Tag

Seasonality

All articles tagged with #seasonality

markets8 days ago•18 min saved

Historical Data Suggests S&P 500 May Rally Into 2026 Year-End Despite Midterm Election Uncertainty

Deutsche Bank strategist Jim Reid argues that historical patterns suggest the S&P 500 is likely to rally into year-end following the 2026 midterm elections. The bank notes that the index has risen in 21 of the last 23 midterm cycles within a three-month window surrounding the vote. While 2026 markets have been flat since July, similar to past pre-rally periods, strong earnings growth is expected to support the historical trend.

via Yahoo Finance|

#deutsche-bank #markets #midterm-elections

markets18 days ago•21 min saved

Strategist Jim Paulsen Warns Tightening Financial Conditions Could Derail November-to-April Stock Rally

Veteran strategist Jim Paulsen predicts the typical November-to-April stock market rally may fail this year due to tightening financial conditions, according to MarketWatch.

via MarketWatch|

#financial-conditions #jim-paulsen #market-outlook

stocks1 month ago•48 min saved

Septemberopens under a cloud of seasonality after August’s rally

September kicks off with historically weak seasonality for both US stocks and crypto after an August rally: the S&P 500 rose over 2% to record highs while Bitcoin and Ethereum surged about 25% and 32% respectively. Historically, September can bring declines for the S&P 500 and for crypto, though recent Septembers have shown momentum. With macro headwinds like inflation running above target and upcoming midterm risk, traders should expect renewed volatility as policy signals and earnings drive markets.

via BeInCrypto|

#bitcoin #ethereum #markets

markets1 month ago•17 min saved

Strategists Argue Strong Market Breadth Neutralizes September’s Historical Weakness

Ryan Detrick of Carson Group argues that the S&P 500’s strong performance in August and broad market participation invalidate the historical trend of September being the worst month for stocks since 1950. While the index is up 12.8% year-to-date and volatility remains low, analysts warn that elevated 10-year Treasury yields and low trading volumes could still trigger volatility. The current environment features robust earnings growth across nearly all sectors, contrasting with the weak conditions that typically precede sharp September declines.

via 24/7 Wall St.|

#earnings #interest-rates #market-breadth

health1 month ago•13 min saved

Resilience Is Seasonal: How Body Clocks Shape Stress and Productivity

Resilience isn’t a fixed trait: it fluctuates with circadian rhythms, chronotypes, hormones, and the seasons, creating different energy and stress levels across the year and even across hemispheres. The piece notes that global teams must navigate varying rhythms when collaborating, and it recommends leaders foster psychological safety, monitor stress with wearables or mood apps, and align tasks to individuals’ natural rhythms. Individuals can acknowledge fluctuations, optimize sleep and light activity, and use quick stress-regulation tools (e.g., mindfulness, box breathing) to maintain sustainable performance.

via The Conversation|

#circadian-rhythm #health #resilience

travel1 month ago•10 min saved

August Emerges as Global Travel’s Sweet Spot, New Map Finds

A Weather Spark–driven visualization maps the best month to visit 261 locations (based on the largest city data). August is the most common ideal month (chosen for 63 locations), with July–September covering about 58% of cases. January and February are favored in tropical and Southern Hemisphere destinations, while U.S. states peak in late summer to early fall. Results reflect climate, crowds, and seasonality, and note that timing varies by climate zones within a country since it’s city-level data.

via Visual Capitalist|

#destinations #seasonality #tourism

business3 months ago•8 min saved

Offseason travel goes year-round as airlines stretch Europe routes

Record heat and crowds are driving a boom in offseason international travel, with airlines extending Europe routes and blending shoulder seasons into the main travel period to capture high‑spending customers. United extends its Newark–Palermo service into December, Delta keeps Rome flights through January, and American runs Edinburgh earlier in the year, all while jet fuel costs press profits. Airlines are shifting maintenance and crew planning to maximize year‑round aircraft use and rely on premium fares to offset costs. Demand remains strong even as prices moderate, and trackers note growing winter bookings in places like Sicily as wealthier travelers seek year‑round experiences, with Alaska Airlines expanding transatlantic service as part of the broader shift.

via CNBC|

#aviation #business #demand

markets6 months ago•13 min saved

S&P 500 Faces Seasonality Headwinds Into Q2 After March Slide

March’s 7.6% drop makes this the worst month for the S&P 500 since 2022, with seasonality implying more downside into Q2. Historically, the S&P 500 falls about 2.8% in the second quarter of a midterm-year cycle, and midterm-year drawdowns average around 16% (median ~15.6%). Yet after such drawdowns, the subsequent year has averaged a 36.4% gain (median ~39.8%), underscoring that selloffs are common but long-run gains often follow. Since 1980, the market has averaged about a 14.1% annual drawdown.}

via TipRanks|

#march-decline #markets #midterm-year-drawdown

finance10 months ago•4 min saved

Bitcoin's December Outlook: Breakout or Breakdown?

