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Payrolls Preview Sparks Broad Market Rally as Fed Hints at Pause
business1 month ago

Payrolls Preview Sparks Broad Market Rally as Fed Hints at Pause

U.S. stocks rallied Thursday (Dow ~+1.2%, S&P 500 ~+1%, Nasdaq ~+1.4%), while futures were broadly flat ahead of Friday’s August payrolls report (consensus +53,000 jobs, unemployment 4.1%). A softerTreasuries backdrop followed Fed Governor Waller’s hint of a rate pause at 3.5%–3.75% in September, with inflation metrics next week as key catalysts. The yen strengthened toward multi‑month highs amid intervention talk and BOJ rate‑hike bets, Asia markets opened higher, and after‑hours movers included Lululemon (-18%) and DocuSign beating on earnings; the week remains on track for gains.

via CNBC|
#business#fed#futures
ADP August private payrolls show slower growth, signaling cooling labor market
business1 month ago

ADP August private payrolls show slower growth, signaling cooling labor market

ADP reported private U.S. payrolls rose 38,000 in August, below expectations and the slowest gain since January, with growth concentrated in education and health services, leisure and hospitality, and construction, while manufacturing fell. Large firms (500+ employees) led the gains, while small firms added modestly. Pay growth remained steady, with base pay up about 3% year over year and gross pay around 4.4% for those staying in their jobs (3.2% and 4.7% overall). The report precedes Friday’s BLS nonfarm payrolls release, which is expected to show a modest payroll gain and unemployment near 4.1%.

via CNBC|
#adp#business#economy
July 2026 Jobs Slide Keeps Fed Hikes in Play
economy2 months ago

July 2026 Jobs Slide Keeps Fed Hikes in Play

US July nonfarm payrolls fell 23,000 as unemployment eased to 4.1% and the labor-force participation rate slipped to 61.4% (the lowest in over five years). May and June were revised down, with declines led by local government education (-50k) and retail (-19k); healthcare added 22k. Average hourly earnings rose just 2 cents to 3.2% year-over-year. With policymakers split on rate moves, futures imply mixed odds for a September hike while markets rose on the prospect of slower inflation, and yields fell.

via cnbc.com|
#economy#fed-policy#jobs
Bitcoin Stabilizes Near $61k as Soft Jobs Data Dims Rate-Hike Bets
business3 months ago

Bitcoin Stabilizes Near $61k as Soft Jobs Data Dims Rate-Hike Bets

Bitcoin and ether held gains above $61,000 and $1,700 respectively after a softer-than-expected US payrolls report cooled expectations for further Fed tightening, with U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs logging inflows and risk appetite returning. The data blurred a clear dovish signal amid mixed wage data and the upcoming CPI/PPI prints, leaving near-term volatility and a potential shift in rate expectations as the key driver.

via The Block|
#bitcoin#business#etf-inflows
June jobs miss: US payrolls rise 57k as participation slips and revisions weigh on the labor market
economy3 months ago

June jobs miss: US payrolls rise 57k as participation slips and revisions weigh on the labor market

The June 2026 US payrolls increased by 57,000, far below economists’ expectations of about 113,000, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.2% (its lowest in a year). April and May payrolls were revised downward by a combined 74,000, dampening momentum. Job gains came from professional and business services, social assistance, and healthcare, but leisure and hospitality lost 61,000 positions as seasonal hiring cooled. The labor-force participation rate also slipped to 61.5%, suggesting softer overall labor-market strength.

via Yahoo! Finance Canada|
#economy#jobs-report#labor-market
June jobs miss: payroll growth slows to 57,000 as unemployment ticks down
economy3 months ago

June jobs miss: payroll growth slows to 57,000 as unemployment ticks down

U.S. nonfarm payrolls rose by 57,000 in June, well below economists’ 113,000 forecast, while the unemployment rate dipped to 4.2% and the labor-force participation rate held at 61.5%. Gains were led by professional/business services, social assistance, and healthcare, but leisure and hospitality fell by 61,000 after May’s surge; April and May payrolls were revised down by a combined 74,000. The report signals a cooling labor market as the year heads toward mid-year.

via Yahoo Finance|
#economy#jobs-report#june-2026
World Cup Could Lift June Jobs Data by About 40,000, Goldman Says
business3 months ago

World Cup Could Lift June Jobs Data by About 40,000, Goldman Says

Goldman Sachs estimates World Cup-related activity could add about 40,000 jobs to June’s payrolls, nudging total nonfarm payroll growth to roughly 140,000 and above the 115,000 consensus, with the boost concentrated in leisure/hospitality, professional services, and trade/transport; Homebase data also show hospitality hiring rising while World Cup hosting cities lag year over year.

via CNBC|
#business#goldman-sachs#hospitality
May Jobs Rally Surges as Hiring Broadens and Wages Rise
business4 months ago

May Jobs Rally Surges as Hiring Broadens and Wages Rise

U.S. payrolls rose by 172,000 in May, beating expectations, with the unemployment rate steady at 4.3%; gains were broad, led by leisure and hospitality (+70k), local government (+55k), and health care (+35k). Average hourly earnings rose 0.3% for the month and 3.4% year over year. Revisions to prior months improved the picture, and the Fed is likely to hold rates as inflation remains the focus.

via CNBC|
#business#fed-policy#job-growth
Gold nudges higher as weak payrolls spark rate-cut hopes, dollar pressure limits gains
business7 months ago

Gold nudges higher as weak payrolls spark rate-cut hopes, dollar pressure limits gains

Gold rose about 0.4% to around $5,096 per ounce as softer U.S. payrolls kept hopes for a Federal Reserve rate cut alive, but a stronger dollar and ongoing Middle East tensions capped gains and left bullion on track for its first weekly decline in five weeks. U.S. futures for April rose to about $5,105/oz, payrolls fell 92,000 with the unemployment rate at 4.4%, and markets await the Fed’s March 18 decision with a July cut widely anticipated.

via CNBC|
#business#dollar#fed
Oil Rally and Iran Tensions Drag Markets Ahead of Jobs Report
markets7 months ago

Oil Rally and Iran Tensions Drag Markets Ahead of Jobs Report

Stocks fell as U.S.-Iran tensions and a spike in oil prices sparked risk-off trading, with the Dow down about 1.6% for the week and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq modestly lower; oil surged to around $81 a barrel, lifting energy concerns. Futures were mixed after the session, with Dow futures up roughly 0.2% and S&P/Nasdaq futures near flat. Traders await Friday’s February nonfarm payrolls report for clues on the labor market, with economists eyeing ~50,000 jobs and a 4.3% unemployment rate. In after-hours trading, Marvell Technology rose on AI demand while Gap slipped on earnings.

via CNBC|
#futures#iran-conflict#markets
Greenback Free-Falls as Short Bets Balloon Ahead of Payrolls
business8 months ago

Greenback Free-Falls as Short Bets Balloon Ahead of Payrolls

The dollar weakened broadly as IMM data showed speculative short positioning jumping to $16.82B ahead of an unusual Wednesday payrolls release and potential downward revisions to 2025 job data; EUR/USD rose and USD/JPY fell, with a China report urging banks to curb US Treasuries exposure failing to drive yields much higher, suggesting the move could fade as markets refocus on fundamentals.

via investingLive|
#business#forex#payrolls