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NOAA projects record-smashing El Niño set to peak this fall and winter
climate15 days ago

NOAA projects record-smashing El Niño set to peak this fall and winter

NOAA says the developing El Niño could become the strongest on record, likely peaking in late fall to early winter and boosting global temperatures amid a warming world. While background warming may modulate signals, scientists expect unprecedented heat and regionally varied impacts—wet conditions from California to Florida and milder/drier winters in parts of the Midwest—though effects will vary by location and remain uncertain. The event is likely to push 2027 to the hottest-year record (with 2026 possibly joining), influenced by the hotter baseline from climate change.

via CNN|
#climate#climate-change#el-nino
July 2026 Joins 2024 as Hottest July on Record
climate17 days ago

July 2026 Joins 2024 as Hottest July on Record

July 2026 tied with July 2024 as the hottest July on record, with NASA rating it the hottest July and NOAA/NCEI noting it’s likely the warmest month since 1850. Global ocean temperatures were record-warm for July while land temps were among the warmest; North America, Africa, and Asia posted their warmest July on record. The year-to-date is among the warmest on record, and a strengthening El Niño could push 2026 (and 2027) toward new highs. Arctic sea ice extended to its sixth-lowest July extent and Antarctic sea ice was near its fifth-lowest for July. Dozens of heat records were set worldwide, and the first half of 2026 saw 29 billion-dollar weather disasters totaling about $104 billion in damage. Scientists warn that the coming months could see further extreme warmth due to El Niño and ongoing climate change.

via Yale Climate Connections|
#climate#climate-change#el-nino
Arctic Heat Hits 90°F, Highlighting Rapid Warming and Feedbacks
science25 days ago

Arctic Heat Hits 90°F, Highlighting Rapid Warming and Feedbacks

Arctic temperatures surpassed 90°F in parts of northern Russia this week, with stations reporting near-record highs and underscoring that the Arctic is warming several times faster than the global average. The warming is driven by sea-ice loss that creates a feedback loop, and a strong El Niño could push heat extremes even higher into 2027.

via scientificamerican.com|
#arctic-warming#climate-change#el-nino
El Niño Could Stretch to 2028 as Heat Records Persist, UN Warns
environment3 months ago

El Niño Could Stretch to 2028 as Heat Records Persist, UN Warns

The UN climate projections from the WMO and UK Met Office warn that a strong El Niño could linger into 2027–2028, boosting global temperatures and making it likely that the 2026–2030 period will exceed the Paris 1.5°C threshold. There’s a 91% chance at least one year will surpass 1.5°C and an 86% chance a year will break the 2024 hottest-year record, with Arctic warming about 3.5 times faster than the global average. The report also foresees shrinking Arctic sea ice, hotter and drier Amazon conditions with higher wildfire risk, potential rainfall increases but flood risk in the Sahel, and record heat events in Europe, underscoring that every 0.1°C of warming raises impacts and the need to curb fossil fuels.

via Euronews.com|
#arctic-warming#climate-change#el-nino
Record heat swamps the U.S. in March as El Niño looms
science4 months ago

Record heat swamps the U.S. in March as El Niño looms

March 2026 was the hottest March on record for the continental United States, averaging 50.85 F (10.47 C) — 9.35 F (5.19 C) above the 20th‑century March norm — and shattering heat records across the Lower 48, with NOAA noting more than 19,800 daily heat records and over 2,000 monthly records; January–March was the driest on record. Forecasters say a superstrong El Niño could push global temperatures higher into 2026–2027 and reshape weather patterns, potentially boosting Pacific hurricane activity and stressing water supplies in the West.

via Yahoo|
#climate-change#el-nino#heat-records
Arctic winter sea ice near record low as global heat records surge
environment5 months ago

Arctic winter sea ice near record low as global heat records surge

Arctic sea ice reached its winter maximum at about 5.52 million square miles, roughly tying the lowest on record and about 525,000 square miles below the 1981-2010 winter average, signaling a steady decline as warming continues. The smaller ice pack means less sunlight reflected, allowing more heat to enter the oceans and potentially affect the summer melt and weather patterns. Antarctica meanwhile posted its coldest March day on record; melting sea ice does not raise sea levels, but the broader loss signals climate disruption with implications for ecosystems and shipping routes.

via NBC News|
#arctic#climate-change#environment
"2024: Record Heat, Climate Change Blamed by Scientists"
environment2 years ago

"2024: Record Heat, Climate Change Blamed by Scientists"

2024 continues the trend of breaking heat records, with nine consecutive months of record warmth and global average temperatures exceeding the 1.5°C threshold set in the Paris Agreement. Scientists are puzzled and alarmed by the unprecedented warmth, particularly in ocean temperatures and the impact on glaciers and sea ice. Factors contributing to the surge in temperatures include atmospheric greenhouse gases, El Niño, volcanic eruptions, and increased solar activity. The need for improved data collection and analysis is emphasized to understand and address the rapid climate changes.

