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Gdp Growth

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Yields rise as Fed rate-hike bets mount amid oil rally
business25 days ago

Yields rise as Fed rate-hike bets mount amid oil rally

U.S. Treasury yields climbed Friday on growing expectations that the Fed will hike rates later this year, helped by higher oil prices and persistent inflation. The 10-year yield rose to about 4.731%, the 2-year to 4.295%, and the 30-year to 5.263%. Fed officials signaled support for tighter policy after the central bank left rates unchanged, while energy prices gained on Iran-related tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, pressuring bonds. Michigan sentiment improved; core PCE rose 0.1% MoM (3.3% YoY), GDP rose 1.5% in Q2, and investors eye next week's jobs data (July nonfarm payrolls and June JOLTs openings).

via CNBC|
#business#federal-reserve#gdp-growth
US GDP Slows to 1.5% in Q2 2026 as Trade Gap and Oil Prices Weigh on Growth
business25 days ago

US GDP Slows to 1.5% in Q2 2026 as Trade Gap and Oil Prices Weigh on Growth

US GDP grew 1.5% in Q2 2026, down from 2.1% in Q1, pressured by a wider trade deficit and energy-price swings. Imports rose on investment and consumption, while exports lagged, helping drag overall growth. Analysts describe the period as a supply shock with policy uncertainty, suggesting a rebound will require broader business investment, clearer trade policy, and stronger consumer confidence.

via Al Jazeera|
#business#gdp-growth#inflation
US economy cools in Q2, growth slips to 1.5% amid inflation and trade gaps
business-and-economy26 days ago

US economy cools in Q2, growth slips to 1.5% amid inflation and trade gaps

US GDP rose 1.5% in Q2 2026, down from 2.1% in Q1 as consumer spending was boosted by tax refunds and higher fuel costs while a widening trade deficit and elevated energy prices weighed on momentum. Inflation (PCE) stood at 3.7% year over year in June, the Fed held rates at 3.5–3.75%, and markets rose on the data as AI/tech investment remains a growth driver.

via Al Jazeera|
#ai-investment#business-and-economy#gas-prices
China's Q2 growth slows to 3½-year low as imbalances deepen
world1 month ago

China's Q2 growth slows to 3½-year low as imbalances deepen

China’s economy grew 4.3% year-on-year in Q2, slowing from Q1’s 5.0% and undershooting its 4.5–5.0% annual target, as weak consumption and investment offset a still-strong manufacturing/export engine; June retail sales rose 1.0% and industrial output +5.3%, while fixed-asset investment fell 5.7% and housing demand remained soft, underscoring an unbalanced growth model and prompting debate over policy steps to boost domestic demand.

via Yahoo Finance|
#china-economy#domestic-demand#exports
China’s growth cools to 4.3% as investment slump deepens
economy1 month ago

China’s growth cools to 4.3% as investment slump deepens

China’s economy grew 4.3% in Q2, the slowest pace in over three years, as urban fixed-asset investment fell 5.7% in the first half. June saw retail sales rise 1% and industrial output advance 5.3%, signaling a mixed rebound amid weak domestic demand. With Beijing’s full-year target at 4.5–5% and growth likely undershooting it, policymakers are expected to roll out stimulus in Q3, potentially including a rate cut to spur investment, while unemployment hovered around 5% in June.

via CNBC|
#economy#fixed-asset-investment#gdp-growth
May PCE Core Inflation Climbs to 3.4%, Keeping Fed on Inflation Watch
economy2 months ago

May PCE Core Inflation Climbs to 3.4%, Keeping Fed on Inflation Watch

The May 2026 PCE report shows the Fed’s preferred core inflation at 3.4% year-over-year (up 0.3% for May) and all-items inflation at 4.1% (up 0.4% for the month), with consumer spending rising 0.7% and personal income up 0.7%. GDP grew at a 2.1% annualized rate in Q1, while initial jobless claims fell to 215,000. The data underscore persistent inflation pressures even as growth remains solid, reinforcing the Fed’s cautious-to-hawkish stance on policy.