Historically, December has been a mixed month for Bitcoin, with average gains around 4.8% but a median decline of 3.2%, and recent patterns suggest that if November and October are negative, December likely will be too. Despite this, long-term investors are advised to view seasonal dips as opportunities to accumulate Bitcoin, given its finite supply and growing institutional adoption, rather than relying on seasonal rallies. Caution is recommended if macroeconomic conditions worsen, but a disciplined, dollar-cost averaging approach can help manage risks and capitalize on future gains.

via The Motley Fool|

#bitcoin #cryptocurrency #december

health1 year ago•3 min saved

Summer-Born Men Face Higher Depression Risks, Study Shows

A study suggests men born in summer are more likely to experience depression later in life, possibly due to environmental factors like sunlight exposure during pregnancy, though more research is needed to confirm these findings.

via Gizmodo|

#birth-season #depression #health

finance1 year ago•4 min saved

Market Uncertainty and Risks Ahead for S&P 500 in August

The stock market has performed well recently, with the S&P 500 up nearly 20% since April, but August is historically a weaker month for stocks, especially in post-election years. Factors like valuations, economic data, trade deals, and Federal Reserve policies will influence future performance, and investors should consider adjusting their strategies accordingly.

via TheStreet|

#august #finance #investment-strategy

business2 years ago•4 min saved

"Exploring the 10-week streak of stable or declining US gas prices"

Gas prices in the US have been falling or remaining steady for the past 10 weeks, reaching a national average of just below $3.25 per gallon. The decline can be attributed to a combination of factors, including a seasonal dip in demand, a switch to cheaper winter blend gasoline, easing inflation, and declining oil costs. However, the global energy market remains volatile, and future gas price fluctuations are uncertain. While the downward trend is expected to continue into the New Year, potential cuts from major oil-producing countries and geopolitical events could impact prices. Currently, Texas, Mississippi, and Georgia have the lowest gas prices, while California, Hawaii, and Washington have the highest.

via The Associated Press|

#business #demand #gas-prices

cryptocurrency3 years ago•2 min saved

Bitcoin Surges to 6-Week High, Igniting Hopes for 'Uptober' Rally

Bitcoin reached its highest price in over a month, surpassing $28,000, with analysts attributing the gains to optimism surrounding ETFs and seasonality. Other cryptocurrencies also saw increases, including ether, bnb, cardano, and polygon. Meanwhile, FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried is set to begin his trial, where he will defend himself against allegations of defrauding customers and business partners. Additionally, Deus X Capital, a family office-backed investment firm, has launched with $1 billion in assets and Tim Grant as CEO.

via CoinDesk|

#bitcoin #cryptocurrency #deus-x-capital

health3 years ago•5 min saved

Navigating the Uncertain Path of the COVID-19 Era

Experts say it is too soon to declare that Covid-19 has achieved seasonality, as spikes in cases have not occurred at the exact same time from year to year and may be influenced by human behavior and immunity. Factors such as changes in environmental conditions, anatomical responses, and behavioral shifts contribute to the seasonality of viruses like the flu, but the knowledge gaps for Covid-19 are still significant. Understanding the stability and behavior of the virus could help in planning for vaccines, treatments, and hospital staffing. Building a similar infrastructure to the one used for the flu could aid in predicting and preparing for future Covid-19 surges.

via WIRED|

#covid-19 #health #immunity

finance3 years ago•3 min saved

"Analyzing U.S. Stock-Market Seasonality: Is a Fourth Quarter Rally on the Horizon?"

The historically weak third quarter for U.S. stocks may set the stage for a potential rally in the fourth quarter, which has historically been the best quarter for the stock market. Despite recent market volatility and concerns about rising bond yields and interest rates, some market strategists believe that a strong end-of-year rally is possible, especially if stocks have experienced declines in the previous two months. However, others caution that market fundamentals are pointing to a potential recession, which could dampen the usual seasonal strength.

via MarketWatch|

#finance #fourth-quarter #rally