 named storms, 11.5 hurricanes, 7 major). The central Pacific is expected to have 5–13 tropical cyclones. TSR forecasts an about 25% above-average Northwest Pacific typhoon season (27 tropical storms, 18 typhoons, 11 major typhoons, ACE ~410), also aided by El Niño. The warming pacific waters linked to El Niño typically boost activity in these regions, with historic benchmarks like 2015’s Patricia and 1997’s Linda cited; the season has already seen impactful activity from Super Typhoon Sinlaku, and current ACE levels remain well above average.

Peak Atlantic Hurricane Season: Expectations and Uncertainty
weather10 months ago

Peak Atlantic Hurricane Season: Expectations and Uncertainty

The Atlantic hurricane season is at its peak around September 10, with activity expected to increase in the coming weeks despite current quiet conditions. Forecasters predict a rise in tropical cyclone development later in September and October due to favorable environmental factors, with NOAA forecasting above-normal activity and an increase in named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes. Historically, late September and early October are among the most active periods for hurricanes, especially in the Caribbean and Gulf regions.

Weekend Rain Chances and Tropical Updates Ahead
weather10 months ago

Weekend Rain Chances and Tropical Updates Ahead

The Atlantic hurricane season is currently quiet for Texas, with minimal activity expected in the next week, but the season isn't over yet. A front will bring cooler temperatures and increased rain chances this weekend, especially around Labor Day, with most of the region receiving 0.5 to 1.5 inches of rain and highs dropping to the upper 80s to low 90s.