via CNBC|
#consumer-spending#core-inflation#economy
Bessent Bets on 3% U.S. Growth Path by Year-End
business2 months ago

Bessent Bets on 3% U.S. Growth Path by Year-End

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says the U.S. economy can return to 3% growth this year, citing a strong underlying economy despite inflation and tariff headwinds, and reiterating his “3-3-3” plan (3% growth, 3% deficit-to-GDP, and a 3 million barrel-per-day increase in oil production). He notes Q1 growth at 1.6% annualized after 0.5% in Q4 2025, and suggests the deficit-to-GDP ratio could be around 3% by the end of the president’s term as debt declines relative to GDP, with monetary policy remaining cautious amid inflation.

via CNBC|
#business#deficit-to-gdp#fed-policy
Debt Deluge Threatens US Growth, SocGen Warns
economy2 months ago

Debt Deluge Threatens US Growth, SocGen Warns

SocGen cautions that US household debt has surged to about $19.9 trillion while the personal savings rate sits near a record low, highlighting a weakening wealth effect and rising debt intensity that could leave consumer spending—roughly 70% of GDP—vulnerable if asset prices falter or credit conditions tighten. The combination of higher leverage and slower income growth suggests the economy could stall more quickly than expected if households cut back on spending.

via Business Insider|
#consumer-spending#economy#gdp-growth
China delivers 5% Q1 growth on export strength, despite tepid domestic demand
economy4 months ago

China delivers 5% Q1 growth on export strength, despite tepid domestic demand

China’s economy grew 5% in the first quarter, beating economists’ expectations as robust exports offset weak domestic demand. Industrial output rose 5.7% and retail sales gained 1.7% in March, while fixed-asset investment climbed 1.7% and property investment fell 11.2%. Unemployment stood at 5.4%. Beijing kept a 4.5–5% annual target, but the outlook faces pressure from higher energy costs linked to the Iran conflict and a softer global demand environment.

via CNBC|
#china-economy#economy#exports
Core inflation remains at 3% as pre-war data show softer demand and slower growth
economy4 months ago

Core inflation remains at 3% as pre-war data show softer demand and slower growth

February core PCE rose 3% and headline inflation 2.8%, while consumer spending fell 0.1% and personal income rose 0.4%. GDP for Q4 was revised down to 0.5% growth (down from 0.7%), driven by weaker investment and lower real final sales. The report suggests stagflation pressures even before the Iran conflict boosts energy prices, with Fed officials expected to keep rates on hold as inflation remains above target.

via CNBC|
#core-inflation#economy#energy-prices
Oil at About $125/Barrel Could Push US Economy Toward Recession, Zandi Warns
business5 months ago

Oil at About $125/Barrel Could Push US Economy Toward Recession, Zandi Warns

Moody’s Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi says US recession risk is rising and could be triggered if oil averages about $125 per barrel in Q2; their simulations identify that level as a plausible tipping point amid Iran tensions and a weak labor market. Although not predicting an outright downturn in their baseline outlook, higher oil prices have shaved roughly 15–20 basis points from 2026 real GDP growth, and their April forecast expects a further rise in oil prices that would weigh on growth and push recession probabilities higher.

via Business Insider|
#business#gdp-growth#mark-zandi
Jobless claims dip as labor market stays resilient amid steady growth outlook
economy5 months ago

Jobless claims dip as labor market stays resilient amid steady growth outlook

Initial unemployment claims fell to 205,000 for the week ending March 14 (lowest since mid‑January), while continuing claims rose to 1.86 million for the week ending March 7. Federal Reserve Chair Powell described the 4.4% unemployment rate as stable and said hiring and layoffs remain unusually low. Fed officials project unemployment around 4.4% this year, with GDP growth seen at about 2.4% in 2026 and 2.3% in 2027, and they expect at least one quarter-point rate cut later this year as the economy stays resilient despite layoffs at large firms.

via CFO Dive|
#economy#fed#gdp-growth