via USA TODAY|
#climate-change#environment#global-warming
2023: Hottest Year on Record Triggers UN 'Red Alert' on Climate Crisis
environment2 years ago

2023: Hottest Year on Record Triggers UN 'Red Alert' on Climate Crisis

The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has issued a "Red Alert" as it reports that 2023 broke every major global climate record, with average temperatures reaching the highest level in 174 years and ocean temperatures hitting the warmest in 65 years. The WMO expressed particular concern about ocean heat and shrinking sea ice, emphasizing the irreversible nature of ocean warming and its detrimental impact on marine ecosystems and food systems. The report also highlighted the high probability of 2024 setting new heat records, with a significant plunge in Antarctic sea ice and a doubling of the rate of sea-level rise over the past decade. WMO Secretary-General Celeste Saulo stressed the urgent need to scale up climate action to mitigate the increasingly frequent and extreme climate events.

via Reuters|
#climate-change#environment#heat-records
"2024 El Niño Forecast: Record-Breaking Heat Across the Globe"
climate-science2 years ago

"2024 El Niño Forecast: Record-Breaking Heat Across the Globe"

New research predicts a 90 percent chance of record high global average surface temperatures leading up to June 2024, largely due to the impact of El Niño. The heat is expected to hit parts of Asia particularly hard, raising the risk of drought, wildfires, and other cascading effects. While a moderate El Niño is most likely, it still has the potential to push global temperatures to new highs, with a strong El Niño posing even greater risks to regions such as the Caribbean, South China Sea, Amazon, and Alaska.

via The Verge|
#climate-change#climate-science#el-nino
2023 Breaks Heat Records: Japan and Australia Experience Hottest Seasons on Record
climate-change3 years ago

2023 Breaks Heat Records: Japan and Australia Experience Hottest Seasons on Record

Japan experienced its hottest summer on record in 2023, with average temperatures 1.78 degrees Celsius above average. Australia also recorded its warmest winter in the southern hemisphere, with temperatures 1.53 degrees Celsius above the average. These heat records are part of a global trend of increasing temperatures due to climate change. The extreme heat has led to health risks, including heat-related deaths and glacier melt. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association (NOAA) predicts that 2023 will be one of the top five hottest years on record.

via Forbes|
#australia#climate-change#global-warming
"Record-Breaking Heat in 2023: Climate Change Update"
climate-change3 years ago

"Record-Breaking Heat in 2023: Climate Change Update"

Heat records are being broken around the world this summer, and this trend is expected to continue due to climate change. Factors such as summer in the Northern Hemisphere, increasing marine heat waves, El Niño, and global warming are contributing to the extreme temperatures. It is highly likely that 2023 will be the warmest year on record. The global average temperature is determined using data from satellites, weather stations, ships, and buoys. The National Weather Service collects and verifies weather records in the US. Warm records are being broken more frequently, and there is a rising trend in overnight low temperatures. A new daily global temperature record of 63 degrees was recently set, although there is some dispute over the accuracy of the measurement.

via USA TODAY|
#climate-analysis#climate-change#extreme-weather-events
Earth's Unprecedented Heatwave: Record-Breaking Temperatures Signal Climate Crisis
climate-change3 years ago

Earth's Unprecedented Heatwave: Record-Breaking Temperatures Signal Climate Crisis

The past three days have likely been the hottest in Earth's modern history, with temperatures breaking records across the globe. This surge in heat is attributed to the combination of greenhouse gases trapping heat in the atmosphere and the return of the El Niño weather pattern. The North Atlantic has experienced exceptionally high ocean temperatures, while the overall warming of the planet is consistent with projections due to human-caused emissions. Scientists anticipate that the current El Niño will continue to drive temperatures up, potentially making next year even hotter. Other factors, such as weakened winds and reduced dust blowing from the Sahara, may also contribute to the record-breaking temperatures.

via The New York Times|
#climate-change#el-nino#global-warming
"Unprecedented Heatwave: Earth's Average Temperature Shatters Records for Third Consecutive Day"
climate-change3 years ago

"Unprecedented Heatwave: Earth's Average Temperature Shatters Records for Third Consecutive Day"

Earth's average temperature has broken record highs for the third consecutive day, reaching an unofficial record of 17.18 degrees Celsius (62.9 degrees Fahrenheit), according to the University of Maine's Climate Reanalyzer. While not an official government record, these figures indicate the unprecedented territory that climate change is pushing us into. High-temperature records were also surpassed in Quebec and Peru this week, while some countries experienced colder weather than usual. The exceptionally mild winter in the Antarctic is one of the largest contributors to these records. Scientists warn that 2023 could see more record heat as human-caused climate change continues to warm the atmosphere.

via NBC10 Boston|
#climate-change#climate-crisis#extreme-weather