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All articles tagged with #noaa

El Niño Settles In: Quiet Atlantic Season, Wetter South Florida Ahead
weather1 day ago

El Niño Settles In: Quiet Atlantic Season, Wetter South Florida Ahead

NOAA and climate models indicate El Niño will strengthen and likely persist into early 2027, dampening Atlantic tropical development via increased wind shear and forecasting a below-average 2026 hurricane season (CSU projects about 9 named storms, 4 hurricanes). For South Florida, the pattern points to a cooler, wetter, and potentially stormier winter driven by a persistent subtropical jetstream, signaling notable contrasts to the prior winter.

via NBC 6 South Florida|
#el-nino#hurricane-season#noaa
NOAA raises odds of a historically strong El Niño this fall
weather2 days ago

NOAA raises odds of a historically strong El Niño this fall

NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center now puts an 81% chance that this El Niño will reach a “very strong” level by fall, up from 63% in June, with a 97% chance it lasts into early 2027. Only about seven of the last 75 El Niño events have been “very strong,” so this could be among the strongest on record. Very strong El Niños tend to reshape global weather—bringing heat waves, droughts, and heavy rainfall in different regions—while likely reducing Atlantic hurricane activity and potentially yielding a milder winter for parts of the U.S.; it may also raise high-tide flooding risk on the West Coast and affect marine life and algal blooms. The strongest on record was the 1982-83 event (RONI +2.5°C). Forecasts can still shift and impacts are not guaranteed.

via USA Today|
#climate#el-nino#hurricanes
Lightning Triggers FIFA Weather Protocol in Mexico–England World Cup Delay
sport5 days ago

Lightning Triggers FIFA Weather Protocol in Mexico–England World Cup Delay

Lightning near the Mexico City stadium activated FIFA’s weather protocol for World Cup 2026, delaying the Mexico v England last‑16 match; NOAA rules require stopping play if a lightning strike is detected within eight miles, triggering a 30‑minute countdown that resets with each strike and can lead to a restart on a shortened timeline or, if conditions don’t improve, a postponement with the clock resumed from the pause.

via The Independent|
#fifa#lightning#noaa
Sun unleashes a flare flood as Earth-bound CMEs lift July 4 aurora hopes
space9 days ago

Sun unleashes a flare flood as Earth-bound CMEs lift July 4 aurora hopes

The Sun erupted with 10 M-class flares in 24 hours, with several coronal mass ejections headed toward Earth. NOAA forecasts suggest geomagnetic activity (G1–G2) could spark auroras across parts of the northern U.S. around the July 3–4 weekend, depending on CME interactions and magnetic-field orientation; viewing may be hindered by twilight in some areas.

via Space|
#aurora#coronal-mass-ejection#noaa
Summer 2026 Forecast Flags Heat, Drought and Fire Risk Across the U.S.
weather21 days ago

Summer 2026 Forecast Flags Heat, Drought and Fire Risk Across the U.S.

NOAA's summer forecast shows a warmer-than-average July–September for most of the U.S., with Oregon and Washington most likely to see above-normal temperatures; rainfall overall stays near average, but the Southwest and parts of the West could get above-average rain from monsoon moisture and tropical storms, potentially easing drought and wildfire risk there. The Northwest remains prone to higher fire risk, drought could intensify in the northern Rockies, and late-summer moisture could create flood risk from northern Texas to the Midwest.

via USA Today|
#drought#heat#monsoon
El Niño arrives with potential for record heat and coastal surprises
environment29 days ago

El Niño arrives with potential for record heat and coastal surprises

El Niño is officially underway and could be among the strongest on record, with a 63% chance of a very strong event from November through January. It’s expected to raise global temperatures, bring drought and heat to the Pacific Northwest, wetter winters to the South, and fuel marine heat waves that disrupt sea life and can shift species ranges along the West Coast; past events have included unusual marine visitors and even declines in plankton, while climate change continues to heighten overall warmth.

via NBC News|
#climate-change#el-nino#environment
Super El Niño Rising: 2026 Could Be a Weather Game-Changer
science1 month ago

