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Risk

All articles tagged with #risk

Treasury Debt Loses Its Safe-Haven Luster as Markets Reprice Risk
economy18 hours ago

Treasury Debt Loses Its Safe-Haven Luster as Markets Reprice Risk

Stanford economist Hanno Lustig argues U.S. Treasuries no longer provide superior risk-adjusted returns or a guaranteed safe haven; investors are seeking higher-yield, high-grade corporate debt and non-dollar assets, the traditional stock–Treasury link has weakened, foreign buyers and banks are retreating, and the Fed is reducing its Treasury holdings, leaving deficits funded more by yield-seeking investors than safety—hinting at potential mispricing of risk and a move toward financial repression if policymakers cling to the old safe-debt mindset.

Brits Prefer £50k Now Over a 50/50 £1m Shot, YouGov Finds
business1 month ago

Brits Prefer £50k Now Over a 50/50 £1m Shot, YouGov Finds

A YouGov poll of about 4,600 UK adults found 73% would take £50,000 immediately instead of a 50/50 chance at £1,000,000; 21% choose the gamble and 6% were undecided. Women were more risk-averse (82% chose £50k) than men (63%), while younger adults (18–24) showed more willingness to take the risk. Experts attribute the bias to loss aversion and the fear of losing guaranteed cash. The piece also notes that while historically investing £50k could have reached £1m, past performance isn’t a guarantee for the future.

Spouse’s Dementia May Elevate Your Own Risk, Study Finds
health1 month ago

Spouse’s Dementia May Elevate Your Own Risk, Study Finds

A Taiwan study of nearly 1 million married adults found that having a spouse with dementia raises the other partner’s dementia risk by about 69% for men and 74% for women, across all dementia types. Researchers cite lifelong shared habits, assortative mating, and caregiving stress as possible contributors, with the effect persisting across income and education levels.

Crypto Bounties Push Daredevils to Extreme Feats, Including Everest Climb
world2 months ago

Crypto Bounties Push Daredevils to Extreme Feats, Including Everest Climb

A new crypto bounty site, Pump.fun, is incentivizing extreme stunts—like tattooing 'bounty.fun' on foreheads, sticking faces in toilets, quitting jobs on camera, or climbing Mount Everest—for crypto rewards. Since launching June 4, it has paid more than $370,000 with about $200,000 still up for grabs across roughly 270 bounties. Some tasks are benign, others life-threatening; critics compare the platform to a Black Mirror scenario, while Pump.fun says participants take part at their own risk.

One Glass at a Time: Reconsidering Alcohol Risk
health2 months ago

One Glass at a Time: Reconsidering Alcohol Risk

The author argues that while alcohol carries real health risks, much of the evidence comes from observational studies with underreporting, which can exaggerate danger. She explains the difference between relative and absolute risk, notes that binge drinking is more harmful than steady moderate use, and argues that headlines claiming no amount of alcohol is safe may overstate the case. Despite recognizing some risk, she intends to continue enjoying wine, emphasizing personal value and informed judgment over alarmist messaging.

No Safe Sip: New Review Links Any Alcohol to Cancer Risk and More
health2 months ago

No Safe Sip: New Review Links Any Alcohol to Cancer Risk and More

A UW-led review of 843 studies (1963–2023) across 20 health outcomes finds no universal safe level of drinking: even less than one daily drink is linked to higher risk for multiple cancers, while high consumption raises risks for all 20 outcomes studied (including liver disease, diabetes, and infections). Some low-to-moderate drinking links to certain cardiometabolic and neurological outcomes appear, but evidence is weak and often reverses at higher intake. Limitations include self-reported alcohol use and study heterogeneity. The researchers urge clearer, population-specific public health guidance and more honest messaging about alcohol risks.

