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Warming Accelerates: Study Warns 1.5°C Limit Could Be Breached by 2030
climate-change24 days ago

Warming Accelerates: Study Warns 1.5°C Limit Could Be Breached by 2030

A Geophysical Research Letters study, with 98% confidence, finds global warming has accelerated since 2015, rising about 0.63°F per decade compared with 0.36°F per decade from 1970–2015. If this pace continues, the 1.5°C Paris limit could be breached before 2030, risking climate tipping points such as ocean circulation breakdown, permafrost thaw, and coral reef loss, and leading to more extreme weather; meeting zero CO2 emissions is needed to stop warming, but current politics may allow the pace to continue unless major polluters—especially the U.S.—act decisively.

via Gizmodo|
#climate-change#co2-emissions#extreme-weather
Record-Breaking El Niño Expected to Push Global Temperatures Higher
science1 month ago

Record-Breaking El Niño Expected to Push Global Temperatures Higher

Forecast models suggest this El Niño could become the strongest on record, with peak tropical Pacific temperatures about 6.5°F (3.6°C) above average—roughly 1.4°F hotter than the 2015–2016 event—potentially driving global temperatures to as high as 3°F above pre-industrial in 2027. NOAA declared El Niño in June; the peak typically arrives Nov–Feb. If realized, it could bring hotter years and more extreme weather, with researchers warning of up to about $10 trillion in potential economic losses by 2032, though such an unprecedented 6.5°F event remains unverified and uncertain.

via Gizmodo|
#climate-science#el-nino#extreme-weather
UN General Assembly Endorses ICJ Climate Duty, Pushes Global Transition to Renewables
world3 months ago

UN General Assembly Endorses ICJ Climate Duty, Pushes Global Transition to Renewables

The UN General Assembly backed the ICJ advisory ruling that states have a legal duty to protect the environment from greenhouse gas emissions, adopting a resolution urging all member states to curb planetary damage and fulfill Paris pledges, while promoting a rapid, just transition to renewable energy; the vote was 141 in favor, 8 against, 28 abstentions, signaling climate justice as a global, legal-leaning imperative and reaffirming the 1.5°C target as within reach.

via UN News|
#climate-change#icj#paris-agreement
Paris Agreement: a Mirage, Argues UnHerd Op-Ed
politics4 months ago

Paris Agreement: a Mirage, Argues UnHerd Op-Ed

An UnHerd opinion piece argues the Paris Agreement and the net-zero agenda were overhyped fantasies that did not deliver the feared climate catastrophes or energy crises; it claims Europe’s energy demand declined due to economic stagnation, disputes the dire climate predictions, and advocates a pragmatic shift toward nuclear power while criticizing wind/solar reliance and Western climate activism.

via UnHerd|
#climate-policy#energy-policy#net-zero
Global warming speeds up after 2015, raising risk of 1.5°C breach before 2030
environment-climate-change5 months ago

Global warming speeds up after 2015, raising risk of 1.5°C breach before 2030

New analysis from the Potsdam Institute finds that after removing natural variability (El Niño, volcanic activity, solar cycles), the rate of global warming has accelerated since around 2015, with recent decades warming ~0.35°C per decade—faster than the ~0.2°C per decade from 1970–2015—across five datasets. If this pace continues, the 1.5°C limit could be exceeded before 2030. The study focuses on the pace, not the causes, and underscores the need for rapid CO2 emission cuts.

via ScienceDaily|
#climate-acceleration#el-nino#environment-climate-change
Planet warming accelerates: new study finds acceleration since 2015
science5 months ago

Planet warming accelerates: new study finds acceleration since 2015

A study published in Geophysical Research Letters finds that global warming has accelerated since 2015, with Earth warming about 0.35°C in the last decade—faster than the roughly 0.2°C per decade observed from 1970 to 2015. If this pace continues, the 1.5°C Paris target could be breached before 2030, underscoring the urgency of reducing CO2 emissions.

via Yahoo|
#climate-change#geophysical-research-letters#global-warming
US Exits Paris Agreement Again, Reshaping Global Climate Leadership
world7 months ago

US Exits Paris Agreement Again, Reshaping Global Climate Leadership

The United States formally withdraws from the Paris climate agreement for a second time, signaling a renewed break with international climate governance. While global emissions trends grow faster toward renewables, the move risks complicating global decarbonization efforts, potentially emboldening fossil-fuel interests and shifting leadership toward countries like China as others push forward on clean-energy expansion.

via The Guardian|
#clean-energy#climate-policy#global-governance
Earth nears 1.5C barrier as 2025 is third-warmest year on record
environment7 months ago

Earth nears 1.5C barrier as 2025 is third-warmest year on record

Copernicus data show global temperatures about 1.4C above pre-industrial levels, with 2025 the third-warmest year on record at about 1.47C; 2024 remains the hottest year at around 1.6C, and the three-year stretch has briefly exceeded 1.5C, indicating the world is on pace to breach the Paris Agreement’s 1.5C target this decade due to greenhouse gas emissions and intensified heat in Europe and polar regions.

via politico.eu|
#14c#climate-change#copernicus
Global Climate Policy Gains Ground Amidst Rising Challenges
environment9 months ago

Global Climate Policy Gains Ground Amidst Rising Challenges

The article argues that the current global climate policy framework, centered around the UNFCCC and the Paris Agreement, is ineffective in achieving meaningful decarbonization. It highlights the failures of market-based solutions like carbon offsets and pricing, the broken promises of climate finance, and the influence of fossil fuel interests through investment protections. The author advocates for a shift away from the UNFCCC towards direct economic reforms, such as taxation and reducing fossil fuel subsidies, to accelerate the transition to green energy and address the climate crisis more effectively.

via Foreign Affairs|
#climate-change#climate-policy#decarbonization
Global Climate Goals: Progress and Challenges in 2025
environment10 months ago

Global Climate Goals: Progress and Challenges in 2025

The State of Climate Action 2025 report highlights that global efforts to meet the Paris Agreement targets are significantly lagging, with none of the assessed indicators on track to limit warming to 1.5°C by 2030. Despite some progress, such as increased private climate finance and rising electric vehicle sales, critical areas like deforestation, coal phase-out, and climate finance require urgent and substantial acceleration to avoid severe climate impacts.

via World Resources Institute|
#carbon-neutrality#climate-action#climate-finance
Global Climate Goals Progressing Slowly Amid Urgent Challenges
environment10 months ago

Global Climate Goals Progressing Slowly Amid Urgent Challenges

A recent report shows that while efforts to combat climate change are making progress, they are not happening fast enough to meet the 1.5°C warming limit set by the Paris Agreement. Key issues include slow coal phaseout, fluctuating electric vehicle adoption, and insufficient climate finance, with US policies notably hindering progress. Despite setbacks, renewable energy growth and private investments offer some hope for future improvements.

via WIRED|
#climate-change#coal-phaseout#electric-vehicles