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Pce Inflation

All articles tagged with #pce inflation

KC Fed official: inflation still too hot, policy too loose ahead of Jackson Hole
economy-and-policy5 days ago

KC Fed official: inflation still too hot, policy too loose ahead of Jackson Hole

Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid says inflation remains too hot and the Fed’s policy rate is too accommodative, arguing the central bank hasn’t achieved its 2% mandate and that more action could be warranted. He cites energy and broad demand as drivers, notes July’s PCE inflation core at 3.3% (0.2% month over month), and says the question is whether policy is too accommodative or restrictive. Although not a voting member this year, he would have sided with inflation-focused dissents at the July meetings and signals openness to different rate-paths (including a possible 25 or 50 basis-point move) depending on incoming data. He also highlights Fed data and communication initiatives, the balance-sheet review, and potential changes in meeting frequency as part of ongoing reforms, while downplaying tariff impacts and stressing the need for better real-time data beyond the PCE.}{

Sticky PCE Keeps Fed Divided Ahead of Jackson Hole
economy6 days ago

Sticky PCE Keeps Fed Divided Ahead of Jackson Hole

July core PCE rose 3.3% year over year and 0.2% month over month, signaling sticky inflation even as prices cool, which preserves a split within the Fed between rate hikes and holding. With Jackson Hole approaching, officials differ on whether to move in September, and some economists still call for a possible December hike depending on forthcoming data, amid elevated energy prices and ongoing policy scrutiny.

Micron’s Earnings Spark AI Rally; Inflation Signals Keep Fed Hikes in Play as Dow Climbs and Nasdaq Dips
markets2 months ago

Micron’s Earnings Spark AI Rally; Inflation Signals Keep Fed Hikes in Play as Dow Climbs and Nasdaq Dips

U.S. stocks rose on Micron’s blowout results and AI optimism, with the Dow up about 1.4% and the S&P 500 roughly 0.5% higher, while the Nasdaq slipped about 0.2% as investors rotated out of Big Tech after Qualcomm forecast stronger data-center revenue; May PCE inflation rose 4.1% year over year (0.4% month over month, core 3.4%), keeping the debate over Fed rate moves alive. Oil prices eased, global chip stocks rallied on Micron’s strength, and headlines around Nvidia, Alibaba and AI developments added mixed signals to the market backdrop.

May PCE Core Inflation Climbs to 3.4%, Keeping Fed on Inflation Watch
economy2 months ago

May PCE Core Inflation Climbs to 3.4%, Keeping Fed on Inflation Watch

The May 2026 PCE report shows the Fed’s preferred core inflation at 3.4% year-over-year (up 0.3% for May) and all-items inflation at 4.1% (up 0.4% for the month), with consumer spending rising 0.7% and personal income up 0.7%. GDP grew at a 2.1% annualized rate in Q1, while initial jobless claims fell to 215,000. The data underscore persistent inflation pressures even as growth remains solid, reinforcing the Fed’s cautious-to-hawkish stance on policy.

markets3 months ago

Asia stocks slip as US strikes on Iran spark risk-off ahead of PCE data

Asian stock markets retreated after fresh U.S. strikes on Iran dampened risk appetite ahead of the U.S. PCE inflation report; key indices eased in Japan, Hong Kong, and China (Nikkei 225 down ~0.1%, TOPIX ~0.2% lower, Hang Seng ~-2%, CSI 300 ~-1.1%), with Australia’s ASX 200 also lower. Oil prices rebounded, Brent near $97 and WTI above $90, as energy concerns persisted. Wall Street had closed at record highs previously on hopes of easing Middle East tensions, while traders awaited inflation data that could influence the Fed’s policy path.

March 2026 PCE: Core inflation steady as energy costs surge and GDP ticks higher
economy4 months ago

March 2026 PCE: Core inflation steady as energy costs surge and GDP ticks higher

March 2026 core PCE rose 0.3% month-over-month (3.2% year-over-year), with total inflation up 0.7% and 3.5% year-over-year when including energy and food. GDP grew 2.0% annualized in Q1 2026, while unemployment claims fell to 189,000. The Fed kept rates unchanged amid persistent inflation, with four dissents over policy phrasing, as energy costs and goods price pressures remained a key driver of inflation.

U.S. PCE Inflation Holds at 2.8% as Spending Keeps Economy Expanding
economy7 months ago

U.S. PCE Inflation Holds at 2.8% as Spending Keeps Economy Expanding

U.S. personal consumption expenditures price index rose 0.2% in November, leaving inflation at 2.8% for both headline and core (October was 2.7%), with energy costs up and food flat. Personal income rose modestly, while spending climbed 0.5% in October and November. The saving rate edged up to 3.5% in November. GDP growth for Q3 was revised to 4.4%, and jobless claims remain near two-year lows, signaling continued spending resilience. Investors expect the Fed to hold rates at the upcoming meeting, with futures pricing in up to two rate cuts later this year.