No Safe Sip: Even Light Drinking Linked to Higher Cancer Risk, Large Review Finds
health2 months ago

No Safe Sip: Even Light Drinking Linked to Higher Cancer Risk, Large Review Finds

A comprehensive IHME/UW review of 843 studies across 20 health outcomes finds that any regular alcohol consumption is linked to an increased risk of cancer, including breast, colorectal, esophageal, liver, and prostate cancers, even at less than one drink per day; there appears to be no safe threshold for cancer, though light drinking has shown complex and inconsistent effects on non-cancer outcomes, complicating messages about potential heart-related benefits.

Cannabis and Tobacco Co-Use Linked to Near-Threefold Psychosis Risk in At-Risk Youth
health3 months ago

Cannabis and Tobacco Co-Use Linked to Near-Threefold Psychosis Risk in At-Risk Youth

A multisite study of over 1,000 individuals at clinical high risk for psychosis finds that using cannabis and tobacco together markedly raises long-term risk of developing a full psychotic disorder—about 2.9 times higher than non-users—compared with single-substance use. The effect is partly biological, as smoking tobacco increases cannabis THC absorption, potentially accelerating brain changes. Short-term symptoms rise with either substance, but the major difference appears over time in conversion risk, especially for heavy cannabis use paired with light tobacco use. Stopping both substances could reduce risk, highlighting the need to address co-use in at-risk populations. For those with established psychosis, ongoing tobacco use is linked to a roughly 20-year decrease in life expectancy due to cardiovascular and respiratory diseases.

Ballmaxxing: The DIY Trend Raising Alarms About Men's Genital Health
health3 months ago

Ballmaxxing: The DIY Trend Raising Alarms About Men's Genital Health

A Forbes health piece warns that the online ‘Ballmaxxing’ DIY trend—where people use improvised devices to modify the genitals—poses serious health risks, including tissue injury, infection, and nerve damage, potentially affecting long-term sexual function. Medical experts urge against DIY genital modification and advise seeking professional guidance if someone is curious about these practices.

Beyond Smoking: 25 Everyday Habits More Harmful Than Cigarettes
health3 months ago

Beyond Smoking: 25 Everyday Habits More Harmful Than Cigarettes

BuzzFeed surveys readers and compiles 25 common daily behaviors and societal factors—ranging from social‑media addiction, pesticides, and air pollution to ultra‑processed foods, chronic stress, prolonged sitting, texting while driving, gambling, and more—arguing these habits often pose greater health and safety risks than smoking and are frequently treated as normal in everyday life.

Q1 Bank Earnings Spotlight Modest Private Credit Exposures
business4 months ago

Q1 Bank Earnings Spotlight Modest Private Credit Exposures

Bank earnings materials reveal private credit exposures to nonbank financials. Citi notes corporate private credit warehouse financing of about $22 billion. Overall, private-credit exposure is small relative to total loan books and is focused on investment-grade, upper-middle-market borrowers. Notable risk sectors include business services, software, and healthcare, with BDCs among counterparties showing varying exposure. Banks view private credit as mainly an institutional, long-term opportunity, though sector scrutiny remains and some retail exits are noted.

The High-Risk Quest to Seize Iran’s Hidden Nuclear Stockpile
world5 months ago

The High-Risk Quest to Seize Iran’s Hidden Nuclear Stockpile

CBS News explains that removing or destroying Iran’s highly enriched uranium—likely buried deep at sites like Isfahan and Natanz (and possibly Pickaxe Mountain)—would require a large, highly trained ground operation, intricate logistics, and stealth, facing booby traps, radioactive hazards, and dangerous exfiltration. Lessons from Eagle Claw and Black Hawk Down highlight the perils of speed and surprise in such a mission, making the stockpile either removal or destruction one of the riskiest military endeavors in history.

Shadow lending tremors risk spilling into Main Street
business5 months ago

Shadow lending tremors risk spilling into Main Street

Investors are pulling money from private credit funds that lend directly to businesses amid fears that the sector’s opacity and macro risks could trigger broader financial disruption; while no major defaults have occurred, analysts warn that if tremors grow, banks exposed to private credit could tighten lending, potentially impacting everyday borrowers and pension funds—closer to a warning shot than a full-blown crisis.