
Ukraine ceasefire could become NATO's next eastern test
A potential Ukrainian ceasefire would give Kyiv relief but could sharpen NATO's security dilemma on Russia's frontier: Moscow is rebuilding a larger, more drone-enabled force and expanding along NATO's northeastern edge, with warnings it could test the Baltics or Poland within two to five years after any peace deal. Europe is boosting defense spending and NATO is reinforcing its northeast footprint, yet gaps in air defense and political will may limit responses, risking Moscow's recovery and renewed pressure on NATO if security aid to Ukraine wanes.