Super El Niño Rising: 2026 Could Be a Weather Game-Changer

NOAA has declared El Niño has begun, with forecasts evenly split between a strong to potentially super-El Niño this year. The odds of exceeding the 3.6°F threshold are about 63%, and some models project it could surpass 5.4°F, making it possibly the strongest on record. Such a powerful El Niño would boost global heat, increase wet conditions in the Southwest U.S., reduce Atlantic hurricane activity, and raise drought risks in regions like Indonesia and the Sahel, while amplifying ongoing global warming. Past super-El Niños caused major droughts and extreme events, and with global temperatures at record highs, 2026 could be among the hottest years on record.>},

via WIRED|
#climate-change#drought#el-nino
El Niño ramps up toward record strength, likely fueling global extreme weather
science1 month ago

El Niño ramps up toward record strength, likely fueling global extreme weather

El Niño has formed in the Pacific and is forecast to intensify toward a near-record peak, likely amplifying heatwaves, floods, droughts and wildfires around the world. NOAA says there’s about a 63% chance it could be among the largest on record, with regional impacts varying—from heavier winter storms in the US South to drier Pacific Northwest and more intense heat in places like India and Australia—while lagging effects could push 2027 to the hottest year on record.

via The Guardian|
#climate-change#el-nino#extreme-weather
NOAA: El Niño Emerges, Set to Strengthen Into Winter
weather1 month ago

NOAA: El Niño Emerges, Set to Strengthen Into Winter

NOAA’s National Weather Service announced that El Niño has formed in the tropical Pacific and is likely to intensify to moderate or strong this fall, with a 63% chance that regional sea surface temperatures exceed 2.0°C—potentially a 'very strong' El Niño. The phenomenon alters the Walker Circulation and typically shifts the winter jet south, bringing warmer northern U.S. winters but drier conditions in parts of the Northwest and Ohio/Tennessee valleys, while the Southern U.S. can see stormier weather; West Coast high-tide flooding and ecological impacts can also occur. NOAA notes that ENSO forecasts now rely on both the ONI and the newer Relative Oceanic Nino Index (RONI), which better tracks changes in the Walker Circulation.

via National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (.gov)|
#climate-monitoring#el-nino#enso
El Niño Arrives with Odds for a Historic Super Event
weather1 month ago

El Niño Arrives with Odds for a Historic Super Event

El Niño has officially begun and forecasters assign a 63% chance it could intensify into a “Super” El Niño, potentially one of the largest on record. NOAA says it could strengthen through fall and winter, warming global temperatures and triggering broad weather shifts—from heat and heavy rainfall in some regions to drought in others—while influencing Pacific hurricane activity. The event comes as the world is already warmer due to climate change, raising the likelihood that 2027 could become the warmest year on record.

via CNN|
#climate-change#el-nino#global-weather
NOAA's SOLAR-1 Goes Live, Boosting U.S. Space Weather Readiness
space1 month ago

NOAA's SOLAR-1 Goes Live, Boosting U.S. Space Weather Readiness

NOAA’s SOLAR-1, the United States’ first satellite designed for continuous, operational space weather observations, has entered service after its year-long journey to the Sun-Earth L1 point. It will provide 24/7 real-time data on solar wind and CMEs, delivering CME imagery within about 30 minutes and in-situ data within five minutes to support warnings and decision-making for critical infrastructure, satellites, aviation, national security, and human spaceflight. Data will be publicly available via NOAA’s SWPC portal, strengthening preparedness for space-weather events and missions like Artemis II.

via National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (.gov)|
#coronal-mass-ejections#l1#noaa
Aurora could light Washington skies as strong solar storm arrives
weather1 month ago

Aurora could light Washington skies as strong solar storm arrives

NOAA has issued a G3 strong geomagnetic storm watch for Thursday night, with a chance of reaching G4, which could bring the northern lights to Washington. The display is tied to coronal mass ejections from the sun on June 3; viewing is best outside city lights between about 10 p.m. and 2 a.m., though an 82%-lit waning moon could hinder visibility. The aurora is expected to fade by Friday night.

via MyNorthwest.com|
#aurora-borealis#coronal-mass-ejections#geomagnetic-storm