
Stochastic Solar Mass Loss May End the Outer Solar System in 1 Billion Years
New simulations by Konstantin Batygin and colleagues at the California Institute of Technology suggest the outer solar system may disassemble within one billion years after the Sun becomes a white dwarf, a timeframe a billion times shorter than previous estimates. The study accounts for random, directional mass ejections during the Sun’s red giant phase, which create velocity kicks that destabilize planetary orbits. While smooth mass loss models predicted stability for over 10^18 years, stochastic ejections with masses around 10^-4 solar masses could trigger instability before the white dwarf stage even completes, with 90% of simulations showing breakdown within three billion years.













