Tag

Volatility

All articles tagged with #volatility

markets1 day ago•26 min saved

VIX dip sparks bet of a 7,400 S&P as Fundstrat flags three bullish signals

Market-watch notes Fundstrat’s Tom Lee says three signs point to a stock bottom being in: a sharp VIX drop below 20, continued rally on less-bad news, and an improving sentiment despite geopolitical risk. He cites historical cases where VIX >30 preceded a >15% oil drop and a sub-20 VIX, which produced median six‑month gains around 9%, suggesting the S&P 500 could reach about 7,400 in coming months as the uptrend persists.

via MarketWatch|

#fundstrat #markets #sandp-500

investing2 days ago•25 min saved

SpaceX's IPO Could Kick Off Meme-Stock Trading, Analysts Say

SpaceX's blockbuster IPO could resemble meme-stock trading due to its strong narrative, a loyal founder-following, and a valuation boosted by future potential. With a large portion of shares slated for retail investors and post‑lockup volatility expected, analysts warn the stock could be highly volatile as social momentum and new investor interest collide with traditional demand, in a deal potentially aiming to raise up to $75 billion at about a $1.75 trillion valuation.

via MarketWatch|

#investing #ipo #meme-stock

business12 days ago•3 min saved

AI jitters and Trump volatility: twin forces shaping today’s markets

Axios argues the stock market is being driven mainly by two catalysts this year: AI anxiety and President Trump's posts, with AI fears pressuring valuations and cybersecurity/tech stocks, while Trump’s social-media activity injects short-term volatility. Beyond these forces, macro headwinds from war, rising oil prices and inflation continue to weigh on markets, leaving investors debating whether to buy the dip or wait for clearer signals, and some funds choosing to ignore Trump’s signals altogether.

via axios.com|

#ai #business #geopolitics

business16 days ago•0 min saved

Markets Jitter as Trump–Iran Tension Sparks Whiplash Trading

Investors reel as conflicting U.S.–Iran signals create a volatile, headline-driven market environment, with prices whipsawing on shifting diplomacy prospects and potential energy disruption risks.

via CNBC|

#business #diplomacy #iran

finance17 days ago•81 min saved

Circle rebounds as markets swing after historic one-day drop

Circle stock rebounds after its biggest-ever single-day drop, as a broad market swing drives wide moves across equities and crypto: AMD +7.59%, INTC +7.45%, ARM +17.86%, JD +8.04%, CHWY +13.43% while ONON falls -11.75% and DPRO drops -22.12%; Bitcoin-USD +2.02% and Ethereum-USD +2.27%, illustrating a volatile trading day with numerous double-digit moves across tickers.

via Yahoo Finance|

#circle #crypto #finance

business17 days ago•3 min saved

Oil bets surge before Trump’s Iran pause, fueling market shakeout

More than $580 million in crude futures bets were placed in a 1-minute window (about 6:49–6:50 a.m. ET) just before President Trump announced a pause in planned strikes on Iran, helping trigger a sharp oil price drop and a rally in stock futures. The trades’ exact positions and the traders involved remain unclear, and there is no evidence of insider information.

via New York Post|

#business #futures #iran

markets23 days ago•2 min saved

RSI Signals 15 S&P 500 Stocks Are Oversold Amid Turmoil

Amid volatility driven by the U.S.–Iran conflict, Seeking Alpha highlights 15 S&P 500 components that have fallen into oversold RSI territory, listing beaten-down names and flagging potential rebound candidates.

via Seeking Alpha|

#ignore #markets #note

markets24 days ago•28 min saved

Oil’s Black-Swan Price Spike Triggers Equity Risk Alert

RBC Capital Markets researchers say oil is showing black-swan–like price dynamics unseen in other assets, which have moved in normal white-swan patterns. Oil’s price move is a seven-deviation event versus roughly 1–1.5 standard deviations for other assets. If energy-market volatility remains elevated, U.S. stocks could fall 5%–20%, with the risk of about a 20% drop possible; betting markets put roughly a 25% chance that Hormuz traffic normalizes by end-April. The takeaway is oil is driving the risk picture while stocks and other assets remain comparatively calm unless volatility worsens.

via MarketWatch|

#markets #oil #rbc-capital-markets

business27 days ago•4 min saved

Markets Weather the Oil-Driven Fears, Not a Doomsday Scenario

Robin J Brooks argues that fear in markets is elevated but not apocalyptic. He notes oil shocks (Brent around $103) and hedging activity, but spot and options data show reactions broadly consistent with prior shocks, and overall markets remain resilient. The piece cautions that conditions could worsen if oil supply disruptions persist, but warns against exaggerated doom.

via Robin J Brooks | Substack|

#business #geopolitics #hedging

markets28 days ago•34 min saved

Market Fear Grows as Options Signal More Selling Next Week

Options traders signal trouble and systematic funds are set to reduce exposure to U.S. stocks, with the VIX hovering in the high-20s as major indexes hover around key moving averages. After a stretch of weekly losses, investors await what could be more downside next week, with tech leadership resurging and Goldman Sachs forecasting about $36 billion of selling from trend-following funds.

via MarketWatch|

#iran-conflict #markets #options-trading

business29 days ago•14 min saved

Rates Jump to 2026 Highs as Bond Market Volatility Surges

Mortgage rates rose to 6.35% today, the highest level since December 2025, as weakness in the bond market and renewed volatility around the 6.25% threshold propelled bigger moves; analysts note 6.25% acts as a volatile dead zone, with the move driven by broader geopolitical and macro concerns rather than a single news event.

via Mortgage News Daily|

#625-percent-level #bond-market #business

business1 month ago•5 min saved

Oil prices swing as Gulf conflict tests global supply routes

Oil prices have swung wildly amid the US-Israel-Iran conflict, with Brent crude surging toward $120 on supply fears tied to shipping disruptions and the Strait of Hormuz, then slipping after the IEA’s emergency reserve release and rebounding again above $100 as traders weigh how long the conflict will last and ongoing refinery bottlenecks limit refined products.

via BBC|

#brent-crude #business #iea-reserves

business1 month ago•17 min saved

Patience Pays When Markets Shake

In times of market turbulence, patient investors who stay the course and avoid emotional selling are often rewarded as markets tend to recover; the piece emphasizes that long-term planning and avoiding market-timing can outperform reactive moves.

via AP News|

#business #investing #long-term

markets1 month ago•23 min saved

Option traders price in ‘disaster’ as Iran tensions rise, with a rebound play on Big Tech suggested

As Iran tensions intensify, U.S. equity options traders are pricing a potential crash, with demand for out-of-the-money puts on Big Tech and Nasdaq-100 ETFs rising. Nomura’s Charlie McElligott says there’s an asymmetric rebound opportunity: selling puts and buying calls could profit if markets bounce, even as the S&P 500 stays near record highs and volatility (VIX) remains around the mid-20s.

via MarketWatch|

#iran-conflict #market-skew #markets

business1 month ago•3 min saved

Oil Volatility Surges as Iran War Uncertainty Roils Markets

Oil prices swung sharply this week, with a late Monday slide followed by a bounce as President Trump’s comments fed uncertainty about a potential Iran conflict. Brent traded near $92 a barrel and WTI around $89 after a spike toward $120 earlier, while the CBOE Crude Oil Volatility index surged above 100 to pandemic-era highs. Analysts warn intraday swings will likely continue as geopolitics remain fluid, even as US stock futures edged higher and European/Asian markets recovered from Monday’s losses.

via Business Insider|

#business #iran #oil