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Fed official warns of rate hikes if inflation fails to cool
central-banks2 days ago

Fed official warns of rate hikes if inflation fails to cool

Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr said that if inflation does not moderate toward the 2% target, the Fed should decisively raise rates. With two inflation readings due before the Sept. 16 policy meeting, he noted inflation remains too high due to shocks from tariffs, the Middle East, and rapid AI investment, even as the job market stays solid. Barr’s remarks come as markets increasingly price a September rate hike, a view reinforced by a Jackson Hole speech from Fed Chair Warsh.

via Yahoo Finance|
#barr#central-banks#federal-reserve
Markets Brace for Rate Hikes as Sticky Inflation Echoes Dot-Com Era Warnings
business3 days ago

Markets Brace for Rate Hikes as Sticky Inflation Echoes Dot-Com Era Warnings

PCE inflation remains sticky and has accelerated this year, aided by Iran-related energy prices and tariffs, pushing the Fed toward possible rate hikes later in 2026. Futures imply two 25bp hikes; meanwhile the S&P 500 CAPE ratio sits above 40, the highest since 2000, suggesting a vulnerability to corrections similar to past cycles. The article urges investors to prioritize high-quality, reasonably priced stocks with durable moats, as the market faces a potential pullback despite recent gains.

via The Motley Fool|
#business#cape#dot-com-bust
Hawkish Warsh speech lifts rate-hike odds as stocks drift lower on Friday
finance7 days ago

Hawkish Warsh speech lifts rate-hike odds as stocks drift lower on Friday

U.S. stocks fell on Friday as Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks pushed odds of a September rate hike higher (about 57%), leaving the Dow essentially flat, the S&P 500 down around 0.25%, and the Nasdaq down about 0.5%. Treasuries sold off with higher yields, Nvidia cheered earnings for the tech rally, PayPal slumped after Advent and Stripe scrapped a takeover bid, and the week nonetheless ended with gains for the three major indices.

via Yahoo Finance UK|
#federal-reserve#finance#jackson-hole
RBA rate relief may be brief as Aussies brace for higher costs
finance25 days ago

RBA rate relief may be brief as Aussies brace for higher costs

After stronger-than-expected inflation data, economists expect the RBA to hold rates this week, but a housing market downturn could create near-term turbulence—the so‑called "air pocket"—with a minority forecasting a rate increase; most predictions are for a hold, but about half of experts foresee at least one more hike this year, potentially lifting the cash rate to around 4.6%, while NAB warns of a roughly 10% housing downturn.

via Yahoo Finance Australia|
#australia-housing-market#finance#inflation
Yield curve warns of persistent inflation as Fed dissent widens
business1 month ago

Yield curve warns of persistent inflation as Fed dissent widens

The Fed held rates at 3.50%–3.75% but dissent grows, with three policymakers urging a hike. Long-dated yields jumped and the yield curve steepened, signaling higher-term inflation risks and lingering policy doubt beyond the next meeting. While PCE measures show some near‑term easing, annual inflation remains well above target, energy costs persist, and investors are pricing a more persistent inflation path and potential policy inertia.

via Moomoo|
#business#federal-reserve#inflation
Long-Dated Yields Climb as Markets Question Fed’s Inflation Credibility
markets1 month ago

Long-Dated Yields Climb as Markets Question Fed’s Inflation Credibility

Long-dated U.S. Treasuries rose after the Fed held rates, with the 10-year near 4.66% and the 30-year around 5.21% (the highest since 2007), as investors flagged an inflation credibility shock at the Fed. Bank of America economists said the moves reflect concern about inflation and suggested the Fed could still raise rates by 25 basis points at upcoming meetings, even as Fed Chair Warsh signaled no forward guidance.

via Yahoo Finance|
#credibility-shock#federal-reserve#inflation
Fed pressed to hike as price pressures reappear ahead of policy meeting
finance1 month ago

Fed pressed to hike as price pressures reappear ahead of policy meeting

Fed officials are confronting renewed price pressures from oil, AI-driven demand, and tariffs, keeping a potential rate hike on the table for the July meeting even as inflation cools modestly; markets have priced in a meaningful chance of a move, and dissent from policymakers remains a possibility as the central bank weighs whether to hold or hike in a fragile inflation backdrop.

via Yahoo Finance|
#central-banks#fed#finance
Gold slips on rate-hike fears, posting a 13-year quarterly rout
markets2 months ago

Gold slips on rate-hike fears, posting a 13-year quarterly rout

Gold fell into the second half of 2026, marking its worst three-month period since 2013 as inflation fears and potential U.S. rate hikes weigh on non-yielding assets; futures and spot prices declined, silver dropped as well, while analysts from Amundi say gold still serves as a diversification tool amid a volatile macro backdrop and ongoing central-bank diversification away from dollars.

via CNBC|
#central-banks#gold#gold-futures
Warsh’s Six Words Signal Hawkish Push on Rates
business2 months ago

Warsh’s Six Words Signal Hawkish Push on Rates

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s six-word statement that the committee will deliver price stability signaled a hawkish shift, implying potential rate hikes by year-end 2026 and prompting immediate market declines. Bank of America projects multiple hikes, while President Trump expressed skepticism about higher rates, though he also voiced cautious support for Warsh. The move comes as inflation remains above target, leaving investors watching for further guidance on the Fed’s path forward.

via Yahoo Finance|
#business#fed#inflation
Fed hawkish hint roils markets as 2026 rate hikes loom
markets2 months ago

Fed hawkish hint roils markets as 2026 rate hikes loom

After the Fed’s first meeting led by new chair Kevin Warsh, policymakers’ dot plot suggested rate hikes could come in 2026 even though rates stayed at 3.5%–3.75%. Stocks sold off, with the Dow about 507 points lower (-0.98%), the S&P 500 down ~1.21%, and the Nasdaq ~1.34% lower, as bond yields jumped (2-year yield near 4.22%). Despite the hawkish tone, stock futures ticked higher overnight and Asia opened mixed, with Nikkei and Kospi hitting new records. Attention now shifts to earnings from Accenture and Kroger, plus May indicators, the Philadelphia Fed index, and initial jobless claims.

via CNBC|
#fed#markets#rate-hikes