Tag

Weather Forecasting

All articles tagged with #weather forecasting

Tibetan Heat Spikes Linked to Record California Floods in New Study
climate-science1 month ago

Tibetan Heat Spikes Linked to Record California Floods in New Study

A new study in Science Advances links unusually warm temperatures on the Tibetan Plateau to record-breaking rainfall in California and neighboring western U.S. states in 2017 and 2023. This 'climate teleconnection' explains why extreme flooding occurred during La Niña years, which typically bring dry conditions to the region. The findings suggest that monitoring high-altitude land temperatures could improve early warning systems for extreme weather, potentially saving lives and reducing billions of dollars in damage.

Google DeepMind AI Model Outperforms Traditional Hurricane Forecasts by Over a Day
science1 month ago

Google DeepMind AI Model Outperforms Traditional Hurricane Forecasts by Over a Day

Google DeepMind researchers published a study in Nature demonstrating that their AI-driven model provides more accurate hurricane forecasts than conventional methods, effectively looking a day or more into the future. The National Hurricane Center credited this technology for successfully predicting the rapid intensification of Hurricane Melissa in 2025. While AI models offer significant speed and accuracy improvements, experts note they cannot eliminate the inherent chaos of weather systems and require human oversight for high-impact events.

MTG-I2 Poised for Liftoff as Ariane 6 Carries Europe’s Next-Gen Weather Satellite
space1 month ago

MTG-I2 Poised for Liftoff as Ariane 6 Carries Europe’s Next-Gen Weather Satellite

MTG-I2, the Meteosat Third Generation-Imager-2 satellite, has been encapsulated inside the Ariane 6 fairing and is on the launch pad in French Guiana for liftoff on 27 August; the fairing is closed, the upper segment hoisted onto the launcher, and the Mobile Gantry will roll away before countdown. After extensive testing in Cannes and transport to the spaceport, MTG-I2 will orbit for at least eight and a half years and will provide high‑resolution atmospheric data every 2.5 minutes to improve weather forecasts over Europe and northern Africa, aiding early warnings for severe storms and heavy rain. VA270 marks Ariane 6’s ninth launch, placing MTG-I2 into geostationary transfer orbit; the mission is led by ESA, built by Thales Alenia Space with OHB System and Leonardo, and operated by EUMETSAT after commissioning.

DeepMind's WeatherNext Extends Lead Time for Hurricanes Using Open-Source AI
technology2 months ago

DeepMind's WeatherNext Extends Lead Time for Hurricanes Using Open-Source AI

Google DeepMind’s WeatherNext AI can predict hurricane tracks and intensities using lower-resolution data, providing about a day more lead time than current models and producing thousands of scenario outputs to map uncertainty. It accurately forecast a Category 5 threat days in advance during Hurricane Melissa in 2025, and the team will open-source the models for research. While promising, the system’s inner workings are not fully understood, and forecasters emphasize that humans must translate predictions into actionable decisions.

Ocean Monitoring Cut Could Leave Forecasts Flying Blind
science4 months ago

Ocean Monitoring Cut Could Leave Forecasts Flying Blind

Scientists warn that the US plan to dismantle the Ocean Observatories Initiative would degrade ocean heat-content data and seriously undermine weather forecasts and El Niño predictions, with forecasts becoming less reliable and a projected 163% increase in error for annual ocean-heating rates; the move would hit GOOS data worldwide, raising economic costs, while the NSF says the program is being descaled rather than canceled, and Europe is bolstering its own OceanEye monitoring.

When the Forecast Decides D-Day: A WWII Weather Thriller
film4 months ago

When the Forecast Decides D-Day: A WWII Weather Thriller

THR’s review of Pressure deems Anthony Maras’s WWII drama a taut, cerebral thriller about the weather forecast that could decide D-Day. Focusing on meteorologist Dr. James Stagg (Andrew Scott) and his clashes with Irving Krick and Eisenhower (Brendan Fraser) over whether to delay the invasion, the film—based on David Haig’s stage play and using archival footage—builds sustained tension across the 72 hours leading up to the operation, with Scott delivering a standout, nuanced performance. Release date: May 29, 2026.

NASA Names STRIVE and EDGE to Map Earth's Atmosphere and Ice
science8 months ago

NASA Names STRIVE and EDGE to Map Earth's Atmosphere and Ice

NASA selected two Earth System Explorers missions, STRIVE and EDGE, to advance understanding of Earth’s atmosphere, ozone recovery, and surface/topography of glaciers and sea ice. STRIVE will deliver high-resolution, near-global atmospheric measurements to improve longer-range weather forecasts, while EDGE will map the 3D structure of ecosystems and ice-covered terrain, building on ICESat-2 and GEDI data. Both enter the next development phase with 2027 confirmation reviews and a cost cap of $355 million each, with launches not earlier than 2030.

Senator Cantwell urges Trump to invest in advanced weather forecasting systems
politics1 year ago

Senator Cantwell urges Trump to invest in advanced weather forecasting systems

Senator Maria Cantwell urges President Trump to reconsider proposed budget cuts to NOAA, advocating for bipartisan investments in weather forecasting infrastructure, including modernizing alert systems and upgrading satellites, especially after recent devastating floods in Texas. The letter emphasizes improving weather prediction capabilities without directly addressing climate change, amidst ongoing staff reductions and budget cuts.

Trump's NOAA Nominee Promises Staffing Boost and Leadership in Weather Forecasting
politics1 year ago

Trump's NOAA Nominee Promises Staffing Boost and Leadership in Weather Forecasting

President Trump's NOAA pick, Neil Jacobs, emphasized the importance of fully staffing weather forecast offices and supported budget cuts to NOAA's research programs, while acknowledging human influence on climate change. The hearing highlighted concerns over staffing shortages, budget proposals, and the agency's role in disaster prediction, amid ongoing debates about climate policy and government funding.